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Matchup Analysis·Lightweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues8 / 13
←Schultz vs McVeyYoung vs Dorsainvil→
Red Corner

Chris Padilla

“Taco”
17-6-15 UFCLast4mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Hot Streak
High Variance
Early Chaos
Output Builds Late
5'9"ht·74"+2"reach·Orthodoxstance·30age
VS
Lightweight155 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Nasrat Haqparast

18-615 UFCLast10mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Goes Long
Output Builds Late
High Wear
5'10"ht·72"reach·Southpawstance·30age
CQ
Edges—
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingPadillaSlight edge
DecisionPadillaClear edge
GrapplingPadillaSlight edge
KO Adv.PadillaClear edge
Sub Adv.PadillaSlight edge
DurabilityNo data
Signals
1 signal
SOUTHPAW

Haqparast is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent. The stance mismatch gives Haqparast natural angle advantages at range.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Padilla
Padilla
+1.31
Haqparast
+0.36
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Padilla
Padilla
0.16
Haqparast
0.07
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
Padilla
Padilla
82%
Haqparast
53%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Padilla
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Haqparast
70
Average
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Extreme
Padilla6.19SLpM
+
SLpM6.36Haqparast
12.6
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Contextual
PadillaEarly Finisher
HaqparastOutput Builds Late+74% R1→R3
Finish History
Padilla
KO/TKO ×2Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
75%
3/4
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Haqparast
KO/TKO ×2
Finish rate (wins)
20%
2/10
Stopped rate (losses)
40%
2/5
Edge & Exposure
Padilla
EdgeKO Threat

Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.

EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

Haqparast
EdgePressure Fighter

Output holds or improves as the fight extends. Wins the striking exchange in later rounds when opponents expect a slowdown.

ExposureWear Concern

High accumulated UFC fight volume. Susceptible to opponents who apply pressure in later rounds.

Opposition Quality
Padilla4–0UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
3–0
Record (4)
+1.3
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
Haqparast10–5UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
7–4
Record (11)
-0.5
Str Diff/Min
29%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
-25% step-up
2–2
Record (4)
-2.7
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
PadillaLightweightHaqparast
86th
Striking Differential
58th
43rd
Grappling Threat
15th
96th
Round Win Rate
51st
83rd
TD Defense
93rd
86th
Durability
51st
74th
Finishing Rate
2nd
Recent Form
Padilla
Stat
Haqparast
6.336.19 career
↑0.14
SLpMOutput
↑2.59
8.956.36 career
4.864.88 career
↓0.02
SApMAbsorbed
⚠↑3.29
9.296.00 career
3.803.94 career
↓0.14
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Padilla40% distance
Finish 60%Decision 40%
Haqparast73% distance
Finish 27%Decision 73%
Padilla 5 UFC fights·Haqparast 15 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Padilla
10.7min
Haqparast
11.7min
Combined Distance Rate
65%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
PadillaTO KNOCK OUTHaqparast
48
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins2
Total UFC wins4
Haqparast's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses2
Total UFC losses5
HaqparastTO KNOCK OUTPadilla
29
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins2
Total UFC wins10
Padilla's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses0
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
PadillaTO SUBMITHaqparast
14
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins1
Total UFC wins4
Haqparast's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses5
HaqparastTO SUBMITPadilla
5
Minimal
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins10
Padilla's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses0
PadillaWin MethodHaqparast
50%
KO / TKO
20%
25%
Submission
0%
25%
Decision
80%
4 UFC wins · 2 KO · 1 Sub · 1 Dec10 UFC wins · 2 KO · 8 Dec
Padilla
Loss Method
Haqparast
—
KO / TKO
40%
—
Submission
0%
—
Decision
60%
No UFC losses5 UFC losses · 2 KO · 3 Dec
Padilla3 stoppages · 2 KO · 1 Sub
R1
1
R2
2
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
Sub Win
All stoppages
WKOIsmael BonfimR2 · 4:30
WKORongzhuR2 · 4:14
WSubJames LlontopR1 · 4:33
Haqparast4 stoppages · 4 KO
R1
3
R2
1
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
All stoppages
LKOQuillan SalkilldR1 · 2:30
WKOJamie MullarkeyR1 · 1:44
LKODrew DoberR1 · 1:10
WKOJoaquim SilvaR2 · 0:36
Historical Context
Padilla — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
D
MarQuel MederosLW
M-DEC
R3
Apr '26
147 SS (54%)·112 abs·1/4 td·1 td taken·129s ctrl
W
Ismael BonfimLW
KO/TKO
R24:30
Nov '25
64 SS (59%)·42 abs·1 td taken·201s ctrl
W
Jai HerbertLW
S-DEC
R3
Mar '25
39 SS (40%)·38 abs·0/6 td·221s ctrl
W
RongzhuLW
KO/TKO
R24:14
Sep '24
68 SS (65%)·49 abs·0/1 td
W
James LlontopLW
SUB
R14:33
Apr '24
12 SS (46%)·19 abs·3/3 td·80s ctrl·1 sub att
View full fight log →
Haqparast — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Quillan SalkilldLW
KO/TKO
R12:30
Oct '25
10 SS (77%)·14 abs·1 kd taken
W
Esteban RibovicsLW
S-DEC
R3
Mar '25
135 SS (49%)·147 abs·1/5 td·49s ctrl
W
Jared GordonVeteranLW
S-DEC
R3
Jun '24
146 SS (46%)·141 abs
W
Jamie MullarkeyLW
KO/TKO
R11:44
Dec '23
16 SS (55%)·8 abs·5s ctrl·2 kd
W
Landon QuinonesLW
U-DEC
R3
Sep '23
171 SS (45%)·148 abs·0/5 td·21s ctrl
W
John MakdessiVeteranLW
U-DEC
R3
Sep '22
64 SS (37%)·73 abs·2/3 td·35s ctrl·1 kd
View full fight log →
Matchup·LW·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
8/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Chris Padilla

“Taco”
17-6-15 UFC4mo ago
5'9"ht74"+2"reachOrthodox30 yrs
VS·LW·3R
Blue Corner

Nasrat Haqparast

18-615 UFC10mo ago
5'10"ht72"reachSouthpaw30 yrs
CQ
Edges
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingPadillaSlight edge
DecisionPadillaClear edge
GrapplingPadillaSlight edge
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.PadillaClear edge
Sub Adv.PadillaSlight edge
Signals
1
SOUTHPAWHaqparast is a southpaw striker against an orthodox opponent.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Padilla
Padilla+1.31
Haqparast+0.36
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Padilla
Padilla0.16
Haqparast0.07
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
Padilla
Padilla82%
Haqparast53%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Padilla
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Haqparast
70Average
Stats
Padilla
Haqparast
Striking
6.19SS Landed / min6.36
54%Str Acc45%
4.88SS Absorbed / min6.00
49%Str Def63%
0.00KD / fight0.47
Grappling
1.13TD / min0.34
80%TD Def86%
0.30Sub Att · /15m0.00
—Sub Def100%
Finish History
Padilla
KO/TKO ×2Sub ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
75%
3/4
Stopped Rate (Losses)
—
—
Haqparast
KO/TKO ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
20%
2/10
Stopped Rate (Losses)
40%
2/5
Padilla40% distance
Finish 60%Decision 40%
Haqparast73% distance
Finish 27%Decision 73%
Padilla 5 UFC fights·Haqparast 15 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Padilla
10.7min
Haqparast
11.7min
Combined Distance Rate
65%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
PadillaWinHaqparast
50%
KO
20%
25%
Sub
0%
25%
Dec
80%
4 wins2 KO1 Sub1 Dec
8 Dec2 KO10 wins
PadillaLossHaqparast
—
KO
40%
—
Sub
0%
—
Dec
60%
—
3 Dec2 KO5 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Padilla
to knock out
Haqparast
48High
Haqparast
to knock out
Padilla
29Elevated
Padilla
to submit
Haqparast
14Low
Haqparast
to submit
Padilla
5Minimal
Recent Form
Padilla
Stat
Haqparast
6.33
6.19 career
↑0.14
SLpMOutput
↑2.59
8.95
6.36 career
4.86
4.88 career
↓0.02
SApMAbsorbed
↑3.29
9.29
6.00 career
3.80
3.94 career
↓0.14
TD AttAtt/15m
—
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Padilla—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
D
MarQuel MederosLW Bout
M-DEC · R3 · Apr '26
147 SS (54%)·112 abs·1/4 td·1 td taken·129s ctrl
W
Ismael BonfimLW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:30 · Nov '25
64 SS (59%)·42 abs·1 td taken·201s ctrl
W
Jai HerbertLW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Mar '25
39 SS (40%)·38 abs·0/6 td·221s ctrl
W
RongzhuLW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:14 · Sep '24
68 SS (65%)·49 abs·0/1 td
W
James LlontopLW Bout
SUB · R1 · 4:33 · Apr '24
12 SS (46%)·19 abs·3/3 td·80s ctrl·1 sub att
View full fight log →
Haqparast—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Quillan SalkilldLW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 2:30 · Oct '25
10 SS (77%)·14 abs·1 kd taken
W
Esteban RibovicsLW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Mar '25
135 SS (49%)·147 abs·1/5 td·49s ctrl
W
Jared GordonVeteranLW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Jun '24
146 SS (46%)·141 abs
W
Jamie MullarkeyLW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:44 · Dec '23
16 SS (55%)·8 abs·5s ctrl·2 kd
W
Landon QuinonesLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Sep '23
171 SS (45%)·148 abs·0/5 td·21s ctrl
W
John MakdessiVeteranLW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Sep '22
64 SS (37%)·73 abs·2/3 td·35s ctrl·1 kd
View full fight log →
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X