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Matchup Analysis·Flyweight
↑UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 21 / 13
←Tsarukyan vs Ruffy→
Red Corner

Joshua Van

“The Fearless”
17-211 UFCLast4mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Hot Streak
2× Title
2× 5R
Output Builds Late
Moderate Wear
5'5"ht·65"reach·Orthodoxstance·2411yrage
VS
Flyweight125 lbs
5R
Blue Corner

Alexandre Pantoja

“The Cannibal”
30-618 UFCLast9mo ago
Complete Fighter
Aging Threat
6× Title
6× 5R
Early Chaos
Moderate Wear
5'5"ht·67"+2"reach·Orthodoxstance·36age
CQ
Edges—
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingVanDominant
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingPantojaClear edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.PantojaClear edge
DurabilityNo edge
Signals
1 signal
AGE GAP

Pantoja is 12 years older than Van.

CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Van
Van
+2.61
Pantoja
+0.50
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
Pantoja
Van
0.25
Pantoja
0.70
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No edge
Van
69%
Pantoja
69%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Van
79
Durable
Pantoja
91
Ironclad
1 KO lossKO losses1 KO loss
0.09KD / fight0.06
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Extreme
Van8.43SLpM
+
SLpM4.38Pantoja
12.8
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
Van
VanOutput Builds Late+111% R1→R3
PantojaOutput Holds Steady-19% R1→R3
Finish History
Van
KO/TKO ×4
Finish rate (wins)
40%
4/10
Stopped rate (losses)
100%
1/1
Pantoja
KO/TKO ×2Sub ×6
Finish rate (wins)
57%
8/14
Stopped rate (losses)
25%
1/4
Edge & Exposure
Van
EdgeStriking Dominant

Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.

EdgePressure Fighter

Output holds or improves as the fight extends. Wins the striking exchange in later rounds when opponents expect a slowdown.

Pantoja
EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

EdgeStriking Edge

Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.

Opposition Quality
Van10–1UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
7–0
Record (7)
+3.3
Str Diff/Min
43%
Finish (W)
Pantoja14–4UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
9–4
Record (13)
+0.8
Str Diff/Min
56%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)
2–1
Record (3)
-0.2
Str Diff/Min
50%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
VanFlyweightPantoja
97th
Striking Differential
67th
49th
Grappling Threat
85th
85th
Round Win Rate
85th
79th
TD Defense
66th
52nd
Durability
87th
26th
Finishing Rate
56th
Recent Form
Van
Stat
Pantoja
9.178.43 career
↑0.74
SLpMOutput
↓0.49
3.894.38 career
7.395.82 career
⚠↑1.57
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.99
2.893.88 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑4.39
10.265.87 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↑1.37
2.371.00 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Van55% distance
Finish 45%Decision 55%
Pantoja50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Van 11 UFC fights·Pantoja 18 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Van
13.3min
Pantoja
11.9min
Combined Distance Rate
52%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
VanTO KNOCK OUTPantoja
45
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins4
Total UFC wins10
Pantoja's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses4
PantojaTO KNOCK OUTVan
40
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins2
Total UFC wins14
Van's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses1
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
VanTO SUBMITPantoja
5
Minimal
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins10
Pantoja's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses4
PantojaTO SUBMITVan
25
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins6
Total UFC wins14
Van's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses1
VanWin MethodPantoja
40%
KO / TKO
14%
0%
Submission
43%
60%
Decision
43%
10 UFC wins · 4 KO · 6 Dec14 UFC wins · 2 KO · 6 Sub · 6 Dec
Van
Loss Method
Pantoja
100%
KO / TKO
25%
0%
Submission
0%
0%
Decision
75%
1 UFC loss · 1 KO4 UFC losses · 1 KO · 3 Dec
Van5 stoppages · 5 KO
R1
1
R2
1
R3
2
R4
0
R5
1
R1R2R3R4R5
KO Win
KO Loss
All stoppages
WKOTatsuro TairaR5 · 1:32
WKOAlexandre PantojaR1 · 0:26
WKOBruno SilvaR3 · 4:01
LKOCharles JohnsonR3 · 0:20
WKOFelipe BunesR2 · 4:31
Pantoja9 stoppages · 3 KO · 6 Sub
R1
5
R2
2
R3
2
R4
0
R5
0
R1R2R3R4R5
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
LKOJoshua VanR1 · 0:26
WSubKai Kara-FranceR3 · 1:55
WSubKai AsakuraR2 · 2:05
WSubAlex PerezR1 · 1:31
WSubBrandon RoyvalR2 · 1:46
Historical Context
Van — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
W
Tatsuro TairaVeteranTITLEUFC FLY Title
KO/TKO
R51:32
May '26
131 SS (63%)·55 abs·1/2 td·8 td taken·81s ctrl·2 kd·2 sub att
W
Alexandre PantojaVeteranTITLEFLY
KO/TKO
R10:26
Dec '25
2 SS (50%)·6 abs
W
Brandon RoyvalFLY
U-DEC
R3
Jun '25
204 SS (67%)·215 abs·9s ctrl·1 kd
W
Bruno SilvaFLY
KO/TKO
R34:01
Jun '25
125 SS (58%)·76 abs·1 td taken·61s ctrl·3 kd
W
Rei TsuruyaFLY
U-DEC
R3
Mar '25
59 SS (61%)·32 abs·4 td taken·50s ctrl
W
Cody DurdenFLY
U-DEC
R3
Dec '24
165 SS (54%)·70 abs·2 td taken·20s ctrl
View full fight log →
Pantoja — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Joshua VanVeteranTITLEFLY
KO/TKO
R10:26
Dec '25
6 SS (55%)·2 abs
W
Kai Kara-FranceVeteranTITLEFLY
SUB
R31:55
Jun '25
42 SS (55%)·38 abs·3/6 td·440s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Kai AsakuraTITLEFLY
SUB
R22:05
Dec '24
32 SS (62%)·17 abs·3/7 td·166s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Steve ErcegTITLEFLY
U-DEC
R5
May '24
125 SS (52%)·111 abs·9/19 td·1 td taken·495s ctrl
W
Brandon RoyvalTITLEFLY
U-DEC
R5
Dec '23
95 SS (61%)·111 abs·8/14 td·951s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Brandon MorenoVeteranTITLEFLY
S-DEC
R5
Jul '23
129 SS (47%)·147 abs·6/11 td·2 td taken·506s ctrl·1 kd
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Brandon RoyvalSame result
W
Van
UD·R3·2025
W
Pantoja
UD·R5·2023
Matchup·FLY·5R
↑UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
1/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Joshua Van

“The Fearless”
17-211 UFC4mo ago
5'5"ht65"reachOrthodox24 yrs
VS·FLY·5R
Blue Corner

Alexandre Pantoja

“The Cannibal”
30-618 UFC9mo ago
5'5"ht67"+2"reachOrthodox36 yrs
CQ
Edges
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingVanDominant
DecisionNo edge
GrapplingPantojaClear edge
DurabilityNo edge
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.PantojaClear edge
Signals
1
AGE GAPPantoja is 12 years older than Van.
CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Van
Van+2.61
Pantoja+0.50
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
Pantoja
Van0.25
Pantoja0.70
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No edge
Van69%
Pantoja69%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No edge
Van
79Durable
Pantoja
91Ironclad
Stats
Van
Pantoja
Striking
8.43SS Landed / min4.38
57%Str Acc50%
5.82SS Absorbed / min3.88
58%Str Def49%
0.64KD / fight0.22
Grappling
0.82TD / min2.79
75%TD Def69%
0.20Sub Att · /15m1.00
100%Sub Def—
Finish History
Van
KO/TKO ×4
Finish Rate (Wins)
40%
4/10
Stopped Rate (Losses)
100%
1/1
Pantoja
KO/TKO ×2Sub ×6
Finish Rate (Wins)
57%
8/14
Stopped Rate (Losses)
25%
1/4
Van55% distance
Finish 45%Decision 55%
Pantoja50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Van 11 UFC fights·Pantoja 18 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Van
13.3min
Pantoja
11.9min
Combined Distance Rate
52%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
VanWinPantoja
40%
KO
14%
0%
Sub
43%
60%
Dec
43%
10 wins4 KO6 Dec
6 Dec6 Sub2 KO14 wins
VanLossPantoja
100%
KO
25%
0%
Sub
0%
0%
Dec
75%
1 loss1 KO
3 Dec1 KO4 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Van
to knock out
Pantoja
45High
Pantoja
to knock out
Van
40High
Van
to submit
Pantoja
5Minimal
Pantoja
to submit
Van
25Elevated
Recent Form
Van
Stat
Pantoja
9.17
8.43 career
↑0.74
SLpMOutput
↓0.49
3.89
4.38 career
7.39
5.82 career
↑1.57
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.99
2.89
3.88 career
—
TD AttAtt/15m
↑4.39
10.26
5.87 career
—
SubAtt/15m
↑1.37
2.37
1.00 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Van—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
W
Tatsuro TairaVeteranTITLEUFC FLY Title Bout
KO/TKO · R5 · 1:32 · May '26
131 SS (63%)·55 abs·1/2 td·8 td taken·81s ctrl·2 kd·2 sub att
W
Alexandre PantojaVeteranTITLEFLY Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 0:26 · Dec '25
2 SS (50%)·6 abs
W
Brandon RoyvalFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jun '25
204 SS (67%)·215 abs·9s ctrl·1 kd
W
Bruno SilvaFLY Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 4:01 · Jun '25
125 SS (58%)·76 abs·1 td taken·61s ctrl·3 kd
W
Rei TsuruyaFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Mar '25
59 SS (61%)·32 abs·4 td taken·50s ctrl
W
Cody DurdenFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Dec '24
165 SS (54%)·70 abs·2 td taken·20s ctrl
View full fight log →
Pantoja—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Joshua VanVeteranTITLEFLY Bout
KO/TKO · R1 · 0:26 · Dec '25
6 SS (55%)·2 abs
W
Kai Kara-FranceVeteranTITLEFLY Bout
SUB · R3 · 1:55 · Jun '25
42 SS (55%)·38 abs·3/6 td·440s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Kai AsakuraTITLEFLY Bout
SUB · R2 · 2:05 · Dec '24
32 SS (62%)·17 abs·3/7 td·166s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Steve ErcegTITLEFLY Bout
U-DEC · R5 · May '24
125 SS (52%)·111 abs·9/19 td·1 td taken·495s ctrl
W
Brandon RoyvalTITLEFLY Bout
U-DEC · R5 · Dec '23
95 SS (61%)·111 abs·8/14 td·951s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Brandon MorenoVeteranTITLEFLY Bout
S-DEC · R5 · Jul '23
129 SS (47%)·147 abs·6/11 td·2 td taken·506s ctrl·1 kd
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Brandon RoyvalSame result
W
Van
UD·R3·2025
W
Pantoja
UD·R5·2023
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X