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Matchup Analysis·Light Heavyweight Bout
↑UFC Freedom 2502 / 7
←Topuria vs GaethjeO'Malley vs Zahabi→
Red Corner

Alex Pereira

“Poatan”
13-312 UFCLast8mo ago
Kickboxer
Aging Threat
8× Title
8× 5R
High Variance
High Wear
6'4"ht·79"reach·Orthodoxstance·38age
VS
Light Heavyweight205 lbs
5R
Blue Corner

Ciryl Gane

“Bon Gamin”
13-2(1 NC)13 UFCLast7mo ago
Kickboxer
Aging Threat
8× Title
8× 5R
Output Builds Late
Moderate Wear
6'4"ht·81"+2"reach·Orthodoxstance·36age
CQ
EdgesElevated Finish Risk
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingGaneClear edge
DecisionGaneSlight edge
GrapplingNo edge
KO Adv.GaneClear edge
Sub Adv.No edge
DurabilityNo edge
CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Gane
Pereira
+1.66
Gane
+2.96
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
No edge
Pereira
0.06
Gane
0.14
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
Gane
Pereira
61%
Gane
84%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Pereira
81
Durable
Gane
100
Ironclad
1 KO lossKO losses0 KO losses
0.08KD / fight0.08
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Extreme
Pereira5.16SLpM
+
SLpM5.29Gane
10.4
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
No edge
PereiraOutput Builds Late+31% R1→R3
GaneOutput Builds Late+43% R1→R3
Finish History
Pereira
KO/TKO ×8
Finish rate (wins)
80%
8/10
Stopped rate (losses)
50%
1/2
Gane
KO/TKO ×4Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
60%
6/10
Stopped rate (losses)
50%
1/2
Edge & Exposure
Pereira
EdgeKO Threat

Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.

EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

Gane
EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

EdgePressure Fighter

Output holds or improves as the fight extends. Wins the striking exchange in later rounds when opponents expect a slowdown.

Opposition Quality
Pereira10–2UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
9–2
Record (11)
+3.7
Str Diff/Min
78%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
-15% step-up
5–2
Record (7)
+3.8
Str Diff/Min
80%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)

Not enough qualifying fights

Gane10–2UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
9–2
Record (12)
+3.4
Str Diff/Min
56%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
-12% step-up
4–2
Record (7)
+2.9
Str Diff/Min
75%
Finish (W)
vs. Elite Opps (≥15 UFC wins)
2–1
Record (3)
+4.3
Str Diff/Min
100%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
PereiraLight HeavyweightGane
84th
Striking Differential
95th
22nd
Grappling Threat
42nd
76th
Round Win Rate
98th
70th
TD Defense
23rd
79th
Durability
98th
59th
Finishing Rate
39th
Recent Form
Pereira
Stat
Gane
5.045.16 career
↓0.12
SLpMOutput
↑1.14
6.435.29 career
3.473.50 career
↓0.03
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.39
2.722.33 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
↓0.62
2.122.74 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↑0.46
1.060.60 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Elevated Finish Risk
Pereira25% distance
Finish 75%Decision 25%
Gane39% distance
Finish 61%Decision 39%
Pereira 12 UFC fights·Gane 13 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Pereira
11.1min
Gane
13.5min
Combined Distance Rate
32%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
PereiraTO KNOCK OUTGane
31
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins8
Total UFC wins10
Gane's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses2
GaneTO KNOCK OUTPereira
51
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins4
Total UFC wins10
Pereira's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses2
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
PereiraTO SUBMITGane
22
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins10
Gane's Sub Losses
Sub losses1
Total UFC losses2
GaneTO SUBMITPereira
17
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins2
Total UFC wins10
Pereira's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses2
PereiraWin MethodGane
80%
KO / TKO
40%
0%
Submission
20%
20%
Decision
40%
10 UFC wins · 8 KO · 2 Dec10 UFC wins · 4 KO · 2 Sub · 4 Dec
Pereira
Loss Method
Gane
50%
KO / TKO
0%
0%
Submission
50%
50%
Decision
50%
2 UFC losses · 1 KO · 1 Dec2 UFC losses · 1 Sub · 1 Dec
Pereira9 stoppages · 9 KO
R1
3
R2
4
R3
0
R4
1
R5
1
R1R2R3R4R5
KO Win
KO Loss
All stoppages
WKOMagomed AnkalaevR1 · 1:20
WKOKhalil Rountree Jr.R4 · 4:32
WKOJiri ProchazkaR2 · 0:13
WKOJamahal HillR1 · 3:14
WKOJiri ProchazkaR2 · 4:08
Gane8 stoppages · 4 KO · 3 Sub
R1
3
R2
2
R3
3
R4
0
R5
0
R1R2R3R4R5
KO Win
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
NCFinTom AspinallR1 · 4:35
WKOSerghei SpivacR2 · 3:44
LSubJon JonesR1 · 2:04
WKOTai TuivasaR3 · 4:23
WKODerrick LewisR3 · 4:11
Historical Context
Pereira — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Magomed AnkalaevVeteranTITLELHW
KO/TKO
R11:20
Oct '25
28 SS (62%)·4 abs·17s ctrl
L
Magomed AnkalaevVeteranTITLELHW
U-DEC
R5
Mar '25
76 SS (55%)·94 abs·0/1 td
W
Khalil Rountree Jr.VeteranTITLELHW
KO/TKO
R44:32
Oct '24
127 SS (61%)·61 abs·1 kd
W
Jiri ProchazkaTITLELHW
KO/TKO
R20:13
Jun '24
38 SS (76%)·7 abs·2 kd
W
Jamahal HillTITLELHW
KO/TKO
R13:14
Apr '24
24 SS (80%)·12 abs·7s ctrl·1 kd
W
Jiri ProchazkaTITLELHW
KO/TKO
R24:08
Nov '23
38 SS (62%)·30 abs·1 td taken·8s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub att
View full fight log →
Gane — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
NC
Tom AspinallVeteranTITLEHW
Could Not …
R1
Oct '25
30 SS (75%)·27 abs
W
Alexander VolkovVeteranHW
S-DEC
R3
Dec '24
43 SS (70%)·39 abs·2/4 td·3 td taken·220s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Serghei SpivacTITLEHW
KO/TKO
R23:44
Sep '23
109 SS (70%)·11 abs·9s ctrl
L
Jon JonesEliteTITLEHW
SUB
R12:04
Mar '23
6 SS (75%)·5 abs·2 td taken
W
Tai TuivasaVeteranTITLEHW
KO/TKO
R34:23
Sep '22
110 SS (65%)·29 abs·0/1 td·1 kd·1 kd taken
L
Francis NgannouVeteranTITLEHW
U-DEC
R5
Jan '22
63 SS (69%)·43 abs·1/3 td·4 td taken·171s ctrl·3 sub att
View full fight log →
Matchup·LHW·5R
↑UFC Freedom 250
2/7←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Alex Pereira

“Poatan”
13-312 UFC8mo ago
6'4"ht79"reachOrthodox38 yrs
VS·LHW·5R
Blue Corner

Ciryl Gane

“Bon Gamin”
13-2(1 NC)13 UFC7mo ago
6'4"ht81"+2"reachOrthodox36 yrs
CQ
Edges
Elevated Finish Risk
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingGaneClear edge
DecisionGaneSlight edge
GrapplingNo edge
DurabilityNo edge
KO Adv.GaneClear edge
Sub Adv.No edge
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Gane
Pereira+1.66
Gane+2.96
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
No edge
Pereira0.06
Gane0.14
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
Gane
Pereira61%
Gane84%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No edge
Pereira
81Durable
Gane
100Ironclad
Stats
Pereira
Gane
Striking
5.16SS Landed / min5.29
62%Str Acc61%
3.50SS Absorbed / min2.33
53%Str Def60%
0.58KD / fight0.23
Grappling
0.11TD / min0.68
79%TD Def47%
0.20Sub Att · /15m0.60
100%Sub Def50%
Finish History
Pereira
KO/TKO ×8
Finish Rate (Wins)
80%
8/10
Stopped Rate (Losses)
50%
1/2
Gane
KO/TKO ×4Sub ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
60%
6/10
Stopped Rate (Losses)
50%
1/2
Pereira25% distance
Finish 75%Decision 25%
Gane39% distance
Finish 61%Decision 39%
Pereira 12 UFC fights·Gane 13 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Pereira
11.1min
Gane
13.5min
Combined Distance Rate
32%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
PereiraWinGane
80%
KO
40%
0%
Sub
20%
20%
Dec
40%
10 wins8 KO2 Dec
4 Dec2 Sub4 KO10 wins
PereiraLossGane
50%
KO
0%
0%
Sub
50%
50%
Dec
50%
2 losses1 KO1 Dec
1 Dec1 Sub2 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Pereira
to knock out
Gane
31Elevated
Gane
to knock out
Pereira
51High
Pereira
to submit
Gane
22Low
Gane
to submit
Pereira
17Low
Recent Form
Pereira
Stat
Gane
5.04
5.16 career
↓0.12
SLpMOutput
↑1.14
6.43
5.29 career
3.47
3.50 career
↓0.03
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.39
2.72
2.33 career
—
TD AttAtt/15m
↓0.62
2.12
2.74 career
—
SubAtt/15m
↑0.46
1.06
0.60 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Pereira—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Magomed AnkalaevVeteranTITLELHW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 1:20 · Oct '25
28 SS (62%)·4 abs·17s ctrl
L
Magomed AnkalaevVeteranTITLELHW Bout
U-DEC · R5 · Mar '25
76 SS (55%)·94 abs·0/1 td
W
Khalil Rountree Jr.VeteranTITLELHW Bout
KO/TKO · R4 · 4:32 · Oct '24
127 SS (61%)·61 abs·1 kd
W
Jiri ProchazkaTITLELHW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 0:13 · Jun '24
38 SS (76%)·7 abs·2 kd
W
Jamahal HillTITLELHW Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 3:14 · Apr '24
24 SS (80%)·12 abs·7s ctrl·1 kd
W
Jiri ProchazkaTITLELHW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:08 · Nov '23
38 SS (62%)·30 abs·1 td taken·8s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub att
View full fight log →
Gane—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
NC
Tom AspinallVeteranTITLEHW Bout
Could Not … · R1 · Oct '25
30 SS (75%)·27 abs
W
Alexander VolkovVeteranHW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Dec '24
43 SS (70%)·39 abs·2/4 td·3 td taken·220s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Serghei SpivacTITLEHW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 3:44 · Sep '23
109 SS (70%)·11 abs·9s ctrl
L
Jon JonesEliteTITLEHW Bout
SUB · R1 · 2:04 · Mar '23
6 SS (75%)·5 abs·2 td taken
W
Tai TuivasaVeteranTITLEHW Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 4:23 · Sep '22
110 SS (65%)·29 abs·0/1 td·1 kd·1 kd taken
L
Francis NgannouVeteranTITLEHW Bout
U-DEC · R5 · Jan '22
63 SS (69%)·43 abs·1/3 td·4 td taken·171s ctrl·3 sub att
View full fight log →
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CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X