NOTE
This article is in progress. Full methodology documentation including formulas and backtesting results is coming soon.
Coming soon
This section will document the full analytical methodology behind CageQuant's derived statistics.
Topics planned:
- Adjusted finish rate: Bayesian shrinkage formula and rationale
- KO danger score: threat and vulnerability components, tier thresholds, backtesting accuracy
- Sub danger score: construction and validation
- Round win rate: formula and decision accuracy
- Style classification: 8-label system, inputs, and classification logic
- Striking differential: how the edge score is constructed
- Age gap signal: empirical basis and threshold calibration
- Backtesting methodology: how accuracy is measured across historical fights