Matchup Analysis·Lightweight
Red Corner
Evan Elder
“The Phenom”
10-25 UFCLast1.5yr ago
Pressure Fighter
Layoff Risk
5'10"ht·72"reach·Switchstance·29age
VS
Lightweight155 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
Samuel Sanches
“The Prodigy”
11-10 UFCLast1.2yr ago
UFC Debut
KO Artist
5'10"ht·74"+2"reach·Orthodoxstance·236yrage
◈
UFC DebutSanches has no UFC fights on record.
Signals2 signals
AGE GAP
Elder is 6 years older than Sanches.
FINISHER
Sanches finished 9 of 11 pre-UFC wins (8 KO/TKO, 1 sub).
CQ Core Edges
Elder
+0.72
Sanches
No UFC data
Elder
Opponent data thin
Sanches
No UFC data
Elder
71%
Sanches
Too few rounds
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Elder
58
AverageSanchesNo UFC data
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Elder5.66SLpM
+SLpM5.95Sanches
11.6
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
ElderOutput Holds Steady-6% R1→R3
SanchesNo UFC data
Finish History
Elder
Sub ×1
Finish rate (wins)
33%
1/3
Stopped rate (losses)
50%
1/2
Sanches
No finishes
Finish rate (wins)
—
—
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Fighter Context
Elder·UFC 3-2·1 Sub · 2 Dec·1 KO loss · 1 Dec loss
Sanches
Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.
Pre-UFC11-1
Win method
8 KO/TKO1 Sub2 Dec
Loss method
1 Sub
Avg opponent wins4.5
Wins finished9 of 11
Edge & Exposure
Elder
EdgeStriking Edge
Above-average net striking margin for this division. Wins the exchange battle consistently.
Sanches
Insufficient UFC sample for a fighter read.
Division Percentile Ranks
ElderLightweightSanches
71st
Striking Differential
—15th
Grappling Threat
—92nd
Round Win Rate
—8th
TD Defense
—35th
Durability
—16th
Finishing Rate
—— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.
Recent Form
Elder
Stat
Sanches
6.965.66 career
↑1.30
SLpMOutput
—
4.604.94 career
↓0.34
SApMAbsorbed
—
2.043.13 career
⚠↓1.09
TD AttAttempts/15m
—
0.820.50 career
↑0.32
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
⚠
Pre-UFC data only. Sanches has no UFC fights on record. Their stats reflect pre-UFC appearances.
Striking
Elder5 fightsSanchespre-ufc · 1 fight
Div avgSig. Strikes / Min
5.66
5.95
Str. Accuracy
50%
75%
Sig. Absorbed / min
4.94
—
No UFC data
Str. Defense
57%
100%
CQ KO Power
0.57
—
ElderStrike DistributionSanches
By Target
46%
67%
38%
25%
16%
8%
By Position
92%
67%
4%
33%
4%
0%
Sig Strikes
Elder
71avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
12.5 min
Goes Dist
60%
Sanches
No UFC fight data
Avg Fight Time
—
Goes Dist
—
Historical Context
Elder — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
115 SS (55%)·81 abs·0/3 td·16s ctrl
45 SS (52%)·24 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·121s ctrl·1 sub att
96 SS (49%)·64 abs·1/1 td·6s ctrl·1 kd·1 kd taken·1 sub att
70 SS (49%)·64 abs·1/6 td·1 td taken·93s ctrl·1 kd
27 SS (45%)·75 abs·0/2 td·4 td taken·107s ctrl
Sanches — Fight History
Opponent
MethodRndDate
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WChasen Blair
DWCSKO/TKOR1Sep 2025
Pre-UFC Fights·11 fights
W
Evaldo Santos17-5
KO/TKOR1Mar 2025
W
Severino Neto7-7
KO/TKOR2Jun 2024
W
Sérgio de Jesus Santos7-11
DECApr 2024
W
Bruno Justo10-6
KO/TKOR2Jan 2024
W
Sérgio Santos1-0
DECJul 2023