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Fighter Profile›Middleweight
“King”

Kevin Casey

9-5-2 (2 NC)7 UFC
Balanced
Form
Inactive
High Wear
5'11"ht·77"reach·Southpawstance·44age
Last fightLSam Alvey·KO/TKO·R2·9yr ago
Fighter Context
1–3–1UFC2 NC·
0KO
·
0Sub
·
1Dec
·
10.3min/fight
·
62UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
1–2(4 fights)
·
0%finish rate
·
-1.6str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-1.49
Deficit

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.060
Passive

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65
Average

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
53%
Average

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Casey
Ground & Pound
Middleweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min2.27
Str. Accuracy53%
170UFC landed/311attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
+0.2 vs avg3.76
Str. Defense46%
KD Rate / fight0.14
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.57
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
61%
Body
23%
Leg
17%
By Position
Distance53%
/
Clinch12%
/
Ground36%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 17 rounds
Round 25 rounds
Round 33 rounds
Avg. Landed131011
Avg. Absorbed82421
Avg. Net+5-14-10
Grappling
Casey
G&P Threat
·158s ctrlActive Control
Middleweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.79
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.39
TD Accuracy22%
3UFC landed/14attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.40
0UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
Leaky TD Def
TD Defense27%
3UFC defended/7opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Not Sub Tested
Finishing
Finish Rate
0%
Decision Fighter
div avg 61%
How They Lose
3UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO0 / 1
Submission0 / 1
Decision1 / 1
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO3 / 3
Submission0 / 3
Decision0 / 3
Loss Pattern
2 of 3 losses by finish in R1–R2
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
No eligible sequences on record.
Decision Margin
—
More decisions needed.
Decision Types
1UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
50%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 25 vs 23 first half
0+17+34+51+68avgNCNCD2013201420152016

7 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-1.21.13.4R1R2R3
R1n=7
R2n=5
R3n=3
Outputsig strikes / min
3.4
2.2
2.4
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.0
5.4
4.6
Diff
+1.4
-3.2
-2.2

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 7 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▲Absorbed+75%L3
-41%40%120%LNCWNCLDL

Last 7 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Casey — 7 UFC Fights
Result
Method
7 fights
L
Sam Alvey
KO/TKO R2 · 4:56Aug '16
-34
·
25 SS (49%)·59 abs·0/2 td·156s ctrl·2 kd taken
D
Elvis Mutapcic
S-DEC R3Jun '16
-5
·
59 SS (71%)·64 abs·2/6 td·341s ctrl
L
Rafael NatalVeteran
KO/TKO R3 · 3:37Jan '16
-38
·
16 SS (33%)·54 abs·0/2 td·4 td taken·129s ctrl·1 kd taken
NC
Antonio Carlos Junior
Could Not Co… R1 · 0:11Dec '15
-1
·
1 abs
⚠ Eye poke stoppage
W
Ildemar Alcantara
U-DEC R3Jul '15
+21
·
41 SS (48%)·20 abs·1/3 td·238s ctrl
NC
Bubba Bush
Overturned R1 · 1:01Jul '14
+13
·
15 SS (83%)·2 abs·49s ctrl·1 kd landed
⚠ Result overturned
↵ 15mo layoff
L
Josh Samman
KO/TKO R2 · 2:17Apr '13
-22
·
14 SS (64%)·36 abs·0/1 td·193s ctrl·1 kd taken·2 sub att
Casey — Prior Tracked Fights (2)
WChad VanceStrikeforceSUBR1—
LMatt LindlandStrikeforceKO/TKOR3—
All Fighters
Middleweight
“King”

Kevin Casey

9-5-2 (2 NC)7 UFC
Form
5'11"ht·77"reach·Southpawstance·44age
Last fightLSam Alvey·KO/TKO·9yr ago
Fighter Context
1–3–1UFC2 NC·
0KO
·
0Sub
·
1Dec
·
10.3min/fight
·
62UFC min
vs. Winning Record1–2
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-1.49

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.060

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
53%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Casey
Middleweight avg
Ground & Pound
Sig. Strikes / Min2.27
Str. Accuracy53%
170UFC landed/311attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
+0.2 vs avg3.76
Str. Defense46%
KD Rate / Fight0.14
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.57
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
61%
Body
23%
Leg
17%
By Position
Dist53%
Clinch12%
Ground36%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=7
R2
n=5
R3
n=3
Landed131011
Absorbed82421
Net+5-14-10
Grappling
Casey
Middleweight avg
G&P Threat
158s ctrlActive Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.79
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.39
TD Accuracy22%
3UFC landed/14attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.40
0UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
Leaky TD Def
TD Defense27%
3UFC defended/7opp. attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
0%
Decision Fighter
Win Methods
0KO/TKO
0Sub
1Dec
Loss Methods
3KO/TKO
0Sub
0Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—No eligible sequences.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
—More decisions needed.
Decision Types
1UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
50%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-1.21.13.4R1R2R3
R1n=7
R2n=5
R3n=3
Outputsig strikes / min
3.4
2.2
2.4
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.0
5.4
4.6
Diff
+1.4
-3.2
-2.2

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Casey — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Sam Alvey
KO/TKO·R2·Aug '16
25 SS (49%)·59 abs·0/2 td·156s ctrl·2 kd taken
D
Elvis Mutapcic
S-DEC·R3·Jun '16
59 SS (71%)·64 abs·2/6 td·341s ctrl
L
Rafael NatalVeteran
KO/TKO·R3·Jan '16
16 SS (33%)·54 abs·0/2 td·4 td taken·129s ctrl·1 kd taken
NC
Antonio Carlos Junior
Could Not Co…·R1·Dec '15
1 abs
W
Ildemar Alcantara
U-DEC·R3·Jul '15
41 SS (48%)·20 abs·1/3 td·238s ctrl
NC
Bubba Bush
Overturned·R1·Jul '14
15 SS (83%)·2 abs·49s ctrl·1 kd
L
Josh Samman
KO/TKO·R2·Apr '13
14 SS (64%)·36 abs·0/1 td·193s ctrl·1 kd taken·2 sub
Casey — Prior Tracked Fights (2)
WChad VanceStrikeforceSUBR1
LMatt LindlandStrikeforceKO/TKOR3
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X