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Fighter Profile›Welterweight
“Red King”

Rory MacDonald

19-413 UFC
Balanced
Form
· 2L
Inactive
3× Title
3× 5R
High Wear
6'0"ht·76"reach·Orthodoxstance·36age
Last fightLStephen Thompson·U-DEC·R5·9yr ago
Fighter Context
9–4UFC·
3KO
·
1Sub
·
5Dec
·
13.7min/fight
·
178UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
8–3(11 fights)
·
38%finish rate
·
+2.0str diff/min
vs. Veteran Opps
4–1(5 fights)
·
0%finish rate
·
+2.3str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
+0.95
Positive

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.277
Average

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65
Average

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
66%
Strong

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
MacDonald
Distance Striker
Head Hunter
Welterweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min3.75
Str. Accuracy42%
667UFC landed/1,570attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−0.9 vs avg2.80
Str. Defense62%
KD Rate / fight0.08
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.15
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
75%
Body
19%
Leg
6%
By Position
Distance76%
/
Clinch8%
/
Ground15%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 113 rounds
Round 211 rounds
Round 310 rounds
Round 42 rounds
Round 52 rounds
Avg. Landed1423172011
Avg. Absorbed1012152223
Avg. Net+4+11+2-2-11
Grappling
MacDonald
G&P Threat
·133s ctrlActive Control
Welterweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.77
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.71
TD Accuracy47%
21UFC landed/44attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.40
1UFC wins/5attempted
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense88%
40UFC defended/45opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Escaped Once
Finishing
Finish Rate
44%
Average
div avg 53%
How They Lose
4UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO3 / 9
Submission1 / 9
Decision5 / 9
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 4
Submission0 / 4
Decision2 / 4
Loss Pattern
2 of 4 losses by finish in R3+
Fast and versatile. 3 of 4 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3R4R5
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
3.2pts
W3 dec
2.7pts
L2 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
6UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
14%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 13 more in second half of career
0+33+67+100+133avg2010201120122013201420152016

13 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
1.12.53.8R1R2R3
R1n=13
R2n=11
R3n=10
Outputsig strikes / min
2.9
4.8
3.6
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.0
2.6
3.1
Diff
+0.9
+2.2
+0.5

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼TD Acc-72%L3
-52%32%116%WWLWWWLL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
MacDonald — 13 UFC Fights
Result
Method
13 fights
L
Stephen Thompson
TITLE
U-DEC R5Jun '16
-49
·
61 SS (40%)·110 abs·0/2 td·8s ctrl
L
Robbie LawlerVeteran
TITLE
KO/TKO R5 · 1:00Jul '15
+16
·
86 SS (39%)·70 abs·0/4 td·1 kd taken
W
Tarec Saffiedine
TITLE
KO/TKO R3 · 1:28Oct '14
+5
·
47 SS (42%)·42 abs·1/3 td·20s ctrl·1 kd landed
W
Tyron Woodley
U-DEC R3Jun '14
+23
·
49 SS (33%)·26 abs·1/2 td·187s ctrl
W
Demian MaiaVeteran
U-DEC R3Feb '14
+24
·
75 SS (35%)·51 abs·2 td taken·7s ctrl
L
Robbie Lawler
S-DEC R3Nov '13
-7
·
37 SS (35%)·44 abs·4/6 td·185s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub att
W
Jake EllenbergerVeteran
U-DEC R3Jul '13
+27
·
46 SS (39%)·19 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken
W
BJ PennVeteran
U-DEC R3Dec '12
+92
·
116 SS (57%)·24 abs·1/3 td·152s ctrl
W
Che Mills
KO/TKO R2 · 2:20Apr '12
+41
·
47 SS (68%)·6 abs·2/2 td·351s ctrl
W
Mike Pyle
KO/TKO R1 · 3:54Aug '11
+21
·
24 SS (65%)·3 abs·2 td taken·108s ctrl·2 sub att
All Fighters
Welterweight
“Red King”

Rory MacDonald

19-413 UFC
Form
2L
6'0"ht·76"reach·Orthodoxstance·36age
Last fightLStephen Thompson·U-DEC·9yr ago
Fighter Context
9–4UFC·
3KO
·
1Sub
·
5Dec
·
13.7min/fight
·
178UFC min
vs. Winning Record8–3
vs. Veterans (8+ W)4–1
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
+0.95

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.277

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
66%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
MacDonald
Welterweight avg
Distance StrikerHead Hunter
Sig. Strikes / Min3.75
Str. Accuracy42%
667UFC landed/1,570attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−0.9 vs avg2.80
Str. Defense62%
KD Rate / Fight0.08
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.15
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
75%
Body
19%
Leg
6%
By Position
Dist76%
Clinch8%
Ground15%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=13
R2
n=11
R3
n=10
R4
n=2
R5
n=2
Landed1423172011
Absorbed1012152223
Net+4+11+2-2-11
Grappling
MacDonald
Welterweight avg
G&P Threat
133s ctrlActive Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.77
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.71
TD Accuracy47%
21UFC landed/44attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.40
1UFC wins/5attempted
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense88%
40UFC defended/45opp. attempts
Sub Defense0 loss / 1 attempt
Finishing
Finish Rate
44%
Average
Win Methods
3KO/TKO
1Sub
5Dec
Loss Methods
2KO/TKO
0Sub
2Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
3.2pts
W3 dec
2.7pts
L2 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
6UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
14%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
1.12.53.8R1R2R3
R1n=13
R2n=11
R3n=10
Outputsig strikes / min
2.9
4.8
3.6
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.0
2.6
3.1
Diff
+0.9
+2.2
+0.5

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

MacDonald — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Stephen ThompsonTITLE
U-DEC·R5·Jun '16
61 SS (40%)·110 abs·0/2 td·8s ctrl
L
Robbie LawlerVeteranTITLE
KO/TKO·R5·Jul '15
86 SS (39%)·70 abs·0/4 td·1 kd taken
W
Tarec SaffiedineTITLE
KO/TKO·R3·Oct '14
47 SS (42%)·42 abs·1/3 td·20s ctrl·1 kd
W
Tyron Woodley
U-DEC·R3·Jun '14
49 SS (33%)·26 abs·1/2 td·187s ctrl
W
Demian MaiaVeteran
U-DEC·R3·Feb '14
75 SS (35%)·51 abs·2 td taken·7s ctrl
L
Robbie Lawler
S-DEC·R3·Nov '13
37 SS (35%)·44 abs·4/6 td·185s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub
W
Jake EllenbergerVeteran
U-DEC·R3·Jul '13
46 SS (39%)·19 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken
W
BJ PennVeteran
U-DEC·R3·Dec '12
116 SS (57%)·24 abs·1/3 td·152s ctrl
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X