Matchup Analysis·Flyweight Bout
Red Corner
Asu Almabayev
“Zulfikar”
23-37 UFCLast7mo ago
Wrestler
Title Fight
5'4"ht·65"reach·Orthodoxstance·32age
VS
Flyweight125 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
Charles Johnson
“InnerG”
19-814 UFCLast3mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Aging Threat
Goes Long
Output Builds Late
Moderate Wear
5'9"+5"ht·70"+5"reach·Switchstance·35age
Signals2 signals
SUBMISSION
Almabayev actively hunts submissions on the ground.
REACH CLIFF
Johnson has a 5" reach advantage and fights at distance. In a pure range battle, Johnson's reach is a structural advantage.
CQ Core Edges
Almabayev
+0.32
Johnson
+0.75
Almabayev
1.38
Johnson
0.29
Almabayev
80%
Johnson
46%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Almabayev
69
AverageJohnson
83
Durable1 KO lossKO losses1 KO loss
0.00KD / fight0.21
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Almabayev2.31SLpM
+SLpM4.77Johnson
7.1
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
AlmabayevOutput Holds Steady-17% R1→R3
JohnsonOutput Builds Late+65% R1→R3
Finish History
Almabayev
Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
33%
2/6
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
1/1
Johnson
KO/TKO ×3
Finish rate (wins)
38%
3/8
Stopped rate (losses)
17%
1/6
Edge & Exposure
Almabayev
EdgeGrappling Dominant
Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.
EdgeSub Threat
Elite submission attempt rate. Consistently hunts finishes on the mat.
ExposureTakedown Vulnerable
Division-low TD defense rate. Opponents with an active takedown game have a clear structural path.
Johnson
EdgeStriking Edge
Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.
EdgePressure Fighter
Output holds or improves as the fight extends. Wins the striking exchange in later rounds when opponents expect a slowdown.
Opposition Quality
Almabayev6–1UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
4–1
Record (5)
+0.4
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Johnson8–6UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
6–6
Record (12)
+0.6
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
AlmabayevFlyweightJohnson
59th
Striking Differential
78th95th
Grappling Threat
14th96th
Round Win Rate
44th18th
TD Defense
65th37th
Durability
65th15th
Finishing Rate
24thRecent Form
Almabayev
Stat
Johnson
2.602.31 career
↑0.29
SLpMOutput
↑0.15
4.924.77 career
3.371.99 career
⚠↑1.38
SApMAbsorbed
⚠↑2.12
6.144.02 career
10.7610.41 career
↑0.35
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑3.42
6.463.04 career
1.201.50 career
↓0.30
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Decision Likely
Almabayev57% distance
Finish 43%Decision 57%
Johnson71% distance
Finish 29%Decision 71%
Almabayev 7 UFC fights·Johnson 14 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Almabayev
13.0min
Johnson
12.7min
Combined Distance Rate
67%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
AlmabayevTO KNOCK OUTJohnson
22
Low
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins0
Total UFC wins6
Johnson's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses6
JohnsonTO KNOCK OUTAlmabayev
50
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins3
Total UFC wins8
Almabayev's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses1
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
AlmabayevTO SUBMITJohnson
22
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins2
Total UFC wins6
Johnson's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses6
JohnsonTO SUBMITAlmabayev
7
Minimal
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins8
Almabayev's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses1
AlmabayevWin MethodJohnson
0%
KO / TKO
38%
33%
Submission
0%
67%
Decision
63%
6 UFC wins · 2 Sub · 4 Dec8 UFC wins · 3 KO · 5 Dec
Almabayev
Loss Method
Johnson100%
KO / TKO
17%
0%
Submission
0%
0%
Decision
83%
1 UFC loss · 1 KO6 UFC losses · 1 KO · 5 Dec
Almabayev3 stoppages · 1 KO · 2 Sub
R10
R2
1
R3
2
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubAlex PerezR3 · 0:22
LKOManel KapeR3 · 2:16
WSubOde OsbourneR2 · 3:11
Johnson4 stoppages · 4 KO
R1
2
R2
1
R3
1
KO Win
KO Loss
All stoppages
LKOAlex PerezR1 · 3:16
WKOLone'er KavanaghR2 · 4:35
WKOJoshua VanR3 · 0:20
WKOJimmy FlickR1 · 4:33
Historical Context
Almabayev — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
36 SS (40%)·40 abs·2/5 td·3 td taken·72s ctrl·1 sub att
22 SS (52%)·26 abs·7/16 td·1 td taken·566s ctrl·2 sub att
40 SS (50%)·61 abs·0/6 td
22 SS (41%)·16 abs·1/6 td·317s ctrl·1 kd
20 SS (69%)·5 abs·6/11 td·1 td taken·684s ctrl·4 sub att
44 SS (57%)·29 abs·9/14 td·572s ctrl
Johnson — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
85 SS (52%)·73 abs·0/6 td·6s ctrl
8 SS (32%)·39 abs·0/1 td·2 kd taken
44 SS (54%)·59 abs·1/5 td·1 td taken·32s ctrl·1 kd
66 SS (42%)·55 abs·0/3 td·1 td taken·78s ctrl
65 SS (43%)·75 abs·2/6 td·178s ctrl·1 kd
88 SS (46%)·67 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·34s ctrl·1 kd
Common Opponents
Ode OsbourneSplit result
W
Almabayev
Sub·R2·2023
L
Johnson
SD·R3·2023
Alex PerezSplit result
W
Almabayev
Sub·R3·2025
L
Johnson
KO/TKO·R1·2026