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Matchup Analysis·Featherweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld3 / 11
←Ferreira vs QuarantilloLemos vs Thainara→
Red Corner

Darren Elkins

“The Damage”
29-1230 UFCLast1.3yr ago
Grappler
Aging Threat
Output Builds Late
High Wear
5'10"ht·71"+2"reach·Orthodoxstance·42age
VS
Featherweight145 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Yadier del Valle

“The Cuban Problem”
10-13 UFCLast5mo ago
Submission Specialist
5'9"ht·69"reach·Southpawstance·3012yrage
CQ
Edges—
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingValleClear edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingElkinsClear edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.ValleClear edge
DurabilityNo data
Signals
4 signals
SUBMISSION

Valle actively hunts submissions on the ground.

RING RUST

Elkins is returning after 16 months out.

SOUTHPAW

Valle is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent. The stance mismatch gives Valle natural angle advantages at range.

AGE GAP

Elkins is 12 years older than Valle.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Valle
Elkins
+0.06
Valle
+1.89
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Elkins
Elkins
1.21
Valle
0.54
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Elkins
57%
Valle
Too few rounds
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Elkins
72
Durable
Valle
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Moderate
Elkins3.40SLpM
+
SLpM4.05Valle
7.5
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Contextual
ElkinsOutput Builds Late+39% R1→R3
ValleEarly Finisher
Finish History
Elkins
KO/TKO ×4Sub ×3
Finish rate (wins)
37%
7/19
Stopped rate (losses)
45%
5/11
Valle
Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
100%
2/2
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/1
Edge & Exposure
Elkins
EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

ExposureMileage Risk

Age and UFC fight volume are both elevated. Vulnerable to opponents who apply sustained pressure late.

Valle
EdgeHigh Finisher

Finishes the majority of opponents. Gets the stoppage when ahead on the scorecards.

EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

Opposition Quality
Elkins19–11UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
12–8
Record (20)
-1.1
Str Diff/Min
33%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
-6% step-up
2–4
Record (6)
-3.7
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Valle2–1UFC

Too few fights to rate.

Division Percentile Ranks
ElkinsFeatherweightValle
46th
Striking Differential
88th
76th
Grappling Threat
57th
63rd
Round Win Rate
—
33rd
TD Defense
37th
51st
Durability
72nd
23rd
Finishing Rate
86th

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Elkins
Stat
Valle
1.993.40 career
⚠↓1.41
SLpMOutput
⚠↓2.98
1.074.05 career
3.163.34 career
↓0.18
SApMAbsorbed
↓1.23
0.932.16 career
12.808.43 career
↑4.37
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
0.951.10 career
↓0.15
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↑0.78
2.782.00 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Elkins60% distance
Finish 40%Decision 60%
Valle33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Elkins 30 UFC fights·Valle 3 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Elkins
11.7min
Valle
7.2min
Combined Distance Rate
58%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
ElkinsTO KNOCK OUTValle
23
Low
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins4
Total UFC wins19
Valle's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses1
ValleTO KNOCK OUTElkins
34
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins0
Total UFC wins2
Elkins's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses4
Total UFC losses11
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
ElkinsTO SUBMITValle
26
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins3
Total UFC wins19
Valle's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses1
ValleTO SUBMITElkins
45
High
Sub Wins
Submission wins2
Total UFC wins2
Elkins's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses11
ElkinsWin MethodValle
21%
KO / TKO
0%
16%
Submission
100%
63%
Decision
0%
19 UFC wins · 4 KO · 3 Sub · 12 Dec2 UFC wins · 2 Sub
Elkins
Loss Method
Valle
36%
KO / TKO
0%
9%
Submission
0%
55%
Decision
100%
11 UFC losses · 4 KO · 1 Sub · 6 Dec1 UFC loss · 1 Dec
Elkins12 stoppages · 8 KO · 4 Sub
R1
6
R2
2
R3
4
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
LKOJulian ErosaR1 · 4:15
WSubTJ BrownR3 · 2:23
LKOCub SwansonR1 · 2:12
WKODarrick MinnerR2 · 3:48
WSubEduardo GaragorriR3 · 2:22
Valle2 stoppages · 2 Sub
R1
2
R2
0
R3
0
R1R2R3
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubIsaac DulgarianR1 · 3:41
WSubConnor MatthewsR1 · 2:54
Historical Context
Elkins — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Julian ErosaVeteranFW
KO/TKO
R14:15
Apr '25
13 SS (42%)·54 abs·1/7 td·48s ctrl
W
Daniel PinedaFW
U-DEC
R3
Oct '24
39 SS (44%)·31 abs·3/12 td·393s ctrl
W
TJ BrownFW
SUB
R32:23
Oct '23
11 SS (33%)·15 abs·5/8 td·2 td taken·489s ctrl·2 sub att
L
Jonathan PearceFW
U-DEC
R3
Dec '22
57 SS (30%)·110 abs·2/5 td·2 td taken·48s ctrl
W
Tristan ConnellyFW
U-DEC
R3
Apr '22
75 SS (50%)·66 abs·5/10 td·472s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Cub SwansonVeteranFW
KO/TKO
R12:12
Dec '21
2 SS (11%)·18 abs·0/2 td·1 kd taken
View full fight log →
Valle — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·3 fights
L
Jordan LeavittFW
U-DEC
R3
Feb '26
13 SS (31%)·17 abs·4 td taken·137s ctrl
W
Isaac DulgarianFW
SUB
R13:41
Nov '25
1 SS (100%)·0 abs·176s ctrl·3 sub att
W
Connor MatthewsFW
SUB
R12:54
May '25
9 SS (75%)·3 abs·1/1 td·81s ctrl·1 sub att
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WAntonio Monteiro
DWCSU-DECR3Oct 2024
View full fight log →
Matchup·FW·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
3/11←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Darren Elkins

“The Damage”
29-1230 UFC1.3yr ago
5'10"ht71"+2"reachOrthodox42 yrs
VS·FW·3R
Blue Corner

Yadier del Valle

“The Cuban Problem”
10-13 UFC5mo ago
5'9"ht69"reachSouthpaw30 yrs
CQ
Edges
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingValleClear edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingElkinsClear edge
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.ValleClear edge
Signals
3
RING RUSTElkins is returning after 16 months out.
SOUTHPAWValle is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent.
AGE GAPElkins is 12 years older than Valle.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Valle
Elkins+0.06
Valle+1.89
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Elkins
Elkins1.21
Valle0.54
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
Elkins57%
ValleToo few rounds
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Elkins
72Durable
Valle
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Stats
Elkins
Valle
Striking
3.40SS Landed / min4.05
38%Str Acc60%
3.34SS Absorbed / min2.16
51%Str Def55%
0.07KD / fight0.00
Grappling
2.87TD / min1.23
56%TD Def58%
1.10Sub Att · /15m2.00
95%Sub Def—
Finish History
Elkins
KO/TKO ×4Sub ×3
Finish Rate (Wins)
37%
7/19
Stopped Rate (Losses)
45%
5/11
Valle
Sub ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
100%
2/2
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/1
Elkins60% distance
Finish 40%Decision 60%
Valle33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Elkins 30 UFC fights·Valle 3 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Elkins
11.7min
Valle
7.2min
Combined Distance Rate
58%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
ElkinsWinValle
21%
KO
0%
16%
Sub
100%
63%
Dec
0%
19 wins4 KO3 Sub12 Dec
2 Sub2 wins
ElkinsLossValle
36%
KO
0%
9%
Sub
0%
55%
Dec
100%
11 losses4 KO1 Sub6 Dec
1 Dec1 loss
CQ Finish Risk
Elkins
to knock out
Valle
23Low
Valle
to knock out
Elkins
34Elevated
Elkins
to submit
Valle
26Elevated
Valle
to submit
Elkins
45High
Recent Form
Elkins
Stat
Valle
1.99
3.40 career
↓1.41
SLpMOutput
↓2.98
1.07
4.05 career
3.16
3.34 career
↓0.18
SApMAbsorbed
↓1.23
0.93
2.16 career
12.80
8.43 career
↑4.37
TD AttAtt/15m
—
0.95
1.10 career
↓0.15
SubAtt/15m
↑0.78
2.78
2.00 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Elkins—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Julian ErosaVeteranFW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 4:15 · Apr '25
13 SS (42%)·54 abs·1/7 td·48s ctrl
W
Daniel PinedaFW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Oct '24
39 SS (44%)·31 abs·3/12 td·393s ctrl
W
TJ BrownFW Bout
SUB · R3 · 2:23 · Oct '23
11 SS (33%)·15 abs·5/8 td·2 td taken·489s ctrl·2 sub att
L
Jonathan PearceFW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Dec '22
57 SS (30%)·110 abs·2/5 td·2 td taken·48s ctrl
W
Tristan ConnellyFW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Apr '22
75 SS (50%)·66 abs·5/10 td·472s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Cub SwansonVeteranFW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 2:12 · Dec '21
2 SS (11%)·18 abs·0/2 td·1 kd taken
View full fight log →
Valle—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·3 fights
L
Jordan LeavittFW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Feb '26
13 SS (31%)·17 abs·4 td taken·137s ctrl
W
Isaac DulgarianFW Bout
SUB · R1 · 3:41 · Nov '25
1 SS (100%)·0 abs·176s ctrl·3 sub att
W
Connor MatthewsFW Bout
SUB · R1 · 2:54 · May '25
9 SS (75%)·3 abs·1/1 td·81s ctrl·1 sub att
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WAntonio Monteiro
DWCSU-DECR3Oct 2024
View full fight log →
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X