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Matchup Analysis·Featherweight
↑UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 29 / 14
←Garbrandt vs YanezCortez vs Cong→
Red Corner

Luke Riley

13-02 UFCLast3mo ago
KO Artist
5'9"+2"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·264yrage
VS
Featherweight145 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Kai Kamaka III

“Da Fighting Hawaiian”
18-7-15 UFCLast3mo ago
Pressure Fighter
5'7"ht·69"reach·Orthodoxstance·31age
◈
Uneven DataRiley has 2 UFC fights on record.
CQ
EdgesDecision Likely
Uneven Data
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo data
KO Adv.RileyDominant
Sub Adv.No edge
DurabilityNo data
Signals
2 signals
AGE GAP

Kamaka is 5 years older than Riley.

WC DEBUT

Kamaka is making their UFC debut at Featherweight, moving down from Lightweight.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
No edge
Riley
+2.24
Kamaka
-0.27
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
No data
Riley
Too few fights
Kamaka
Opponent data thin
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Riley
Too few rounds
Kamaka
57%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Riley
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Kamaka
58
Average
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Extreme
Riley5.56SLpM
+
SLpM5.40Kamaka
11.0
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
No edge
RileyToo few fights
KamakaOutput Holds Steady-1% R1→R3
Finish History
Riley
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
50%
1/2
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Kamaka
No finishes
Finish rate (wins)
0%
0/2
Stopped rate (losses)
50%
1/2
Fighter Context
Riley·UFC 2-0·1 KO · 1 Dec
Kamaka·UFC 2-2·2 Dec·1 KO loss · 1 Dec loss
Pre-UFC11-0
Win method
8 KO/TKO3 Dec
Avg opponent wins5.3
Wins finished8 of 11

Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.

Division Percentile Ranks
RileyFeatherweightKamaka
92nd
Striking Differential
38th
7th
Grappling Threat
70th
—
Round Win Rate
65th
—
TD Defense
31st
67th
Durability
27th
43rd
Finishing Rate
—

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Riley
Stat
Kamaka
—
SLpMOutput
↓0.64
4.765.40 career
—
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.58
5.095.67 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
⚠↓1.14
1.672.81 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Striking
Riley2 fightsKamaka5 fights
Div avg
Sig. Strikes / Min
5.56
5.40
Str. Accuracy
57%
59%
Sig. Absorbed / min
3.32
5.67
Str. Defense
64%
56%
CQ KO Power
0.88
0.27
RileyStrike DistributionKamaka
By Target
67%
Head
43%
28%
Body
43%
5%
Leg
15%
By Position
83%
Distance
83%
10%
Clinch
14%
8%
Ground
3%
Sig Strikes
Riley
57avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
10.3 min
Goes Dist
50%
Kamaka
75avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
13.9 min
Goes Dist
80%
Historical Context
Riley — Fight History
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·2 fights
W
Michael Aswell Jr.FW
U-DEC
R3
Mar '26
100 SS (56%)·61 abs·1 td taken
W
Bogdan GradFW
KO/TKO
R20:30
Nov '25
14 SS (61%)·7 abs·4 td taken·15s ctrl·1 kd
Pre-UFC Fights·11 fights
W
Tariel Abbasov9-2
KO/TKOR2Mar 2025
W
Alexandre Junior6-2
KO/TKOR1Sep 2024
W
John De Jesus17-11
DECMar 2024
W
Alexander Lööf5-0
KO/TKOR3Sep 2023
View full fight log →
Kamaka — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Dakota HopeLW
S-DEC
R3
Apr '26
105 SS (66%)·106 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·23s ctrl·1 kd taken
D
Danny ChavezFW
M-DEC
R3
Jul '21
48 SS (62%)·41 abs·0/3 td·1 td taken·213s ctrl
L
TJ BrownFW
S-DEC
R3
May '21
61 SS (48%)·82 abs·1/1 td·2 td taken·338s ctrl·1 kd
L
Jonathan PearceFW
KO/TKO
R24:28
Nov '20
47 SS (57%)·51 abs·1/3 td·5 td taken·33s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Tony KelleyFW
U-DEC
R3
Aug '20
114 SS (62%)·114 abs·5/5 td·309s ctrl
View full fight log →
Matchup·FW·3R
↑UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
9/14←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Luke Riley

13-02 UFC3mo ago
5'9"+2"ht69"reachOrthodox26 yrs
VS·FW·3R
Blue Corner

Kai Kamaka III

“Da Fighting Hawaiian”
18-7-15 UFC3mo ago
5'7"ht69"reachOrthodox31 yrs
◈
Uneven Data Riley has 2 UFC fights on record.
CQ
Edges
Decision LikelyUneven Data
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo data
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.RileyDominant
Sub Adv.No edge
Signals
2
AGE GAPKamaka is 5 years older than Riley.
WC DEBUTKamaka is making their UFC debut at Featherweight, moving down from Lightweight.
Fighter Context
Riley·UFC 2-0·1 KO · 1 Dec
Pre-UFC11-0
Win method
8 KO/TKO3 Dec
Avg opponent wins5.3
Wins finished8 of 11
Kamaka·UFC 2-2·2 Dec·1 KO loss · 1 Dec loss

Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.

CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
No edge
Riley+2.24
Kamaka-0.27
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
No data
RileyToo few fights
KamakaOpponent data thin
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
RileyToo few rounds
Kamaka57%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Riley
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Kamaka
58Average
Stats
Riley
Kamaka
Striking
5.56SS Landed / min5.40
57%Str Acc59%
3.32SS Absorbed / min5.67
64%Str Def56%
0.50KD / fight0.20
Grappling
0.00TD / min1.51
37%TD Def55%
0.00Sub Att · /15m0.20
—Sub Def100%
Finish History
Riley
KO/TKO ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
50%
1/2
Stopped Rate (Losses)
—
—
Kamaka
No finishes
Finish Rate (Wins)
0%
0/2
Stopped Rate (Losses)
50%
1/2
Riley50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Kamaka80% distance
Finish 20%Decision 80%
Riley 2 UFC fights·Kamaka 5 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Riley
10.3min
Kamaka
13.9min
Combined Distance Rate
71%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
RileyWinKamaka
50%
KO
0%
0%
Sub
0%
50%
Dec
100%
2 wins1 KO1 Dec
2 Dec2 wins
RileyLossKamaka
—
KO
50%
—
Sub
0%
—
Dec
50%
—
1 Dec1 KO2 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Riley
to knock out
Kamaka
56Elite
Kamaka
to knock out
Riley
26Elevated
Riley
to submit
Kamaka
10Minimal
Kamaka
to submit
Riley
11Minimal
Recent Form
Riley
Stat
Kamaka
—
SLpMOutput
↓0.64
4.76
5.40 career
—
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.58
5.09
5.67 career
—
TD AttAtt/15m
↓1.14
1.67
2.81 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Riley—Fight History
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·2 fights
W
Michael Aswell Jr.FW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '26
100 SS (56%)·61 abs·1 td taken
W
Bogdan GradFW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 0:30 · Nov '25
14 SS (61%)·7 abs·4 td taken·15s ctrl·1 kd
Pre-UFC Fights·11 fights
W
Tariel Abbasov9-2
KO/TKOR2Mar 2025
W
Alexandre Junior6-2
KO/TKOR1Sep 2024
W
John De Jesus17-11
DECMar 2024
W
Alexander Lööf5-0
KO/TKOR3Sep 2023
View full fight log →
Kamaka—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Dakota HopeLW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · Apr '26
105 SS (66%)·106 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·23s ctrl·1 kd taken
D
Danny ChavezFW Bout
M-DEC · R3 · Jul '21
48 SS (62%)·41 abs·0/3 td·1 td taken·213s ctrl
L
TJ BrownFW Bout
S-DEC · R3 · May '21
61 SS (48%)·82 abs·1/1 td·2 td taken·338s ctrl·1 kd
L
Jonathan PearceFW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:28 · Nov '20
47 SS (57%)·51 abs·1/3 td·5 td taken·33s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Tony KelleyFW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Aug '20
114 SS (62%)·114 abs·5/5 td·309s ctrl
View full fight log →
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X