Matchup Analysis·Featherweight
Red Corner
Darren Elkins
“The Damage”
29-1230 UFCLast1.3yr ago
Grappler
Aging Threat
Output Builds Late
High Wear
5'10"ht·71"+2"reach·Orthodoxstance·42age
VS
Featherweight145 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
Yadier del Valle
“The Cuban Problem”
10-13 UFCLast5mo ago
Submission Specialist
5'9"ht·69"reach·Southpawstance·3012yrage
Signals4 signals
SUBMISSION
Valle actively hunts submissions on the ground.
RING RUST
Elkins is returning after 16 months out.
SOUTHPAW
Valle is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent. The stance mismatch gives Valle natural angle advantages at range.
AGE GAP
Elkins is 12 years older than Valle.
CQ Core Edges
Elkins
+0.06
Valle
+1.89
Elkins
1.21
Valle
0.54
Elkins
57%
Valle
Too few rounds
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Elkins
72
DurableValle
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Elkins3.40SLpM
+SLpM4.05Valle
7.5
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
ElkinsOutput Builds Late+39% R1→R3
ValleEarly Finisher
Finish History
Elkins
KO/TKO ×4Sub ×3
Finish rate (wins)
37%
7/19
Stopped rate (losses)
45%
5/11
Valle
Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
100%
2/2
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/1
Edge & Exposure
Elkins
EdgeGrappling Dominant
Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.
ExposureMileage Risk
Age and UFC fight volume are both elevated. Vulnerable to opponents who apply sustained pressure late.
Valle
EdgeHigh Finisher
Finishes the majority of opponents. Gets the stoppage when ahead on the scorecards.
EdgeStriking Dominant
Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.
Opposition Quality
Elkins19–11UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
12–8
Record (20)
-1.1
Str Diff/Min
33%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)-6% step-up
2–4
Record (6)
-3.7
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Valle2–1UFC
Too few fights to rate.
Division Percentile Ranks
ElkinsFeatherweightValle
46th
Striking Differential
88th76th
Grappling Threat
57th63rd
Round Win Rate
—33rd
TD Defense
37th51st
Durability
72nd23rd
Finishing Rate
86th— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.
Recent Form
Elkins
Stat
Valle
1.993.40 career
⚠↓1.41
SLpMOutput
⚠↓2.98
1.074.05 career
3.163.34 career
↓0.18
SApMAbsorbed
↓1.23
0.932.16 career
12.808.43 career
↑4.37
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
0.951.10 career
↓0.15
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↑0.78
2.782.00 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Elkins60% distance
Finish 40%Decision 60%
Valle33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Elkins 30 UFC fights·Valle 3 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Elkins
11.7min
Valle
7.2min
Combined Distance Rate
58%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
ElkinsTO KNOCK OUTValle
23
Low
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins4
Total UFC wins19
Valle's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses1
ValleTO KNOCK OUTElkins
34
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins0
Total UFC wins2
Elkins's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses4
Total UFC losses11
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
ElkinsTO SUBMITValle
26
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins3
Total UFC wins19
Valle's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses1
ValleTO SUBMITElkins
45
High
Sub Wins
Submission wins2
Total UFC wins2
Elkins's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses11
ElkinsWin MethodValle
21%
KO / TKO
0%
16%
Submission
100%
63%
Decision
0%
19 UFC wins · 4 KO · 3 Sub · 12 Dec2 UFC wins · 2 Sub
Elkins
Loss Method
Valle36%
KO / TKO
0%
9%
Submission
0%
55%
Decision
100%
11 UFC losses · 4 KO · 1 Sub · 6 Dec1 UFC loss · 1 Dec
Elkins12 stoppages · 8 KO · 4 Sub
R1
6
R2
2
R3
4
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
LKOJulian ErosaR1 · 4:15
WSubTJ BrownR3 · 2:23
LKOCub SwansonR1 · 2:12
WKODarrick MinnerR2 · 3:48
WSubEduardo GaragorriR3 · 2:22
Valle2 stoppages · 2 Sub
R1
2
R20
R30
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubIsaac DulgarianR1 · 3:41
WSubConnor MatthewsR1 · 2:54
Historical Context
Elkins — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
13 SS (42%)·54 abs·1/7 td·48s ctrl
39 SS (44%)·31 abs·3/12 td·393s ctrl
11 SS (33%)·15 abs·5/8 td·2 td taken·489s ctrl·2 sub att
57 SS (30%)·110 abs·2/5 td·2 td taken·48s ctrl
75 SS (50%)·66 abs·5/10 td·472s ctrl·1 sub att
2 SS (11%)·18 abs·0/2 td·1 kd taken
Valle — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·3 fights
13 SS (31%)·17 abs·4 td taken·137s ctrl
1 SS (100%)·0 abs·176s ctrl·3 sub att
9 SS (75%)·3 abs·1/1 td·81s ctrl·1 sub att
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WAntonio Monteiro
DWCSU-DECR3Oct 2024