Matchup Analysis·Flyweight
Red Corner
Brandon Moreno
“The Assassin Baby”
23-10-220 UFCLast6mo ago
Balanced
11× Title
11× 5R
Moderate Wear
5'7"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·32age
VS
Flyweight125 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
Joseph Morales
“Bopo”
15-25 UFCLast10mo ago
Submission Specialist
High Variance
Early Chaos
Output Builds Late
5'6"ht·69"reach·Switchstance·32age
Signals1 signal
SUBMISSION
Morales actively hunts submissions on the ground.
CQ Core Edges
Moreno
+0.20
Morales
-0.05
Moreno
1.01
Morales
0.40
Moreno
60%
Morales
33%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Moreno
92
IroncladMorales
58
Average1 KO lossKO losses1 KO loss
0.25KD / fight0.20
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Moreno3.84SLpM
+SLpM2.00Morales
5.8
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
MorenoOutput Builds Late+29% R1→R3
MoralesEarly Finisher
Finish History
Moreno
KO/TKO ×3Sub ×3
Finish rate (wins)
55%
6/11
Stopped rate (losses)
14%
1/7
Morales
Sub ×3
Finish rate (wins)
100%
3/3
Stopped rate (losses)
50%
1/2
Edge & Exposure
Moreno
No dominant edges or exposures identified from UFC record.
Morales
EdgeHigh Finisher
Finishes the majority of opponents. Gets the stoppage when ahead on the scorecards.
EdgeSub Threat
Elite submission attempt rate. Consistently hunts finishes on the mat.
ExposureChin Question
KO/TKO vulnerability is above division average. A clean power shot carries more consequence here.
Opposition Quality
Moreno11–7UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
10–7
Record (18)
+0.1
Str Diff/Min
60%
Finish (W)
vs. Veteran Opps (≥8 UFC wins)+23% step-up
3–2
Record (6)
+1.0
Str Diff/Min
67%
Finish (W)
Morales3–2UFC
Too few fights to rate.
Division Percentile Ranks
MorenoFlyweightMorales
50th
Striking Differential
40th54th
Grappling Threat
46th69th
Round Win Rate
16th54th
TD Defense
6th92nd
Durability
23rd53rd
Finishing Rate
90thRecent Form
Moreno
Stat
Morales
3.083.84 career
↓0.76
SLpMOutput
↑0.23
2.232.00 career
4.203.64 career
↑0.56
SApMAbsorbed
↓0.20
1.852.05 career
3.403.43 career
↓0.03
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑0.81
3.472.66 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
↑1.04
4.043.00 career
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Moreno65% distance
Finish 35%Decision 65%
Morales20% distance
Finish 80%Decision 20%
Moreno 20 UFC fights·Morales 5 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Moreno
17.0min
Morales
7.9min
Combined Distance Rate
56%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
MorenoTO KNOCK OUTMorales
42
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins3
Total UFC wins11
Morales's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses2
MoralesTO KNOCK OUTMoreno
26
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins0
Total UFC wins3
Moreno's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses7
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
MorenoTO SUBMITMorales
25
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins3
Total UFC wins11
Morales's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses2
MoralesTO SUBMITMoreno
21
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins3
Total UFC wins3
Moreno's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses7
MorenoWin MethodMorales
27%
KO / TKO
0%
27%
Submission
100%
45%
Decision
0%
11 UFC wins · 3 KO · 3 Sub · 5 Dec3 UFC wins · 3 Sub
Moreno
Loss Method
Morales14%
KO / TKO
50%
0%
Submission
0%
86%
Decision
50%
7 UFC losses · 1 KO · 6 Dec2 UFC losses · 1 KO · 1 Dec
Moreno7 stoppages · 4 KO · 3 Sub
R1
2
R2
2
R3
3
KO Win
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
LKOTatsuro TairaR2 · 2:24
WKODeiveson FigueiredoR3 · 5:00
WKOKai Kara-FranceR3 · 4:34
WSubDeiveson FigueiredoR3 · 2:26
WKOBrandon RoyvalR1 · 4:59
Morales4 stoppages · 1 KO · 3 Sub
R1
2
R2
2
R30
KO Loss
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubMatt SchnellR1 · 2:54
WSubAlibi IdirisR2 · 3:04
LKODeiveson FigueiredoR2 · 4:34
WSubRobert SanchezR1 · 3:56
Historical Context
Moreno — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
79 SS (47%)·97 abs·0/8 td·440s ctrl
9 SS (53%)·28 abs·1 td taken·5s ctrl·1 sub att
89 SS (51%)·116 abs·1/5 td·85s ctrl
132 SS (42%)·63 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken
112 SS (53%)·145 abs·3/5 td·1 td taken·174s ctrl
147 SS (60%)·129 abs·2/4 td·6 td taken·241s ctrl·1 kd taken
Morales — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
5 SS (45%)·4 abs·1 td taken·72s ctrl·1 sub att
29 SS (46%)·28 abs·2/5 td·218s ctrl·2 sub att
24 SS (36%)·16 abs·1/1 td·7 td taken·51s ctrl·4 sub att
9 SS (28%)·31 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·1 kd taken
12 SS (55%)·2 abs·1 td taken·61s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub att
Common Opponents
Deiveson FigueiredoSplit result
W
Moreno
KO/TKO·R3·2023
L
Morales
KO/TKO·R2·2018