Fighter Profile›Lightweight

Drew Dober

29-15 (1 NC)27 UFC

Pressure Fighter

Form

· 2W

Aging Threat

High Variance

Early Chaos

High Wear

5'8"ht·70"reach·Southpawstance·37age

Last fightWMichael Johnson·KO/TKO·R2·2mo ago

Fighter Context

15–11UFC1 NC·

11KO

1Sub

3Dec

8.2min/fight

222UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

8–8(16 fights)

88%finish rate

-0.5str diff/min

vs. Veteran Opps

2–2(4 fights)

100%finish rate

-1.6str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

+0.15

Neutral

49%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.032

Passive

22%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Durable

66%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

51%

Average

47%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Dober

Distance Striker

Lightweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min4.48

Str. Accuracy41%

994UFC landed/2,423attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

+0.1 vs avg4.33

Str. Defense53%

KD Rate / fight0.37

10UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.11

CQ KO Power

Above Avg77%ile1.01

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

63%

Body

23%

Leg

14%

By Position

Distance80%

Clinch11%

Ground9%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 127 rounds	Round 217 rounds	Round 311 rounds
Avg. Landed	17	21	18
Avg. Absorbed	16	17	20
Avg. Net	0	+3	-3

Grappling

Dober·65s ctrlAverage Control

Lightweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min0.61

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.58

TD Accuracy16%

9UFC landed/53attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.10

1UFC wins/1attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense58%

39UFC defended/67opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Sub Vulnerable

Finishing

Finish Rate

80%

Elite Finisher

div avg 52%

How They Lose

11UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO11 / 15

Submission1 / 15

Decision3 / 15

KD → Finish

9/10Lethal

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO3 / 11

Submission4 / 11

Decision4 / 11

Loss Pattern

Mixed

5 early · 2 late · 4 dec across 11 losses

Fast and versatile. 10 of 12 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

KO/TKO L

SUB W

SUB L

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

71%

5 of 7 rounds won following a lost round

Decision Margin

2.1pts

W3 dec

1.7pts

L4 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

7UD

0SD

0MD

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

Div. change

sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 36 vs 37 first half

27 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=27

R2n=17

R3n=11

Outputsig strikes / min

4.2

4.7

4.8

Absorbedsig strikes / min

4.1

4.0

5.5

Diff

+0.1

+0.8

-0.7

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp

Dober — 27 UFC Fights

Result

Method

27 fights

Michael JohnsonElite

KO/TKO R2 · 1:53Mar '26

-5

·22 SS (40%)·27 abs·1 kd landed

Kyle Prepolec

KO/TKO R3 · 1:16Oct '25

+32

·83 SS (52%)·51 abs·0/1 td

Manuel Torres

KO/TKO R1 · 1:45Mar '25

-20

·3 SS (33%)·23 abs·1 kd taken

Jean Silva

KO/TKO R3 · 1:28Jul '24

·59 SS (40%)·53 abs·0/4 td·30s ctrl

Renato MoicanoVeteran

U-DEC R3Feb '24

·23 SS (39%)·23 abs·1/2 td·3 td taken·62s ctrl

Ricky Glenn

KO/TKO R1 · 2:36Oct '23

+25

·30 SS (57%)·5 abs·31s ctrl·1 kd landed

Matt Frevola

KO/TKO R1 · 4:08May '23

-15

·20 SS (34%)·35 abs·1 kd taken

King GreenVeteran

KO/TKO R2 · 2:45Dec '22

-39

·34 SS (28%)·73 abs·0/1 td·9s ctrl·1 kd landed

Rafael Alves

KO/TKO R3 · 1:30Jul '22

+25

·62 SS (41%)·37 abs·1 td taken·7s ctrl·1 kd landed

Terrance McKinney

KO/TKO R1 · 3:17Mar '22

-19

·17 SS (46%)·36 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·24s ctrl·1 kd landed·1 kd taken

Dober — Prior Tracked Fights (1)

WLumumba SayersStrikeforceKO/TKOR1—

All Fighters

Lightweight

Drew Dober

29-15 (1 NC)27 UFC

Form

5'8"ht·70"reach·Southpawstance·37age

Last fightWMichael Johnson·KO/TKO·2mo ago

Fighter Context

15–11UFC1 NC·

11KO

1Sub

3Dec

8.2min/fight

222UFC min

vs. Winning Record8–8

vs. Veterans (8+ W)2–2

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

+0.15

49%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.032

22%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

66%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

51%

47%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Dober

Lightweight avg

Distance Striker

Sig. Strikes / Min4.48

Str. Accuracy41%

994UFC landed/2,423attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

+0.1 vs avg4.33

Str. Defense53%

KD Rate / Fight0.37

10UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.11

CQ KO Power

Above Avg77%ile1.01

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

63%

Body

23%

Leg

14%

By Position

Dist80%

Clinch11%

Ground9%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=27	R2 n=17	R3 n=11
Landed	17	21	18
Absorbed	16	17	20
Net	0	+3	-3

Grappling

Dober

Lightweight avg

65s ctrlAverage Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min0.61

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.58

TD Accuracy16%

9UFC landed/53attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.10

1UFC wins/1attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense58%

39UFC defended/67opp. attempts

Sub Defense4 loss / 7 attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

80%

Elite Finisher

Win Methods

11KO/TKO

1Sub

3Dec

Loss Methods

3KO/TKO

4Sub

4Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

KO (L)

Sub (W)

Sub (L)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

71%5 of 7 rounds

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

2.1pts

W3 dec

1.7pts

L4 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

7UD

0SD

0MD

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=27

R2n=17

R3n=11

Outputsig strikes / min

4.2

4.7

4.8

Absorbedsig strikes / min

4.1

4.0

5.5

Diff

+0.1

+0.8

-0.7

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Dober — UFC Fight Log

Michael JohnsonElite

KO/TKO·R2·Mar '26

22 SS (40%)·27 abs·1 kd

Kyle Prepolec

KO/TKO·R3·Oct '25

83 SS (52%)·51 abs·0/1 td

Manuel Torres

KO/TKO·R1·Mar '25

3 SS (33%)·23 abs·1 kd taken

Jean Silva

KO/TKO·R3·Jul '24

59 SS (40%)·53 abs·0/4 td·30s ctrl

Renato MoicanoVeteran

U-DEC·R3·Feb '24

23 SS (39%)·23 abs·1/2 td·3 td taken·62s ctrl

Ricky Glenn

KO/TKO·R1·Oct '23

30 SS (57%)·5 abs·31s ctrl·1 kd

Matt Frevola

KO/TKO·R1·May '23

20 SS (34%)·35 abs·1 kd taken

King GreenVeteran

KO/TKO·R2·Dec '22

34 SS (28%)·73 abs·0/1 td·9s ctrl·1 kd

Dober — Prior Tracked Fights (1)

WLumumba SayersStrikeforceKO/TKOR1

Round 127 rounds

Round 217 rounds

Round 311 rounds

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-3

n=27

n=17

n=11

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-3