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Matchup Analysis·Heavyweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse7 / 14
←Keita vs NaimovCampbell vs Peek→
Red Corner

Mario Pinto

12-03 UFCLast5mo ago
Grappler
Rising
6'5"ht·79"reach·Orthodoxstance·287yrage
VS
Heavyweight265 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Ryan Spann

“Superman”
24-1116 UFCLast4mo ago
Boxer
Aging Threat
Title Fight
High Variance
Early Chaos
Moderate Wear
6'5"ht·79"reach·Orthodoxstance·35age
CQ
EdgesFinish Likely
Spann · KO Vulnerability
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingPintoClear edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingPintoDominant
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.No edge
DurabilityNo data
Signals
3 signals
SUBMISSION

Spann actively hunts submissions on the ground.

AGE GAP

Spann is 7 years older than Pinto.

WC TRANSITION

Spann is in their 3rd fight into a move up from Light Heavyweight. Record at Heavyweight: 2-1.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Pinto
Pinto
+0.92
Spann
-0.81
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Pinto
Pinto
0.98
Spann
0.00
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Pinto
Too few rounds
Spann
58%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Pinto
Unrated0 KO losses0.33 KD/fight
Spann
57
Average
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Moderate
Pinto2.85SLpM
+
SLpM3.11Spann
6.0
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Contextual
PintoEarly Finisher
SpannOutput Builds Late+62% R1→R3
Finish History
Pinto
KO/TKO ×2
Finish rate (wins)
67%
2/3
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Spann
KO/TKO ×4Sub ×4
Finish rate (wins)
80%
8/10
Stopped rate (losses)
83%
5/6
Edge & Exposure
Pinto
EdgeStriking Edge

Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.

Spann
EdgeHigh Finisher

Finishes the majority of opponents. Gets the stoppage when ahead on the scorecards.

EdgeSub Threat

Elite submission attempt rate. Consistently hunts finishes on the mat.

Opposition Quality
Pinto3–0UFC

Too few fights to rate.

Spann10–6UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
6–5
Record (11)
-0.1
Str Diff/Min
83%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
+17% step-up
2–3
Record (5)
-0.8
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
PintoHeavyweightSpann
72nd
Striking Differential
18th
71st
Grappling Threat
63rd
—
Round Win Rate
60th
94th
TD Defense
33rd
70th
Durability
51st
48th
Finishing Rate
69th

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Pinto
Stat
Spann
2.552.85 career
↓0.30
SLpMOutput
↓0.78
2.333.11 career
1.811.93 career
↓0.12
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.08
4.003.92 career
9.569.56 career
↑0.00
TD AttAttempts/15m
⚠↓1.21
2.283.49 career
1.010.90 career
↑0.11
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↓0.18
1.521.70 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Finish Likely
Pinto33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Spann19% distance
Finish 81%Decision 19%
Pinto 3 UFC fights·Spann 16 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Pinto
9.9min
Spann
6.2min
Combined Distance Rate
21%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
PintoTO KNOCK OUTSpann
53
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins2
Total UFC wins3
Spann's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses3
Total UFC losses6
SpannTO KNOCK OUTPinto
49
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins4
Total UFC wins10
Pinto's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses0
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
PintoTO SUBMITSpann
44
High
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins3
Spann's Sub Losses
Sub losses2
Total UFC losses6
SpannTO SUBMITPinto
40
High
Sub Wins
Submission wins4
Total UFC wins10
Pinto's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses0
PintoWin MethodSpann
67%
KO / TKO
40%
0%
Submission
40%
33%
Decision
20%
3 UFC wins · 2 KO · 1 Dec10 UFC wins · 4 KO · 4 Sub · 2 Dec
Pinto
Loss Method
Spann
—
KO / TKO
50%
—
Submission
33%
—
Decision
17%
No UFC losses6 UFC losses · 3 KO · 2 Sub · 1 Dec
Pinto2 stoppages · 2 KO
R1
0
R2
2
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
All stoppages
WKOJhonata DinizR2 · 4:10
WKOAusten LaneR2 · 0:39
Spann13 stoppages · 7 KO · 6 Sub
R1
9
R2
4
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WKOMarcus BuchechaR2 · 2:10
WSubLukasz BrzeskiR1 · 2:47
LKOWaldo Cortes AcostaR2 · 4:48
WSubOvince Saint PreuxR1 · 1:35
LKOBogdan GuskovR2 · 3:16
Historical Context
Pinto — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·3 fights
W
Felipe FrancoHW
U-DEC
R3
Mar '26
34 SS (59%)·21 abs·2/14 td·375s ctrl
W
Jhonata DinizHW
KO/TKO
R24:10
Oct '25
29 SS (88%)·1 abs·3/4 td·448s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Austen LaneHW
KO/TKO
R20:39
Mar '25
13 SS (57%)·32 abs·0/1 td·18s ctrl·1 kd·1 kd taken
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WLucas Camacho
DWCSKO/TKOR1Oct 2024
View full fight log →
Spann — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·16 fights
W
Marcus BuchechaHW
KO/TKO
R22:10
Apr '26
15 SS (56%)·8 abs·1 td taken·176s ctrl·1 kd
W
Lukasz BrzeskiHW
SUB
R12:47
Jul '25
8 SS (42%)·5 abs·1/1 td·134s ctrl·2 sub att
L
Waldo Cortes AcostaHW
KO/TKO
R24:48
Mar '25
23 SS (27%)·66 abs·0/2 td·5s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Ovince Saint PreuxEliteLHW
SUB
R11:35
Oct '24
9 SS (45%)·7 abs·1 sub att
L
Bogdan GuskovLHW
KO/TKO
R23:16
Apr '24
15 SS (39%)·31 abs·1/3 td·209s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub att
L
Anthony SmithVeteranLHW
S-DEC
R3
Aug '23
59 SS (32%)·91 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·79s ctrl
View full fight log →
Matchup·HW·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
7/14←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Mario Pinto

12-03 UFC5mo ago
6'5"ht79"reachOrthodox28 yrs
VS·HW·3R
Blue Corner

Ryan Spann

“Superman”
24-1116 UFC4mo ago
6'5"ht79"reachOrthodox35 yrs
CQ
Edges
Finish LikelySpann · KO Vulnerability
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingPintoClear edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingPintoDominant
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.No edge
Signals
2
AGE GAPSpann is 7 years older than Pinto.
WC TRANSITIONSpann is in their 3rd fight into a move up from Light Heavyweight. Record at Heavyweight: 2-1.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Pinto
Pinto+0.92
Spann-0.81
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Pinto
Pinto0.98
Spann0.00
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
PintoToo few rounds
Spann58%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Pinto
Unrated0 KO losses0.33 KD/fight
Spann
57Average
Stats
Pinto
Spann
Striking
2.85SS Landed / min3.11
69%Str Acc39%
1.93SS Absorbed / min3.92
58%Str Def43%
0.33KD / fight0.38
Grappling
2.38TD / min1.21
100%TD Def59%
0.90Sub Att · /15m1.70
—Sub Def60%
Finish History
Pinto
KO/TKO ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
67%
2/3
Stopped Rate (Losses)
—
—
Spann
KO/TKO ×4Sub ×4
Finish Rate (Wins)
80%
8/10
Stopped Rate (Losses)
83%
5/6
Pinto33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Spann19% distance
Finish 81%Decision 19%
Pinto 3 UFC fights·Spann 16 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Pinto
9.9min
Spann
6.2min
Combined Distance Rate
21%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
PintoWinSpann
67%
KO
40%
0%
Sub
40%
33%
Dec
20%
3 wins2 KO1 Dec
2 Dec4 Sub4 KO10 wins
PintoLossSpann
—
KO
50%
—
Sub
33%
—
Dec
17%
—
1 Dec2 Sub3 KO6 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Pinto
to knock out
Spann
53High
Spann
to knock out
Pinto
49High
Pinto
to submit
Spann
44High
Spann
to submit
Pinto
40High
Recent Form
Pinto
Stat
Spann
2.55
2.85 career
↓0.30
SLpMOutput
↓0.78
2.33
3.11 career
1.81
1.93 career
↓0.12
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.08
4.00
3.92 career
9.56
9.56 career
↑0.00
TD AttAtt/15m
↓1.21
2.28
3.49 career
1.01
0.90 career
↑0.11
SubAtt/15m
↓0.18
1.52
1.70 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Pinto—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·3 fights
W
Felipe FrancoHW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '26
34 SS (59%)·21 abs·2/14 td·375s ctrl
W
Jhonata DinizHW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:10 · Oct '25
29 SS (88%)·1 abs·3/4 td·448s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Austen LaneHW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 0:39 · Mar '25
13 SS (57%)·32 abs·0/1 td·18s ctrl·1 kd·1 kd taken
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WLucas Camacho
DWCSKO/TKOR1Oct 2024
View full fight log →
Spann—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·16 fights
W
Marcus BuchechaHW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 2:10 · Apr '26
15 SS (56%)·8 abs·1 td taken·176s ctrl·1 kd
W
Lukasz BrzeskiHW Bout
SUB · R1 · 2:47 · Jul '25
8 SS (42%)·5 abs·1/1 td·134s ctrl·2 sub att
L
Waldo Cortes AcostaHW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:48 · Mar '25
23 SS (27%)·66 abs·0/2 td·5s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Ovince Saint PreuxEliteLHW Bout
SUB · R1 · 1:35 · Oct '24
9 SS (45%)·7 abs·1 sub att
L
Bogdan GuskovLHW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 3:16 · Apr '24
15 SS (39%)·31 abs·1/3 td·209s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub att
L
Anthony SmithVeteranLHW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Aug '23
59 SS (32%)·91 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·79s ctrl
View full fight log →
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X