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Matchup Analysis·Flyweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song8 / 13
←Batbayar vs LimaJenkins vs Woodson→
Red Corner

Rei Tsuruya

11-13 UFCLast3mo ago
Submission Specialist
5'6"ht·68"reach·Orthodoxstance·245yrage
VS
Flyweight125 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Kevin Borjas

“El Gallo Negro”
11-56 UFCLast2mo ago
Boxer
Moderate Wear
5'5"ht·68"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age
CQ
EdgesDecision Likely
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingTsuruyaClear edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingTsuruyaDominant
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.TsuruyaClear edge
DurabilityNo data
Signals
1 signal
GRAPPLING + SUB

Tsuruya has a clear takedown edge and actively hunts submissions. Every trip to the mat is a potential finish.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Tsuruya
Tsuruya
+0.23
Borjas
-1.68
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Tsuruya
Tsuruya
1.52
Borjas
0.00
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Tsuruya
Too few rounds
Borjas
38%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Tsuruya
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Borjas
35
Low
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Moderate
Tsuruya2.24SLpM
+
SLpM3.96Borjas
6.2
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Borjas
TsuruyaOutput Holds Steady
BorjasOutput Builds Late+48% R1→R3
Finish History
Tsuruya
Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
50%
1/2
Stopped rate (losses)
0%
0/1
Borjas
No finishes
Finish rate (wins)
0%
0/2
Stopped rate (losses)
50%
2/4
Edge & Exposure
Tsuruya
EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

EdgeSub Threat

Elite submission attempt rate. Consistently hunts finishes on the mat.

Borjas

No dominant edges or exposures identified from UFC record.

Opposition Quality
Tsuruya2–1UFC

Too few fights to rate.

Borjas2–4UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–2
Record (4)
-1.7
Str Diff/Min
0%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
TsuruyaFlyweightBorjas
52nd
Striking Differential
6th
94th
Grappling Threat
5th
—
Round Win Rate
26th
27th
TD Defense
69th
57th
Durability
6th
44th
Finishing Rate
—

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Tsuruya
Stat
Borjas
1.982.24 career
↓0.26
SLpMOutput
⚠↓1.70
2.263.96 career
2.282.01 career
↑0.27
SApMAbsorbed
↓1.32
4.325.64 career
14.4114.41 career
↑0.00
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑0.12
2.292.17 career
0.451.90 career
⚠↓1.45
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Striking
Tsuruya6 fightsBorjas
Div avg
Sig. Strikes / Min
2.24
3.96
Str. Accuracy
52%
44%
Sig. Absorbed / min
2.01
5.64
Str. Defense
42%
49%
CQ KO Power
—
1.13
TsuruyaStrike DistributionBorjas
By Target
90%
Head
77%
5%
Body
15%
6%
Leg
8%
By Position
39%
Distance
94%
3%
Clinch
5%
59%
Ground
1%
Sig Strikes
Tsuruya
22avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
11.1 min
Goes Dist
67%
Borjas
44avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
12.7 min
Goes Dist
67%
Historical Context
Tsuruya — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·3 fights
W
Luis GuruleBW
SUB
R13:19
May '26
17 SS (63%)·1 abs·1/3 td·137s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Joshua VanFLY
U-DEC
R3
Mar '25
32 SS (38%)·59 abs·4/21 td·229s ctrl
W
Carlos HernandezFLY
U-DEC
R3
Jun '24
17 SS (53%)·16 abs·3/8 td·1 td taken·379s ctrl
Tracked Fights·3 fights
WJiniushiyue
Road to UFCKO/TKOR1Feb 2024
WMark Climaco
Road to UFCU-DECR3Aug 2023
WRonal Siahaan
Road to UFCSUBR2May 2023
View full fight log →
Borjas — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·6 fights
W
Andre LimaFLY
U-DEC
R3
Jun '26
51 SS (38%)·51 abs·0/1 td·8s ctrl
L
Imanol RodriguezFLY
KO/TKO
R24:21
Feb '26
22 SS (42%)·46 abs·1 td taken·2 kd·1 kd taken
L
SumudaerjiFLY
U-DEC
R3
Aug '25
16 SS (36%)·73 abs·0/5 td·209s ctrl
W
Ronaldo RodriguezFLY
U-DEC
R3
Mar '25
83 SS (59%)·64 abs·1 td taken·1 kd
L
Alessandro CostaFLY
KO/TKO
R21:35
May '24
18 SS (32%)·46 abs·0/2 td·1 kd taken
L
Joshua VanFLY
U-DEC
R3
Nov '23
75 SS (38%)·156 abs·0/3 td·2 td taken·21s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Joshua VanSame result
L
Tsuruya
UD·R3·2025
L
Borjas
UD·R3·2023
Matchup·FLY·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
8/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Rei Tsuruya

11-13 UFC3mo ago
5'6"ht68"reachOrthodox24 yrs
VS·FLY·3R
Blue Corner

Kevin Borjas

“El Gallo Negro”
11-56 UFC2mo ago
5'5"ht68"reachOrthodox28 yrs
CQ
Edges
Decision Likely
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingTsuruyaClear edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingTsuruyaDominant
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.TsuruyaClear edge
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Tsuruya
Tsuruya+0.23
Borjas-1.68
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Tsuruya
Tsuruya1.52
Borjas0.00
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
TsuruyaToo few rounds
Borjas38%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Tsuruya
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Borjas
35Low
Stats
Tsuruya
Borjas
Striking
2.24SS Landed / min3.96
52%Str Acc44%
2.01SS Absorbed / min5.64
42%Str Def49%
0.00KD / fight0.50
Grappling
5.06TD / min0.00
50%TD Def70%
1.90Sub Att · /15m0.00
—Sub Def—
Finish History
Tsuruya
Sub ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
50%
1/2
Stopped Rate (Losses)
0%
0/1
Borjas
No finishes
Finish Rate (Wins)
0%
0/2
Stopped Rate (Losses)
50%
2/4
Tsuruya67% distance
Finish 33%Decision 67%
Borjas67% distance
Finish 33%Decision 67%
Tsuruya 3 UFC fights·Borjas 6 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Tsuruya
11.1min
Borjas
12.7min
Combined Distance Rate
67%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
TsuruyaWinBorjas
0%
KO
0%
50%
Sub
0%
50%
Dec
100%
2 wins1 Sub1 Dec
2 Dec2 wins
TsuruyaLossBorjas
0%
KO
50%
0%
Sub
0%
100%
Dec
50%
1 loss1 Dec
2 Dec2 KO4 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Tsuruya
to knock out
Borjas
33Elevated
Borjas
to knock out
Tsuruya
25Elevated
Tsuruya
to submit
Borjas
29Elevated
Borjas
to submit
Tsuruya
8Minimal
Recent Form
Tsuruya
Stat
Borjas
1.98
2.24 career
↓0.26
SLpMOutput
↓1.70
2.26
3.96 career
2.28
2.01 career
↑0.27
SApMAbsorbed
↓1.32
4.32
5.64 career
14.41
14.41 career
↑0.00
TD AttAtt/15m
↑0.12
2.29
2.17 career
0.45
1.90 career
↓1.45
SubAtt/15m
—
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Tsuruya—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·3 fights
W
Luis GuruleBW Bout
SUB · R1 · 3:19 · May '26
17 SS (63%)·1 abs·1/3 td·137s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Joshua VanFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '25
32 SS (38%)·59 abs·4/21 td·229s ctrl
W
Carlos HernandezFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jun '24
17 SS (53%)·16 abs·3/8 td·1 td taken·379s ctrl
Tracked Fights·3 fights
WJiniushiyue
Road to UFCKO/TKOR1Feb 2024
WMark Climaco
Road to UFCU-DECR3Aug 2023
WRonal Siahaan
Road to UFCSUBR2May 2023
View full fight log →
Borjas—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·6 fights
W
Andre LimaFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jun '26
51 SS (38%)·51 abs·0/1 td·8s ctrl
L
Imanol RodriguezFLY Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:21 · Feb '26
22 SS (42%)·46 abs·1 td taken·2 kd·1 kd taken
L
SumudaerjiFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Aug '25
16 SS (36%)·73 abs·0/5 td·209s ctrl
W
Ronaldo RodriguezFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '25
83 SS (59%)·64 abs·1 td taken·1 kd
L
Alessandro CostaFLY Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 1:35 · May '24
18 SS (32%)·46 abs·0/2 td·1 kd taken
L
Joshua VanFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Nov '23
75 SS (38%)·156 abs·0/3 td·2 td taken·21s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Joshua VanSame result
L
Tsuruya
UD·R3·2025
L
Borjas
UD·R3·2023
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X