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Matchup Analysis·Flyweight
↑Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado7 / 13
←Martinez vs IgeBahamondes vs Salikhov→
Red Corner

Tim Elliott

22-14-122 UFCLast4mo ago
Wrestler
Aging Threat
High Wear
5'7"ht·66"reach·Southpawstance·39age
VS
Flyweight125 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Edgar Chairez

“Puro Chicali”
14-6(1 NC)7 UFCLast3mo ago
Kickboxer
High Variance
Early Chaos
5'7"ht·71"+5"reach·Orthodoxstance·309yrage
CQ
Edges—
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingElliottClear edge
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingElliottDominant
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.ChairezDominant
DurabilityNo edge
Signals
2 signals
REACH CLIFF

Chairez has a 5" reach advantage and fights at distance. In a pure range battle, Chairez's reach is a structural advantage.

AGE GAP

Elliott is 9 years older than Chairez.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Elliott
Elliott
+0.72
Chairez
-0.95
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Elliott
Elliott
1.97
Chairez
0.00
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No edge
Elliott
58%
Chairez
54%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Elliott
100
Ironclad
Chairez
92
Ironclad
0 KO lossesKO losses0 KO losses
0.00KD / fight0.00
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Moderate
Elliott3.37SLpM
+
SLpM3.76Chairez
7.1
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Chairez
ElliottOutput Holds Steady+7% R1→R3
ChairezOutput Builds Late+20% R1→R3
Finish History
Elliott
Sub ×3
Finish rate (wins)
30%
3/10
Stopped rate (losses)
42%
5/12
Chairez
Sub ×3
Finish rate (wins)
75%
3/4
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/2
Edge & Exposure
Elliott
EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

EdgeStriking Edge

Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.

ExposureMileage Risk

Age and UFC fight volume are both elevated. Vulnerable to opponents who apply sustained pressure late.

Chairez
EdgeHigh Finisher

Finishes the majority of opponents. Gets the stoppage when ahead on the scorecards.

Opposition Quality
Elliott10–12UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
5–10
Record (15)
+0.5
Str Diff/Min
20%
Finish (W)
Chairez4–2UFC

Too few fights to rate.

Division Percentile Ranks
ElliottFlyweightChairez
76th
Striking Differential
18th
91st
Grappling Threat
5th
63rd
Round Win Rate
57th
38th
TD Defense
24th
99th
Durability
92nd
8th
Finishing Rate
75th
Recent Form
Elliott
Stat
Chairez
4.433.37 career
↑1.06
SLpMOutput
↑0.75
4.513.76 career
5.822.65 career
⚠↑3.17
SApMAbsorbed
↓1.16
3.554.71 career
8.897.95 career
↑0.94
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
1.571.10 career
↑0.47
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↓0.02
1.381.40 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Elliott64% distance
Finish 36%Decision 64%
Chairez43% distance
Finish 57%Decision 43%
Elliott 22 UFC fights·Chairez 7 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Elliott
12.3min
Chairez
8.3min
Combined Distance Rate
59%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
ElliottTO KNOCK OUTChairez
11
Minimal
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins0
Total UFC wins10
Chairez's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses2
ChairezTO KNOCK OUTElliott
14
Low
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins0
Total UFC wins4
Elliott's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses12
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
ElliottTO SUBMITChairez
27
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins3
Total UFC wins10
Chairez's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses2
ChairezTO SUBMITElliott
82
Elite
Sub Wins
Submission wins3
Total UFC wins4
Elliott's Sub Losses
Sub losses5
Total UFC losses12
ElliottWin MethodChairez
0%
KO / TKO
0%
30%
Submission
75%
70%
Decision
25%
10 UFC wins · 3 Sub · 7 Dec4 UFC wins · 3 Sub · 1 Dec
Elliott
Loss Method
Chairez
0%
KO / TKO
0%
42%
Submission
0%
58%
Decision
100%
12 UFC losses · 5 Sub · 7 Dec2 UFC losses · 2 Dec
Elliott8 stoppages · 8 Sub
R1
4
R2
3
R3
1
R1R2R3
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WSubKai AsakuraR2 · 4:39
WSubSumudaerjiR1 · 4:02
LSubMuhammad MokaevR3 · 3:03
LSubBrandon RoyvalR2 · 3:18
LSubDeiveson FigueiredoR1 · 3:08
Chairez4 stoppages · 3 Sub
R1
4
R2
0
R3
0
R1R2R3
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubBruno SilvaR1 · 4:13
WSubCJ VergaraR1 · 2:30
WSubDaniel LacerdaR1 · 2:17
NCFinDaniel LacerdaR1 · 3:47
Historical Context
Elliott — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Steve ErcegFLY
U-DEC
R3
May '26
90 SS (34%)·136 abs·2/11 td·1 td taken·34s ctrl
W
Kai AsakuraFLY
SUB
R24:39
Aug '25
27 SS (38%)·21 abs·2/3 td·114s ctrl·2 sub att
W
SumudaerjiBW
SUB
R14:02
Dec '23
10 SS (48%)·10 abs·1/3 td·125s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Muhammad MokaevFLY
SUB
R33:03
Oct '23
30 SS (70%)·14 abs·1/1 td·3 td taken·143s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Victor AltamiranoFLY
U-DEC
R3
Jun '23
28 SS (49%)·19 abs·6/7 td·1 td taken·673s ctrl
W
Tagir UlanbekovFLY
U-DEC
R3
Mar '22
79 SS (44%)·90 abs·3/9 td·2 td taken·52s ctrl·1 kd
View full fight log →
Chairez — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·7 fights
W
Bruno SilvaFLY
SUB
R14:13
Jun '26
24 SS (55%)·17 abs·24s ctrl·2 kd·1 sub att
W
Felipe BunesFLY
S-DEC
R3
Feb '26
66 SS (49%)·54 abs·1 td taken
W
CJ VergaraFLY
SUB
R12:30
Mar '25
8 SS (30%)·6 abs·16s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Joshua VanFLY
U-DEC
R3
Sep '24
79 SS (42%)·118 abs·0/2 td·3 td taken·27s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Daniel LacerdaFLY
SUB
R12:17
Feb '24
9 SS (60%)·4 abs·1 td taken·1 sub att
NC
Daniel LacerdaFLY
Overturned
R1
Sep '23
12 SS (60%)·4 abs·1 td taken·14s ctrl·1 sub att
View full fight log →
Matchup·FLY·3R
↑Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
7/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Tim Elliott

22-14-122 UFC4mo ago
5'7"ht66"reachSouthpaw39 yrs
VS·FLY·3R
Blue Corner

Edgar Chairez

“Puro Chicali”
14-6(1 NC)7 UFC3mo ago
5'7"ht71"+5"reachOrthodox30 yrs
CQ
Edges
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingElliottClear edge
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingElliottDominant
DurabilityNo edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.ChairezDominant
Signals
2
REACH CLIFFChairez has a 5" reach advantage and fights at distance. In a pure range battle, Chairez's reach is a structural advantage.
AGE GAPElliott is 9 years older than Chairez.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Elliott
Elliott+0.72
Chairez-0.95
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Elliott
Elliott1.97
Chairez0.00
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No edge
Elliott58%
Chairez54%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No edge
Elliott
100Ironclad
Chairez
92Ironclad
Stats
Elliott
Chairez
Striking
3.37SS Landed / min3.76
44%Str Acc46%
2.65SS Absorbed / min4.71
57%Str Def46%
0.09KD / fight0.43
Grappling
3.71TD / min0.00
59%TD Def47%
1.10Sub Att · /15m1.40
64%Sub Def100%
Finish History
Elliott
Sub ×3
Finish Rate (Wins)
30%
3/10
Stopped Rate (Losses)
42%
5/12
Chairez
Sub ×3
Finish Rate (Wins)
75%
3/4
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/2
Elliott64% distance
Finish 36%Decision 64%
Chairez43% distance
Finish 57%Decision 43%
Elliott 22 UFC fights·Chairez 7 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Elliott
12.3min
Chairez
8.3min
Combined Distance Rate
59%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
ElliottWinChairez
0%
KO
0%
30%
Sub
75%
70%
Dec
25%
10 wins3 Sub7 Dec
1 Dec3 Sub4 wins
ElliottLossChairez
0%
KO
0%
42%
Sub
0%
58%
Dec
100%
12 losses5 Sub7 Dec
2 Dec2 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Elliott
to knock out
Chairez
11Minimal
Chairez
to knock out
Elliott
14Low
Elliott
to submit
Chairez
27Elevated
Chairez
to submit
Elliott
82Elite
Recent Form
Elliott
Stat
Chairez
4.43
3.37 career
↑1.06
SLpMOutput
↑0.75
4.51
3.76 career
5.82
2.65 career
↑3.17
SApMAbsorbed
↓1.16
3.55
4.71 career
8.89
7.95 career
↑0.94
TD AttAtt/15m
—
1.57
1.10 career
↑0.47
SubAtt/15m
↓0.02
1.38
1.40 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Elliott—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Steve ErcegFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · May '26
90 SS (34%)·136 abs·2/11 td·1 td taken·34s ctrl
W
Kai AsakuraFLY Bout
SUB · R2 · 4:39 · Aug '25
27 SS (38%)·21 abs·2/3 td·114s ctrl·2 sub att
W
SumudaerjiBW Bout
SUB · R1 · 4:02 · Dec '23
10 SS (48%)·10 abs·1/3 td·125s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Muhammad MokaevFLY Bout
SUB · R3 · 3:03 · Oct '23
30 SS (70%)·14 abs·1/1 td·3 td taken·143s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Victor AltamiranoFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jun '23
28 SS (49%)·19 abs·6/7 td·1 td taken·673s ctrl
W
Tagir UlanbekovFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '22
79 SS (44%)·90 abs·3/9 td·2 td taken·52s ctrl·1 kd
View full fight log →
Chairez—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·7 fights
W
Bruno SilvaFLY Bout
SUB · R1 · 4:13 · Jun '26
24 SS (55%)·17 abs·24s ctrl·2 kd·1 sub att
W
Felipe BunesFLY Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Feb '26
66 SS (49%)·54 abs·1 td taken
W
CJ VergaraFLY Bout
SUB · R1 · 2:30 · Mar '25
8 SS (30%)·6 abs·16s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Joshua VanFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Sep '24
79 SS (42%)·118 abs·0/2 td·3 td taken·27s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Daniel LacerdaFLY Bout
SUB · R1 · 2:17 · Feb '24
9 SS (60%)·4 abs·1 td taken·1 sub att
NC
Daniel LacerdaFLY Bout
Overturned · R1 · Sep '23
12 SS (60%)·4 abs·1 td taken·14s ctrl·1 sub att
View full fight log →
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CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X