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Serghei Spivac absorbs 4.2 and lands 3.6 significant strikes per minute. Concedes more than outputs. Negative striking margin.

Serghei Spivac's striking output climbs from round 1 to round 3.

Serghei Spivac's takedown threat ranks in the top 10% of the division. Takedown volume and opponent defense rate both point to a credible wrestling threat.

Serghei Spivac wins 47% of rounds across 32 scored. Round splits are close.

Serghei Spivac has 4 KO/TKO losses in 7 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.13 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 42 out of 99, average for the division.

Serghei Spivac finishes 67% of wins by KO/TKO or submission.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Heavyweight
“Polar Bear”

Serghei Spivac

18-716 UFC
Wrestler
Form
3× Title
3× 5R
High Variance
Early Chaos
Output Builds Late
High Wear
6'3"ht·78"reach·Orthodoxstance·31age
Last fightLVitor Petrino·U-DEC·R3·this month
Fighter Context
9–7UFC·
3KO
·
3Sub
·
3Dec
·
8.8min/fight
·
141UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
7–5(12 fights)
·
86%finish rate
·
-0.8str diff/min
vs. Veteran Opps
3–3(6 fights)
·
67%finish rate
·
-1.5str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-0.66
Deficit
24%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.751
Elite
94%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
42
Average
33%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
47%
Average
32%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Serghei Spivac — 3.57 significant strikes per minute, 47% striking accuracy, absorbs 4.23 strikes per minute.

Spivac
Ground & Pound
Head Hunter
Heavyweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min3.57
Str. Accuracy47%
471UFC landed/1,005attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
+0.6 vs avg4.23
Str. Defense52%
KD Rate / fight0.00
KD Absorbed / fight0.13
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
94%
Body
4%
Leg
2%
By Position
Distance63%
/
Clinch4%
/
Ground34%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 116 rounds
Round 210 rounds
Round 36 rounds
Avg. Landed111819
Avg. Absorbed181921
Avg. Net-6-1-2
Grappling

Serghei Spivac — 3.8 takedowns per 15 minutes, 59% takedown accuracy, 0.5 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 63% takedown defense.

Spivac
G&P Threat
·156s ctrlActive Control
Heavyweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.82
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY5.98
TD Accuracy59%
32UFC landed/56attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.50
3UFC wins/4attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense63%
9UFC defended/17opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Escaped Once
Finishing

Serghei Spivac — 9 UFC wins (3 KO/TKO, 3 submission, 3 decision), 67% finish rate.

Finish Rate
67%
Strong Finisher
div avg 68%
How They Lose
7UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO3 / 9
Submission3 / 9
Decision3 / 9
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO4 / 7
Submission0 / 7
Decision3 / 7
Loss Pattern
4 of 7 losses by finish in R1–R2
Fast and versatile. 6 of 6 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
1.3pts
W3 dec
2.3pts
L3 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
0SD
·
1MD
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
sig. strikes trending down. Averaging 6 less in second half of career
0+21+42+63+84avg20192020202120222023202420252026

16 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.21.43.0R1R2R3
R1n=16
R2n=10
R3n=6
Outputsig strikes / min
2.8
3.9
3.8
Absorbedsig strikes / min
4.3
4.1
4.2
Diff
-1.6
-0.2
-0.4

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▲Absorbed+67%L3
-154%-36%82%WWLWLLWL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Spivac — 16 UFC Fights

Serghei Spivac — UFC fight record: 9 wins, 7 losses.

Result
Method
16 fights
L
Vitor PetrinoVeteran
HW
U-DEC R3Aug '26
-41
·23 SS (34%)·64 abs·0/2 td·4 td taken·22s ctrl
W
Ante Delija
HW
U-DEC R3Feb '26
+6
·67 SS (45%)·61 abs·1/4 td·180s ctrl
L
Waldo Cortes Acosta
HW
U-DEC R3Jun '25
-62
·48 SS (40%)·110 abs·2/6 td·145s ctrl
L
Jailton AlmeidaVeteran
HW
KO/TKO R1 · 4:53Jan '25
-8
·15 SS (54%)·23 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·128s ctrl
W
Marcin TyburaVeteran
TITLEHW
SUB R1 · 1:44Aug '24
+3
·3 SS (60%)·1/1 td·34s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Ciryl GaneVeteran
TITLEHW
KO/TKO R2 · 3:44Sep '23
-98
·11 SS (25%)·109 abs·0/1 td
W
Derrick LewisElite
TITLEHW
SUB R1 · 3:05Feb '23
+12
·12 SS (57%)·6/8 td·152s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Augusto Sakai
HW
KO/TKO R2 · 3:42Aug '22
+25
·33 SS (67%)·8 abs·6/8 td·397s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Greg Hardy
HW
KO/TKO R1 · 2:16Mar '22
+7
·14 SS (52%)·7 abs·3/4 td·81s ctrl
L
Tom Aspinall
HW
KO/TKO R1 · 2:30Sep '21
-16
·16 abs·0/2 td·1 kd taken
All Fighters
Heavyweight
“Polar Bear”

Serghei Spivac

18-716 UFC
Form
6'3"ht·78"reach·Orthodoxstance·31age
Last fightLVitor Petrino·U-DEC·this month
Fighter Context
9–7UFC·
3KO
·
3Sub
·
3Dec
·
8.8min/fight
·
141UFC min
vs. Winning Record7–5
vs. Veterans (8+ W)3–3
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-0.66
24%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.751
94%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
42
33%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
47%
32%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Spivac
Heavyweight avg
Ground & PoundHead Hunter
Sig. Strikes / Min3.57
Str. Accuracy47%
471UFC landed/1,005attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
+0.6 vs avg4.23
Str. Defense52%
KD Rate / Fight0.00
KD Absorbed / Fight0.13
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
94%
Body
4%
Leg
2%
By Position
Dist63%
Clinch4%
Ground34%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=16
R2
n=10
R3
n=6
Landed111819
Absorbed181921
Net-6-1-2
Grappling
Spivac
Heavyweight avg
G&P Threat
156s ctrlActive Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.82
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY5.98
TD Accuracy59%
32UFC landed/56attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.50
3UFC wins/4attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense63%
9UFC defended/17opp. attempts
Sub Defense0 loss / 1 attempt
Finishing
Finish Rate
67%
Strong Finisher
Win Methods
3KO/TKO
3Sub
3Dec
Loss Methods
4KO/TKO
0Sub
3Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
1.3pts
W3 dec
2.3pts
L3 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
0SD
·
1MD
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.21.43.0R1R2R3
R1n=16
R2n=10
R3n=6
Outputsig strikes / min
2.8
3.9
3.8
Absorbedsig strikes / min
4.3
4.1
4.2
Diff
-1.6
-0.2
-0.4

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Spivac — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Vitor PetrinoVeteranHW
U-DEC·R3·Aug '26
23 SS (34%)·64 abs·0/2 td·4 td taken·22s ctrl
W
Ante DelijaHW
U-DEC·R3·Feb '26
67 SS (45%)·61 abs·1/4 td·180s ctrl
L
Waldo Cortes AcostaHW
U-DEC·R3·Jun '25
48 SS (40%)·110 abs·2/6 td·145s ctrl
L
Jailton AlmeidaVeteranHW
KO/TKO·R1·Jan '25
15 SS (54%)·23 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·128s ctrl
W
Marcin TyburaVeteranTITLEHW
SUB·R1·Aug '24
3 SS (60%)·1/1 td·34s ctrl·1 sub
L
Ciryl GaneVeteranTITLEHW
KO/TKO·R2·Sep '23
11 SS (25%)·109 abs·0/1 td
W
Derrick LewisEliteTITLEHW
SUB·R1·Feb '23
12 SS (57%)·6/8 td·152s ctrl·1 sub
W
Augusto SakaiHW
KO/TKO·R2·Aug '22
33 SS (67%)·8 abs·6/8 td·397s ctrl·1 sub
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X