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Fighter Profile›Lightweight
“The Turn”

Rafael Alves

20-124 UFC
Balanced
Form
· 2L
Inactive
5'8"ht·68"reach·Orthodoxstance·35age
Last fightLNurullo Aliev·M-DEC·R3·3yr ago
Fighter Context
1–3UFC·
0KO
·
1Sub
·
0Dec
·
10.8min/fight
·
51UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
1–3(4 fights)
·
100%finish rate
·
-0.8str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-1.45
Deficit
10%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.023
Passive
17%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
53
Average
27%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
20%
Passive
3%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Alves
Counter Puncher
Lightweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min1.85
Str. Accuracy48%
79UFC landed/159attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−0.9 vs avg3.30
Str. Defense58%
KD Rate / fight0.25
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.25
CQ KO Power
Elite84%ile1.27
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
58%
Body
23%
Leg
19%
By Position
Distance92%
/
Clinch3%
/
Ground5%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 14 rounds
Round 23 rounds
Round 33 rounds
Avg. Landed6118
Avg. Absorbed82214
Avg. Net-2-12-6
Grappling
Alves·47s ctrlAverage Control
Lightweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.29
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.39
TD Accuracy25%
1UFC landed/4attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.50
1UFC wins/4attempted
Defense
TD Defense44%
3UFC defended/8opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Not Sub Tested
Finishing
Finish Rate
100%
div avg 52%
How They Lose
3UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO0 / 1
Submission1 / 1
Decision0 / 1
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 3
Submission0 / 3
Decision2 / 3
Loss Pattern
Outscored
2 of 3 losses by decision
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
SUB W
KO/TKO L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
—
W0 dec
1.2pts
L2 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
1UD
·
0SD
·
1MD
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
0+11+21+32+43avg202120222023

4 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.71.12.9R1R2R3
R1n=4
R2n=3
R3n=3
Outputsig strikes / min
1.4
2.1
2.1
Absorbedsig strikes / min
1.9
4.5
3.6
Diff
-0.5
-2.3
-1.6

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 4 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼Absorbed-20%L3
-14%53%121%LWLL

Last 4 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Alves — 4 UFC Fights
Result
Method
4 fights
L
Nurullo Aliev
M-DEC R3Feb '23
-13
·
6 SS (35%)·19 abs·3 td taken·78s ctrl·2 sub att
L
Drew DoberVeteran
KO/TKO R3 · 1:30Jul '22
-25
·
37 SS (54%)·62 abs·1/3 td·141s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Marc Diakiese
SUB R1 · 1:48Nov '21
+3
·
6 SS (55%)·3 abs·1 sub att
L
Damir Ismagulov
U-DEC R3May '21
-26
·
30 SS (48%)·56 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·16s ctrl·1 kd landed·1 sub att
Alves — Prior Tracked Fights (1)
WAlejandro FloresDWCSSUBR2Sep 2020
All Fighters
Lightweight
“The Turn”

Rafael Alves

20-124 UFC
Form
2L
5'8"ht·68"reach·Orthodoxstance·35age
Last fightLNurullo Aliev·M-DEC·3yr ago
Fighter Context
1–3UFC·
0KO
·
1Sub
·
0Dec
·
10.8min/fight
·
51UFC min
vs. Winning Record1–3
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-1.45
10%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.023
17%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
53
27%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
20%
3%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Alves
Lightweight avg
Counter Puncher
Sig. Strikes / Min1.85
Str. Accuracy48%
79UFC landed/159attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−0.9 vs avg3.30
Str. Defense58%
KD Rate / Fight0.25
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.25
CQ KO Power
Elite84%ile1.27
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
58%
Body
23%
Leg
19%
By Position
Dist92%
Clinch3%
Ground5%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=4
R2
n=3
R3
n=3
Landed6118
Absorbed82214
Net-2-12-6
Grappling
Alves
Lightweight avg
47s ctrlAverage Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.29
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.39
TD Accuracy25%
1UFC landed/4attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.50
1UFC wins/4attempted
Defense
TD Defense44%
3UFC defended/8opp. attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
100%
Elite Finisher
Win Methods
0KO/TKO
1Sub
0Dec
Loss Methods
1KO/TKO
0Sub
2Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
—
W0 dec
1.2pts
L2 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
1UD
·
0SD
·
1MD
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.71.12.9R1R2R3
R1n=4
R2n=3
R3n=3
Outputsig strikes / min
1.4
2.1
2.1
Absorbedsig strikes / min
1.9
4.5
3.6
Diff
-0.5
-2.3
-1.6

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Alves — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Nurullo Aliev
M-DEC·R3·Feb '23
6 SS (35%)·19 abs·3 td taken·78s ctrl·2 sub
L
Drew DoberVeteran
KO/TKO·R3·Jul '22
37 SS (54%)·62 abs·1/3 td·141s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Marc Diakiese
SUB·R1·Nov '21
6 SS (55%)·3 abs·1 sub
L
Damir Ismagulov
U-DEC·R3·May '21
30 SS (48%)·56 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·16s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub
Alves — Prior Tracked Fights (1)
WAlejandro FloresDWCSSUBR2Sep 2020
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X