Fighter Profile›Women's Flyweight

“King”

Casey O'Neill

11-28 UFC

Pressure Fighter

Form

· 2W

High Variance

5'6"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age

Last fightWGabriella Fernandes·KO/TKO·R1·this month

Fighter Context

6–2UFC·

3KO

1Sub

2Dec

10.7min/fight

86UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

3–0(3 fights)

67%finish rate

+3.1str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

+2.36

Dominant

94%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.170

Average

50%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Ironclad

73%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

63%

Strong

79%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

O'Neill

Blitzer

Head Hunter

W. Flyweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min7.89

Str. Accuracy52%

677UFC landed/1,297attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

+1.4 vs avg5.53

Str. Defense57%

KD Rate / fight0.13

1UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fightNone on record

CQ KO Power

Below Avg18%ile0.15

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

77%

Body

14%

Leg

10%

By Position

Distance81%

Clinch5%

Ground14%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 18 rounds	Round 27 rounds	Round 34 rounds
Avg. Landed	32	37	40
Avg. Absorbed	29	20	26
Avg. Net	+4	+17	+13

Grappling

O'Neill

Control Wrestler

·161s ctrlActive Control

W. Flyweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min1.40

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY4.02

TD Accuracy34%

8UFC landed/23attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.70

1UFC wins/4attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense70%

14UFC defended/20opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Tapped Once

Finishing

Finish Rate

67%

Strong Finisher

div avg 37%

How They Lose

2UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO3 / 6

Submission1 / 6

Decision2 / 6

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO0 / 2

Submission1 / 2

Decision1 / 2

Loss Pattern

1 of 2 losses by finish in R1–R2

Fast and versatile. 3 of 4 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

SUB W

SUB L

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

—

More data needed.

Decision Margin

1.8pts

W2 dec

—

L1 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

2UD

1SD

0MD

33%split rate

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

Layoff

sig. strikes trending down. Averaging 31 less in second half of career

8 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=8

R2n=7

R3n=4

Outputsig strikes / min

6.8

8.7

8.9

Absorbedsig strikes / min

6.0

4.7

5.9

Diff

+0.8

+4.0

+3.0

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend

▼TD Acc-100%L3

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

O'Neill — 8 UFC Fights

Result

Method

8 fights

Gabriella Fernandes

KO/TKO R1 · 3:11Mar '26

+17

·25 SS (38%)·8 abs·1 kd landed

↵ 19mo layoff

Luana Santos

U-DEC R3Aug '24

+42

·83 SS (43%)·41 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·141s ctrl·1 sub att

Ariane da Silva

SUB R2 · 1:18Dec '23

-33

·31 SS (42%)·64 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·20s ctrl

Jennifer Maia

U-DEC R3Mar '23

-8

·137 SS (52%)·145 abs·0/1 td

Roxanne Modafferi

S-DEC R3Feb '22

+109

·229 SS (58%)·120 abs·0/2 td·2 td taken

Antonina Shevchenko

KO/TKO R2 · 4:47Oct '21

+12

·52 SS (47%)·40 abs·3/8 td·339s ctrl

Lara Procopio

SUB R3 · 2:54Jun '21

+30

·71 SS (55%)·41 abs·1/2 td·2 td taken·342s ctrl·2 sub att

Shana Dobson

KO/TKO R2 · 3:41Feb '21

+33

·49 SS (72%)·16 abs·4/6 td·446s ctrl·1 sub att

All Fighters

Women's Flyweight

“King”

Casey O'Neill

11-28 UFC

Form

5'6"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age

Last fightWGabriella Fernandes·KO/TKO·this month

Fighter Context

6–2UFC·

3KO

1Sub

2Dec

10.7min/fight

86UFC min

vs. Winning Record3–0

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

+2.36

94%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.170

50%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

73%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

63%

79%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

O'Neill

W. Flyweight avg

BlitzerHead Hunter

Sig. Strikes / Min7.89

Str. Accuracy52%

677UFC landed/1,297attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

+1.4 vs avg5.53

Str. Defense57%

KD Rate / Fight0.13

1UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / FightNone on record

CQ KO Power

Below Avg18%ile0.15

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

77%

Body

14%

Leg

10%

By Position

Dist81%

Clinch5%

Ground14%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=8	R2 n=7	R3 n=4
Landed	32	37	40
Absorbed	29	20	26
Net	+4	+17	+13

Grappling

O'Neill

W. Flyweight avg

Control Wrestler

161s ctrlActive Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min1.40

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY4.02

TD Accuracy34%

8UFC landed/23attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.70

1UFC wins/4attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense70%

14UFC defended/20opp. attempts

Sub Defense1 loss / 1 attempt

Finishing

Finish Rate

67%

Strong Finisher

Win Methods

3KO/TKO

1Sub

2Dec

Loss Methods

0KO/TKO

1Sub

1Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

Sub (W)

Sub (L)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

—More data needed.

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

1.8pts

W2 dec

—more needed

L1 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

2UD

1SD

0MD

33%split rate

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=8

R2n=7

R3n=4

Outputsig strikes / min

6.8

8.7

8.9

Absorbedsig strikes / min

6.0

4.7

5.9

Diff

+0.8

+4.0

+3.0

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

O'Neill — UFC Fight Log

Gabriella Fernandes

KO/TKO·R1·Mar '26

25 SS (38%)·8 abs·1 kd

Luana Santos

U-DEC·R3·Aug '24

83 SS (43%)·41 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·141s ctrl·1 sub

Ariane da Silva

SUB·R2·Dec '23

31 SS (42%)·64 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·20s ctrl

Jennifer Maia

U-DEC·R3·Mar '23

137 SS (52%)·145 abs·0/1 td

Roxanne Modafferi

S-DEC·R3·Feb '22

229 SS (58%)·120 abs·0/2 td·2 td taken

Antonina Shevchenko

KO/TKO·R2·Oct '21

52 SS (47%)·40 abs·3/8 td·339s ctrl

Lara Procopio

SUB·R3·Jun '21

71 SS (55%)·41 abs·1/2 td·2 td taken·342s ctrl·2 sub

Shana Dobson

KO/TKO·R2·Feb '21

49 SS (72%)·16 abs·4/6 td·446s ctrl·1 sub

Round 18 rounds

Round 27 rounds

Round 34 rounds

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

+17

+13

n=8

n=7

n=4

Landed

Absorbed

Net

+17

+13