CageQuantBETA
EventsFightersDivisionsGuide
Sign Up
CageQuantBETA

Jake Matthews lands 3.3 and absorbs 2.6 significant strikes per minute. Output and absorption are close.

Jake Matthews's takedown activity is a consistent part of the output. Takedown threat ranks in the upper third of the division.

Jake Matthews wins 63% of rounds across 60 scored. Wins more rounds than concedes in the majority of fights.

Jake Matthews has 1 KO/TKO loss in 8 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.17 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 96 out of 99, high for the division.

Jake Matthews finishes 50% of wins by KO/TKO or submission.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Welterweight
“The Celtic Kid”

Jake Matthews

23-824 UFC
Balanced
Form
Moderate Wear
5'11"ht·73"reach·Orthodoxstance·31age
Last fightWCarlston Harris·U-DEC·R3·this month
Fighter Context
16–8UFC·
2KO
·
6Sub
·
8Dec
·
11.5min/fight
·
276UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
9–7(16 fights)
·
56%finish rate
·
+0.4str diff/min
vs. Elite Opps
1–1(2 fights)
·
0%finish rate
·
+1.1str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
+0.72
Neutral
62%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.197
Strong
65%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
96
Ironclad
97%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
63%
Strong
75%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Jake Matthews — 3.34 significant strikes per minute, 43% striking accuracy, absorbs 2.62 strikes per minute.

Matthews
Distance Striker
Welterweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min3.34
Str. Accuracy43%
925UFC landed/2,079attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−1.1 vs avg2.62
Str. Defense60%
KD Rate / fight0.25
6UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.17
CQ KO Power
Average47%ile0.65
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
72%
Body
17%
Leg
11%
By Position
Distance72%
/
Clinch7%
/
Ground21%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 124 rounds
Round 220 rounds
Round 316 rounds
Avg. Landed171613
Avg. Absorbed131111
Avg. Net+3+5+3
Grappling

Jake Matthews — 1.4 takedowns per 15 minutes, 41% takedown accuracy, 0.8 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 64% takedown defense.

Matthews
Sub Hunter
·182s ctrlActive Control
Welterweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.44
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.26
TD Accuracy41%
25UFC landed/60attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80
6UFC wins/13attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense64%
28UFC defended/42opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Holds Ground
Finishing

Jake Matthews — 16 UFC wins (2 KO/TKO, 6 submission, 8 decision), 50% finish rate.

Finish Rate
50%
Average
div avg 53%
How They Lose
8UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 16
Submission6 / 16
Decision8 / 16
KD → Finish
1/5Low
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 8
Submission4 / 8
Decision3 / 8
Loss Pattern
Mixed
2 early · 3 late · 3 dec across 8 losses
Fast and versatile. 6 of 8 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
33%
2 of 6 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
2.4pts
W7 dec
1.2pts
L3 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
9UD
·
2SD
·
0MD
·
18%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
Div. change
sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 12 more in second half of career
0+21+41+62+83avg↗↵2014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

24 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.92.03.1R1R2R3
R1n=24
R2n=20
R3n=16
Outputsig strikes / min
3.5
3.4
3.0
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.8
2.4
2.4
Diff
+0.7
+1.0
+0.6

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼Absorbed-48%L3
-24%50%125%LWLWWWLW

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Matthews — 24 UFC Fights

Jake Matthews — UFC fight record: 16 wins, 8 losses.

Result
Method
24 fights
W
Carlston Harris
WW
U-DEC R3May '26
+28
·55 SS (57%)·27 abs·570s ctrl·1 kd landed
L
Neil MagnyElite
WW
SUB R3 · 3:08Sep '25
-13
·18 SS (41%)·31 abs·0/1 td·3 td taken·283s ctrl·3 sub att
W
Chidi Njokuani
WW
SUB R1 · 1:09Jul '25
-2
·3 SS (43%)·5 abs·1/1 td·29s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Francisco Prado
WW
U-DEC R3Feb '25
+9
·68 SS (37%)·59 abs·1 td taken·40s ctrl
W
Phil Rowe
WW
U-DEC R3Jun '24
+32
·66 SS (40%)·34 abs·1/1 td·184s ctrl
L
Michael Morales
WW
U-DEC R3Nov '23
-27
·57 SS (38%)·84 abs·0/1 td
W
Darrius Flowers
WW
SUB R2 · 2:37Jul '23
+24
·60 SS (59%)·36 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·75s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Matthew Semelsberger
WW
U-DEC R3Dec '22
-13
·32 SS (36%)·45 abs·1/2 td·3 td taken·102s ctrl·3 kd taken·1 sub att
W
Andre Fialho
WW
KO/TKO R2 · 2:24Jun '22
+29
·47 SS (53%)·18 abs·1 kd landed
↵ 15mo layoff
L
Sean Brady
WW
SUB R3 · 3:28Mar '21
-16
·21 SS (25%)·37 abs·1 td taken
All Fighters
Welterweight
“The Celtic Kid”

Jake Matthews

23-824 UFC
Form
5'11"ht·73"reach·Orthodoxstance·31age
Last fightWCarlston Harris·U-DEC·this month
Fighter Context
16–8UFC·
2KO
·
6Sub
·
8Dec
·
11.5min/fight
·
276UFC min
vs. Winning Record9–7
vs. Elite (15+ W)1–1
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
+0.72
62%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.197
65%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
96
97%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
63%
75%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Matthews
Welterweight avg
Distance Striker
Sig. Strikes / Min3.34
Str. Accuracy43%
925UFC landed/2,079attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−1.1 vs avg2.62
Str. Defense60%
KD Rate / Fight0.25
6UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.17
CQ KO Power
Average47%ile0.65
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
72%
Body
17%
Leg
11%
By Position
Dist72%
Clinch7%
Ground21%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=24
R2
n=20
R3
n=16
Landed171613
Absorbed131111
Net+3+5+3
Grappling
Matthews
Welterweight avg
Sub Hunter
182s ctrlActive Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.44
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.26
TD Accuracy41%
25UFC landed/60attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80
6UFC wins/13attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense64%
28UFC defended/42opp. attempts
Sub Defense4 loss / 9 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
50%
Average
Win Methods
2KO/TKO
6Sub
8Dec
Loss Methods
1KO/TKO
4Sub
3Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
33%2 of 6 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
2.4pts
W7 dec
1.2pts
L3 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
9UD
·
2SD
·
0MD
·
18%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.92.03.1R1R2R3
R1n=24
R2n=20
R3n=16
Outputsig strikes / min
3.5
3.4
3.0
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.8
2.4
2.4
Diff
+0.7
+1.0
+0.6

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Matthews — UFC Fight Log
|
W
Carlston HarrisWW
U-DEC·R3·May '26
55 SS (57%)·27 abs·570s ctrl·1 kd
L
Neil MagnyEliteWW
SUB·R3·Sep '25
18 SS (41%)·31 abs·0/1 td·3 td taken·283s ctrl·3 sub
W
Chidi NjokuaniWW
SUB·R1·Jul '25
3 SS (43%)·5 abs·1/1 td·29s ctrl·1 sub
W
Francisco PradoWW
U-DEC·R3·Feb '25
68 SS (37%)·59 abs·1 td taken·40s ctrl
W
Phil RoweWW
U-DEC·R3·Jun '24
66 SS (40%)·34 abs·1/1 td·184s ctrl
L
Michael MoralesWW
U-DEC·R3·Nov '23
57 SS (38%)·84 abs·0/1 td
W
Darrius FlowersWW
SUB·R2·Jul '23
60 SS (59%)·36 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·75s ctrl·1 sub
L
Matthew SemelsbergerWW
U-DEC·R3·Dec '22
32 SS (36%)·45 abs·1/2 td·3 td taken·102s ctrl·3 kd taken·1 sub
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X