Fighter Profile›Flyweight

“Danger”

Matt Schnell

17-10 (1 NC)16 UFC

Balanced

Form

Declining

High Wear

5'8"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·36age

Last fightLJoseph Morales·SUB·R1·6mo ago

Fighter Context

7–8UFC1 NC·

0KO

3Sub

4Dec

7.8min/fight

124UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

5–6(12 fights)

60%finish rate

-0.9str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

-0.04

Neutral

40%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.090

Average

29%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

⚠ TD accuracy based on a small number of career attempts. May shift with more data.

Durability

Low

5%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

43%

Passive

36%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Schnell

Distance Striker

Head Hunter

Flyweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min4.07

Str. Accuracy40%

506UFC landed/1,255attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

+0.4 vs avg4.11

Str. Defense55%

KD Rate / fight0.06

1UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.38

CQ KO Power

Below Avg3%ile0.20

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

72%

Body

13%

Leg

15%

By Position

Distance83%

Clinch9%

Ground9%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 116 rounds	Round 29 rounds	Round 35 rounds
Avg. Landed	16	17	19
Avg. Absorbed	19	13	18
Avg. Net	-3	+4	+1

Grappling

Schnell·32s ctrlPassive Control

Flyweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min0.60

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.33

TD Accuracy45%

5UFC landed/11attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.20

3UFC wins/10attempted

Defense

TD Defense43%

10UFC defended/23opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Sub Vulnerable

Finishing

Finish Rate

43%

Average

div avg 45%

How They Lose

8UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO0 / 7

Submission3 / 7

Decision4 / 7

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO5 / 8

Submission3 / 8

Decision0 / 8

Loss Pattern

8 of 8 losses by finish in R1–R2

Submission hunter. 3 subs, all inside R1-R2

Finish Round Distribution

SUB W

SUB L

KO/TKO L

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

—

More data needed.

Decision Margin

1.0pts

W4 dec

—

L0 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

2UD

2SD

0MD

50%split rate

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

Div. change

sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 31 vs 33 first half

16 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=16

R2n=9

R3n=5

Outputsig strikes / min

3.8

4.8

3.8

Absorbedsig strikes / min

4.5

3.8

3.6

Diff

-0.6

+1.0

+0.2

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

▼Absorbed-48%L3

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Schnell — 16 UFC Fights

Result

Method

16 fights

Joseph Morales

SUB R1 · 2:54Nov '25

-1

·4 SS (36%)·5 abs·1/1 td·15s ctrl

Jimmy Flick

U-DEC R3Apr '25

+23

·35 SS (57%)·12 abs·5 td taken·233s ctrl·3 sub att

Cody Durden

SUB R2 · 0:29Sep '24

·40 SS (48%)·34 abs·0/1 td

Steve Erceg

KO/TKO R2 · 0:26Mar '24

-12

·22 SS (28%)·34 abs·1 kd taken

↵ 15mo layoff

Matheus Nicolau

KO/TKO R2 · 1:44Dec '22

-12

·20 SS (34%)·32 abs·1 td taken·2 kd taken

Sumudaerji

SUB R2 · 4:24Jul '22

-11

·47 SS (58%)·58 abs·2/3 td·160s ctrl·1 kd taken·2 sub att

Brandon Royval

SUB R1 · 2:14May '22

-2

·12 SS (36%)·14 abs·54s ctrl·1 kd landed

Rogerio Bontorin

Overturned R3May '21

-7

·65 SS (48%)·72 abs·1 td taken

⚠ Result overturned

Tyson Nam

S-DEC R3Jan '21

+27

·85 SS (40%)·58 abs

Alexandre Pantoja

KO/TKO R1 · 4:17Dec '19

-14

·20 SS (38%)·34 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·1 kd taken

All Fighters

Flyweight

“Danger”

Matt Schnell

17-10 (1 NC)16 UFC

Form

5'8"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·36age

Last fightLJoseph Morales·SUB·6mo ago

Fighter Context

7–8UFC1 NC·

0KO

3Sub

4Dec

7.8min/fight

124UFC min

vs. Winning Record5–6

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

-0.04

40%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.090

29%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

5%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

43%

36%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Schnell

Flyweight avg

Distance StrikerHead Hunter

Sig. Strikes / Min4.07

Str. Accuracy40%

506UFC landed/1,255attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

+0.4 vs avg4.11

Str. Defense55%

KD Rate / Fight0.06

1UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.38

CQ KO Power

Below Avg3%ile0.20

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

72%

Body

13%

Leg

15%

By Position

Dist83%

Clinch9%

Ground9%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=16	R2 n=9	R3 n=5
Landed	16	17	19
Absorbed	19	13	18
Net	-3	+4	+1

Grappling

Schnell

Flyweight avg

32s ctrlPassive Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min0.60

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.33

TD Accuracy45%

5UFC landed/11attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.20

3UFC wins/10attempted

Defense

TD Defense43%

10UFC defended/23opp. attempts

Sub Defense3 loss / 5 attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

43%

Average

Win Methods

0KO/TKO

3Sub

4Dec

Loss Methods

5KO/TKO

3Sub

0Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (L)

Sub (W)

Sub (L)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

—More data needed.

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

1.0pts

W4 dec

—

L0 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

2UD

2SD

0MD

50%split rate

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=16

R2n=9

R3n=5

Outputsig strikes / min

3.8

4.8

3.8

Absorbedsig strikes / min

4.5

3.8

3.6

Diff

-0.6

+1.0

+0.2

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Schnell — UFC Fight Log

Joseph Morales

SUB·R1·Nov '25

4 SS (36%)·5 abs·1/1 td·15s ctrl

Jimmy Flick

U-DEC·R3·Apr '25

35 SS (57%)·12 abs·5 td taken·233s ctrl·3 sub

Cody Durden

SUB·R2·Sep '24

40 SS (48%)·34 abs·0/1 td

Steve Erceg

KO/TKO·R2·Mar '24

22 SS (28%)·34 abs·1 kd taken

Matheus Nicolau

KO/TKO·R2·Dec '22

20 SS (34%)·32 abs·1 td taken·2 kd taken

Sumudaerji

SUB·R2·Jul '22

47 SS (58%)·58 abs·2/3 td·160s ctrl·1 kd taken·2 sub

Brandon Royval

SUB·R1·May '22

12 SS (36%)·14 abs·54s ctrl·1 kd

Rogerio Bontorin

Overturned·R3·May '21

65 SS (48%)·72 abs·1 td taken

Round 116 rounds

Round 29 rounds

Round 35 rounds

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-3

n=16

n=9

n=5

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-3