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Matchup Analysis·Women's Bantamweight Bout
↑UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi7 / 13
←Baghdasaryan vs MagomedovDiniz vs Montanha→
Red Corner

Bia Mesquita

“The Lady GOAT”
7-02 UFCLast3mo ago
Aging Threat
5'4"ht·67"reach·Orthodoxstance·35age
VS
Women's Bantamweight135 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Melissa Mullins

“No Mess”
7-24 UFCLast12mo ago
Grappler
Declining
5'7"+3"ht·68"reach·Orthodoxstance·34age
◈
Uneven DataMesquita has 2 UFC fights on record.
CQ
EdgesElevated Finish Risk
Uneven Data
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo data
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.MesquitaClear edge
DurabilityNo data
CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
No edge
Mesquita
+5.14
Mullins
-0.68
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
No data
Mesquita
Too few fights
Mullins
Opponent data thin
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Mesquita
Too few rounds
Mullins
50%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Mesquita
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Mullins
50
Average
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
High
Mesquita5.78SLpM
+
SLpM3.71Mullins
9.5
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
No edge
MesquitaToo few fights
MullinsOutput Holds Steady
Finish History
Mesquita
Sub ×2
Finish rate (wins)
100%
2/2
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Mullins
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
50%
1/2
Stopped rate (losses)
50%
1/2
Fighter Context
Mesquita·UFC 2-0·2 Sub
Mullins·UFC 2-2·1 KO · 1 Dec·1 KO loss · 1 Dec loss
Pre-UFC5-0
Win method
1 KO/TKO3 Sub
Avg opponent wins2
Wins finished4 of 5

Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.

Edge & Exposure
Mesquita

Insufficient UFC sample for a fighter read.

Mullins
EdgeGrappling Dominant

Top-tier takedown threat for this division. Consistently forces the fight to the mat.

Division Percentile Ranks
MesquitaWomen's BantamweightMullins
99th
Striking Differential
28th
99th
Grappling Threat
79th
—
Round Win Rate
55th
—
TD Defense
91st
30th
Durability
9th
93rd
Finishing Rate
41st

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Mesquita
Stat
Mullins
—
SLpMOutput
↑0.13
3.843.71 career
—
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.60
4.994.39 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑1.90
6.634.73 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Elevated Finish Risk
Mesquita0% distance
Finish 100%Decision 0%
Mullins50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Mesquita 2 UFC fights·Mullins 4 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Mesquita
4.7min
Mullins
11.1min
Combined Distance Rate
33%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
MesquitaTO KNOCK OUTMullins
45
High
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins0
Total UFC wins2
Mullins's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses1
Total UFC losses2
MullinsTO KNOCK OUTMesquita
33
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins1
Total UFC wins2
Mesquita's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses0
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
MesquitaTO SUBMITMullins
35
Elevated
Sub Wins
Submission wins2
Total UFC wins2
Mullins's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses2
MullinsTO SUBMITMesquita
10
Minimal
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins2
Mesquita's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses0
MesquitaWin MethodMullins
0%
KO / TKO
50%
100%
Submission
0%
0%
Decision
50%
2 UFC wins · 2 Sub2 UFC wins · 1 KO · 1 Dec
Mesquita
Loss Method
Mullins
—
KO / TKO
50%
—
Submission
0%
—
Decision
50%
No UFC losses2 UFC losses · 1 KO · 1 Dec
Mesquita2 stoppages · 2 Sub
R1
1
R2
1
R3
0
R1R2R3
Sub Win
All stoppages
WSubMontse RendonR1 · 2:07
WSubIrina AlekseevaR2 · 2:14
Mullins2 stoppages · 2 KO
R1
0
R2
2
R3
0
R1R2R3
KO Win
KO Loss
All stoppages
WKOKlaudia SygulaR2 · 1:20
LKONora CornolleR2 · 3:06
Historical Context
Mesquita — Fight History
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·2 fights
W
Montse RendonW.BW
SUB
R12:07
Mar '26
18 SS (67%)·0 abs·1/1 td·106s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Irina AlekseevaW.BW
SUB
R22:14
Oct '25
36 SS (57%)·6 abs·2/3 td·293s ctrl·1 sub att
Pre-UFC Fights·5 fights
W
Sierra Dinwoodie4-0
KO/TKOR2Jun 2025
W
Hope Chase4-2
KO/TKOR2Mar 2025
W
Fernanda Araujo2-4
SUBR2Dec 2024
W
Shannel Butler0-0
SUBR1Oct 2024
View full fight log →
Mullins — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Daria ZhelezniakovaW.BW
U-DEC
R3
Jun '25
64 SS (43%)·99 abs·3/6 td·175s ctrl
W
Klaudia SygulaW.BW
KO/TKO
R21:20
Nov '24
38 SS (63%)·12 abs·2/3 td·166s ctrl
L
Nora CornolleW.BW
KO/TKO
R23:06
Apr '24
11 SS (46%)·36 abs·1/4 td·320s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Irina AlekseevaW.BW
U-DEC
R3
Oct '23
52 SS (55%)·48 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·495s ctrl·1 kd taken
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Irina AlekseevaSame result
W
Mesquita
Sub·R2·2025
W
Mullins
UD·R3·2023
Matchup·W. BW·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
7/13←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Bia Mesquita

“The Lady GOAT”
7-02 UFC3mo ago
5'4"ht67"reachOrthodox35 yrs
VS·W. BW·3R
Blue Corner

Melissa Mullins

“No Mess”
7-24 UFC12mo ago
5'7"+3"ht68"reachOrthodox34 yrs
◈
Uneven Data Mesquita has 2 UFC fights on record.
CQ
Edges
Elevated Finish RiskUneven Data
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingNo edge
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo data
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.No edge
Sub Adv.MesquitaClear edge
Fighter Context
Mesquita·UFC 2-0·2 Sub
Pre-UFC5-0
Win method
1 KO/TKO3 Sub
Avg opponent wins2
Wins finished4 of 5
Mullins·UFC 2-2·1 KO · 1 Dec·1 KO loss · 1 Dec loss

Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.

CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
No edge
Mesquita+5.14
Mullins-0.68
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
No data
MesquitaToo few fights
MullinsOpponent data thin
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
MesquitaToo few rounds
Mullins50%
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Mesquita
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Mullins
50Average
Stats
Mesquita
Mullins
Striking
5.78SS Landed / min3.71
60%Str Acc50%
0.64SS Absorbed / min4.39
80%Str Def52%
0.00KD / fight0.00
Grappling
4.81TD / min2.03
0%TD Def85%
3.20Sub Att · /15m0.00
—Sub Def—
Finish History
Mesquita
Sub ×2
Finish Rate (Wins)
100%
2/2
Stopped Rate (Losses)
—
—
Mullins
KO/TKO ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
50%
1/2
Stopped Rate (Losses)
50%
1/2
Mesquita0% distance
Finish 100%Decision 0%
Mullins50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Mesquita 2 UFC fights·Mullins 4 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Mesquita
4.7min
Mullins
11.1min
Combined Distance Rate
33%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
MesquitaWinMullins
0%
KO
50%
100%
Sub
0%
0%
Dec
50%
2 wins2 Sub
1 Dec1 KO2 wins
MesquitaLossMullins
—
KO
50%
—
Sub
0%
—
Dec
50%
—
1 Dec1 KO2 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Mesquita
to knock out
Mullins
45High
Mullins
to knock out
Mesquita
33Elevated
Mesquita
to submit
Mullins
35Elevated
Mullins
to submit
Mesquita
10Minimal
Recent Form
Mesquita
Stat
Mullins
—
SLpMOutput
↑0.13
3.84
3.71 career
—
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.60
4.99
4.39 career
—
TD AttAtt/15m
↑1.90
6.63
4.73 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Mesquita—Fight History
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·2 fights
W
Montse RendonW. BW Bout
SUB · R1 · 2:07 · Mar '26
18 SS (67%)·0 abs·1/1 td·106s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Irina AlekseevaW. BW Bout
SUB · R2 · 2:14 · Oct '25
36 SS (57%)·6 abs·2/3 td·293s ctrl·1 sub att
Pre-UFC Fights·5 fights
W
Sierra Dinwoodie4-0
KO/TKOR2Jun 2025
W
Hope Chase4-2
KO/TKOR2Mar 2025
W
Fernanda Araujo2-4
SUBR2Dec 2024
W
Shannel Butler0-0
SUBR1Oct 2024
View full fight log →
Mullins—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Daria ZhelezniakovaW. BW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Jun '25
64 SS (43%)·99 abs·3/6 td·175s ctrl
W
Klaudia SygulaW. BW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 1:20 · Nov '24
38 SS (63%)·12 abs·2/3 td·166s ctrl
L
Nora CornolleW. BW Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 3:06 · Apr '24
11 SS (46%)·36 abs·1/4 td·320s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Irina AlekseevaW. BW Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Oct '23
52 SS (55%)·48 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·495s ctrl·1 kd taken
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Irina AlekseevaSame result
W
Mesquita
Sub·R2·2025
W
Mullins
UD·R3·2023
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Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X