Fighter Profile›Middleweight

“Sapo”

Rafael Natal

21-9-117 UFC

Grappler

Form

· 3L

Inactive

High Wear

6'0"ht·77"reach·Orthodoxstance·43age

Last fightLEryk Anders·KO/TKO·R1·8yr ago

Fighter Context

9–7–1UFC·

1KO

1Sub

7Dec

12.4min/fight

212UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

3–6(9 fights)

0%finish rate

-0.0str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

+0.62

Neutral

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.302

Average

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Average

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

66%

Strong

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Natal

Leg Kicker

Middleweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min3.10

Str. Accuracy47%

656UFC landed/1,370attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

−1.1 vs avg2.48

Str. Defense57%

KD Rate / fight0.29

5UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.35

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

58%

Body

14%

Leg

28%

By Position

Distance66%

Clinch12%

Ground22%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 117 rounds	Round 214 rounds	Round 313 rounds
Avg. Landed	14	18	13
Avg. Absorbed	11	9	16
Avg. Net	+3	+9	-2

Grappling

Natal

Sub Hunter

·189s ctrlActive Control

Middleweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min2.55

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY7.44

TD Accuracy34%

36UFC landed/105attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.50

1UFC wins/7attempted

Defense

Elite TD Def

TD Defense77%

27UFC defended/35opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Sub Proof

Finishing

Finish Rate

22%

Decision Fighter

div avg 61%

How They Lose

7UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO1 / 9

Submission1 / 9

Decision7 / 9

KD → Finish

1/3Moderate

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO4 / 7

Submission0 / 7

Decision3 / 7

Loss Pattern

4 of 7 losses by finish in R1–R2

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

KO/TKO L

SUB W

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

50%

3 of 6 rounds won following a lost round

Decision Margin

1.5pts

W5 dec

2.0pts

L2 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

8UD

2SD

1MD

18%split rate

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 37 vs 41 first half

17 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=17

R2n=14

R3n=13

Outputsig strikes / min

2.8

3.6

2.9

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.3

1.9

3.4

Diff

+0.5

+1.7

-0.5

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

▼TD Acc-100%L3

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp

Natal — 17 UFC Fights

Result

Method

17 fights

Eryk Anders

KO/TKO R1 · 2:54Jul '17

-9

·14 SS (61%)·23 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·1 kd taken

Tim BoetschVeteran

KO/TKO R1 · 3:22Nov '16

-9

·5 SS (28%)·14 abs·0/1 td·1 kd taken

Robert Whittaker

U-DEC R3Apr '16

-27

·62 SS (45%)·89 abs·0/4 td

Kevin Casey

KO/TKO R3 · 3:37Jan '16

+38

·54 SS (62%)·16 abs·4/7 td·331s ctrl·1 kd landed

Uriah Hall

S-DEC R3May '15

·45 SS (44%)·43 abs·1/11 td·1 td taken·175s ctrl

Tom Watson

U-DEC R3Jan '15

+38

·67 SS (44%)·29 abs·8/13 td·210s ctrl

Chris Camozzi

S-DEC R3Sep '14

-31

·36 SS (49%)·67 abs·2/12 td·164s ctrl

Ed HermanVeteran

U-DEC R3May '14

-16

·35 SS (48%)·51 abs·1/6 td·1 td taken·286s ctrl

Tim Kennedy

KO/TKO R1 · 4:40Nov '13

·13 SS (37%)·13 abs·0/1 td·1 kd taken

Tor Troeng

U-DEC R3Sep '13

+30

·39 SS (63%)·9 abs·0/2 td·483s ctrl·2 kd landed·1 sub att

All Fighters

Middleweight

“Sapo”

Rafael Natal

21-9-117 UFC

Form

6'0"ht·77"reach·Orthodoxstance·43age

Last fightLEryk Anders·KO/TKO·8yr ago

Fighter Context

9–7–1UFC·

1KO

1Sub

7Dec

12.4min/fight

212UFC min

vs. Winning Record3–6

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

+0.62

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.302

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

66%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Natal

Middleweight avg

Leg Kicker

Sig. Strikes / Min3.10

Str. Accuracy47%

656UFC landed/1,370attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

−1.1 vs avg2.48

Str. Defense57%

KD Rate / Fight0.29

5UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.35

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

58%

Body

14%

Leg

28%

By Position

Dist66%

Clinch12%

Ground22%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=17	R2 n=14	R3 n=13
Landed	14	18	13
Absorbed	11	9	16
Net	+3	+9	-2

Grappling

Natal

Middleweight avg

Sub Hunter

189s ctrlActive Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min2.55

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY7.44

TD Accuracy34%

36UFC landed/105attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.50

1UFC wins/7attempted

Defense

Elite TD Def

TD Defense77%

27UFC defended/35opp. attempts

Sub Defense0 loss / 2 attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

22%

Decision Fighter

Win Methods

1KO/TKO

1Sub

7Dec

Loss Methods

4KO/TKO

0Sub

3Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

KO (L)

Sub (W)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

50%3 of 6 rounds

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

1.5pts

W5 dec

2.0pts

L2 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

8UD

2SD

1MD

18%split rate

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=17

R2n=14

R3n=13

Outputsig strikes / min

2.8

3.6

2.9

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.3

1.9

3.4

Diff

+0.5

+1.7

-0.5

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Natal — UFC Fight Log

Eryk Anders

KO/TKO·R1·Jul '17

14 SS (61%)·23 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·1 kd taken

Tim BoetschVeteran

KO/TKO·R1·Nov '16

5 SS (28%)·14 abs·0/1 td·1 kd taken

Robert Whittaker

U-DEC·R3·Apr '16

62 SS (45%)·89 abs·0/4 td

Kevin Casey

KO/TKO·R3·Jan '16

54 SS (62%)·16 abs·4/7 td·331s ctrl·1 kd

Uriah Hall

S-DEC·R3·May '15

45 SS (44%)·43 abs·1/11 td·1 td taken·175s ctrl

Tom Watson

U-DEC·R3·Jan '15

67 SS (44%)·29 abs·8/13 td·210s ctrl

Chris Camozzi

S-DEC·R3·Sep '14

36 SS (49%)·67 abs·2/12 td·164s ctrl

Ed HermanVeteran

U-DEC·R3·May '14

35 SS (48%)·51 abs·1/6 td·1 td taken·286s ctrl

Round 117 rounds

Round 214 rounds

Round 313 rounds

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-2

n=17

n=14

n=13

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-2