Fighter Profile›Welterweight

“The Juggernaut”

Jake Ellenberger

31-1521 UFC

Balanced

Form

· 4L

Inactive

2× 5R

High Variance

Early Chaos

Output Drops Late

High Wear

5'9"ht·71"reach·Orthodoxstance·41age

Last fightLBryan Barberena·KO/TKO·R1·7yr ago

Fighter Context

10–11UFC·

6KO

1Sub

3Dec

8.1min/fight

169UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

7–9(16 fights)

71%finish rate

-0.5str diff/min

vs. Veteran Opps

4–2(6 fights)

75%finish rate

+1.6str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

-0.36

Deficit

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.319

Average

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Average

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

44%

Passive

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Ellenberger

Head Hunter

Welterweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min2.47

Str. Accuracy39%

417UFC landed/1,060attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

−0.9 vs avg2.83

Str. Defense60%

KD Rate / fight0.52

11UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.43

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

74%

Body

17%

Leg

By Position

Distance62%

Clinch20%

Ground18%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 121 rounds	Round 212 rounds	Round 38 rounds
Avg. Landed	11	9	9
Avg. Absorbed	12	10	14
Avg. Net	-1	0	-5

Grappling

Ellenberger

G&P Threat

·99s ctrlAverage Control

Welterweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min2.04

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY4.26

TD Accuracy47%

23UFC landed/48attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.40

1UFC wins/4attempted

Defense

Elite TD Def

TD Defense86%

25UFC defended/29opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Rarely Tapped

Finishing

Finish Rate

70%

Strong Finisher

div avg 53%

How They Lose

11UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO6 / 10

Submission1 / 10

Decision3 / 10

KD → Finish

5/9Moderate

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO7 / 11

Submission1 / 11

Decision3 / 11

Loss Pattern

7 of 11 losses by finish in R1–R2

Fast and versatile. 6 of 7 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

KO/TKO L

SUB W

SUB L

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

—

More data needed.

Decision Margin

0.7pts

W2 dec

2.0pts

L2 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

4UD

2SD

0MD

33%split rate

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

sig. strikes trending down. Averaging 8 less in second half of career

21 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output Drops Late

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=21

R2n=12

R3n=8

Outputsig strikes / min

2.7

2.3

2.0

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.9

2.4

3.2

Diff

-0.2

-0.1

-1.1

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

▲Str. Acc+40%L3

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp

Ellenberger — 21 UFC Fights

Result

Method

21 fights

Bryan Barberena

KO/TKO R1 · 2:26Aug '18

-7

·12 SS (86%)·19 abs·22s ctrl·2 kd taken

Ben SaundersVeteran

KO/TKO R1 · 1:56Jun '18

-5

·5 SS (56%)·10 abs·40s ctrl·1 kd taken

Mike Perry

KO/TKO R2 · 1:05Apr '17

-9

·17 SS (41%)·26 abs·1/4 td·29s ctrl·2 kd taken

Jorge Masvidal

KO/TKO R1 · 4:05Dec '16

-33

·11 SS (35%)·44 abs·0/1 td

Matt BrownVeteran

KO/TKO R1 · 1:46Jul '16

+14

·21 SS (62%)·7 abs·41s ctrl·2 kd landed

Tarec Saffiedine

U-DEC R3Jan '16

-24

·30 SS (30%)·54 abs·0/4 td·54s ctrl

Stephen Thompson

KO/TKO R1 · 4:29Jul '15

-15

·5 SS (36%)·20 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·1 kd landed·2 kd taken

Josh KoscheckElite

SUB R2 · 4:20Feb '15

·15 SS (29%)·7 abs·1 td taken·21s ctrl·1 sub att

Kelvin Gastelum

SUB R1 · 4:46Nov '14

-6

·10 SS (42%)·16 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken

Robbie Lawler

KO/TKO R3 · 3:06May '14

-39

·29 SS (33%)·68 abs·2/3 td·46s ctrl·1 kd taken

All Fighters

Welterweight

“The Juggernaut”

Jake Ellenberger

31-1521 UFC

Form

5'9"ht·71"reach·Orthodoxstance·41age

Last fightLBryan Barberena·KO/TKO·7yr ago

Fighter Context

10–11UFC·

6KO

1Sub

3Dec

8.1min/fight

169UFC min

vs. Winning Record7–9

vs. Veterans (8+ W)4–2

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

-0.36

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.319

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

44%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Ellenberger

Welterweight avg

Head Hunter

Sig. Strikes / Min2.47

Str. Accuracy39%

417UFC landed/1,060attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

−0.9 vs avg2.83

Str. Defense60%

KD Rate / Fight0.52

11UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.43

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

74%

Body

17%

Leg

By Position

Dist62%

Clinch20%

Ground18%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=21	R2 n=12	R3 n=8
Landed	11	9	9
Absorbed	12	10	14
Net	-1	0	-5

Grappling

Ellenberger

Welterweight avg

G&P Threat

99s ctrlAverage Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min2.04

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY4.26

TD Accuracy47%

23UFC landed/48attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.40

1UFC wins/4attempted

Defense

Elite TD Def

TD Defense86%

25UFC defended/29opp. attempts

Sub Defense1 loss / 6 attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

70%

Strong Finisher

Win Methods

6KO/TKO

1Sub

3Dec

Loss Methods

7KO/TKO

1Sub

3Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

KO (L)

Sub (W)

Sub (L)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

—More data needed.

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

0.7pts

W2 dec

2.0pts

L2 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

4UD

2SD

0MD

33%split rate

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output Drops Late

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=21

R2n=12

R3n=8

Outputsig strikes / min

2.7

2.3

2.0

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.9

2.4

3.2

Diff

-0.2

-0.1

-1.1

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Ellenberger — UFC Fight Log

Bryan Barberena

KO/TKO·R1·Aug '18

12 SS (86%)·19 abs·22s ctrl·2 kd taken

Ben SaundersVeteran

KO/TKO·R1·Jun '18

5 SS (56%)·10 abs·40s ctrl·1 kd taken

Mike Perry

KO/TKO·R2·Apr '17

17 SS (41%)·26 abs·1/4 td·29s ctrl·2 kd taken

Jorge Masvidal

KO/TKO·R1·Dec '16

11 SS (35%)·44 abs·0/1 td

Matt BrownVeteran

KO/TKO·R1·Jul '16

21 SS (62%)·7 abs·41s ctrl·2 kd

Tarec Saffiedine

U-DEC·R3·Jan '16

30 SS (30%)·54 abs·0/4 td·54s ctrl

Stephen Thompson

KO/TKO·R1·Jul '15

5 SS (36%)·20 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·1 kd·2 kd taken

Josh KoscheckElite

SUB·R2·Feb '15

15 SS (29%)·7 abs·1 td taken·21s ctrl·1 sub

Round 121 rounds

Round 212 rounds

Round 38 rounds

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-1

-5

n=21

n=12

n=8

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-1

-5