Matchup Analysis·Middleweight
Red Corner
Ateba Gautier
“The Storm”
11-15 UFCLast5mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Hot Streak
High Variance
Early Chaos
6'4"+4"ht·81"+6"reach·Switchstance·2410yrage
VS
Middleweight185 lbs
3R
Blue Corner
15-512 UFCLast5mo ago
Pressure Fighter
Declining
High Variance
Moderate Wear
6'0"ht·75"reach·Southpawstance·34age
Signals2 signals
REACH CLIFF
Gautier has a 6" reach advantage and fights at distance. In a pure range battle, Gautier's reach is a structural advantage.
AGE GAP
Kopylov is 10 years older than Gautier.
CQ Core Edges
Gautier
+1.72
Kopylov
-0.54
Gautier
0.05
Kopylov
0.08
Gautier
Too few rounds
Kopylov
47%
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
Gautier
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Kopylov
99
IroncladCQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
Gautier4.32SLpM
+SLpM4.54Kopylov
8.9
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
GautierEarly Finisher
KopylovOutput Holds Steady+20% R1→R3
Finish History
Gautier
KO/TKO ×4
Finish rate (wins)
80%
4/5
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Kopylov
KO/TKO ×5
Finish rate (wins)
71%
5/7
Stopped rate (losses)
40%
2/5
Edge & Exposure
Gautier
EdgeKO Threat
Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.
EdgeStriking Dominant
Net striking margin is among the best in this division. Consistently lands more than absorbed.
Kopylov
EdgeKO Threat
Finishes most opponents by KO/TKO. Can end the fight with a single clean shot.
Opposition Quality
Gautier5–0UFC
Too few fights to rate.
Kopylov7–5UFC
vs. Winning-Record Opps
5–5
Record (10)
-0.5
Str Diff/Min
60%
Finish (W)
Division Percentile Ranks
GautierMiddleweightKopylov
90th
Striking Differential
28th44th
Grappling Threat
55th—
Round Win Rate
41st94th
TD Defense
91st85th
Durability
96th61st
Finishing Rate
51st— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.
Recent Form
Gautier
Stat
Kopylov
2.764.32 career
⚠↓1.56
SLpMOutput
↓0.96
3.584.54 career
2.842.60 career
↑0.24
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.50
5.585.08 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
⚠↓1.24
1.002.24 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Finishes
Outcome Signal
Elevated Finish Risk
Gautier20% distance
Finish 80%Decision 20%
Kopylov42% distance
Finish 58%Decision 42%
Gautier 5 UFC fights·Kopylov 12 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Gautier
5.5min
Kopylov
12.3min
Combined Distance Rate
35%of fights go the distance
CQ Finish Risk
KO Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
GautierTO KNOCK OUTKopylov
32
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins4
Total UFC wins5
Kopylov's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses5
KopylovTO KNOCK OUTGautier
38
Elevated
KO Wins
KO/TKO wins5
Total UFC wins7
Gautier's KO Losses
KO/TKO losses0
Total UFC losses0
Sub Danger·↑ SCORE = ↑ RISK
GautierTO SUBMITKopylov
23
Low
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins5
Kopylov's Sub Losses
Sub losses2
Total UFC losses5
KopylovTO SUBMITGautier
6
Minimal
Sub Wins
Submission wins0
Total UFC wins7
Gautier's Sub Losses
Sub losses0
Total UFC losses0
GautierWin MethodKopylov
80%
KO / TKO
71%
0%
Submission
0%
20%
Decision
29%
5 UFC wins · 4 KO · 1 Dec7 UFC wins · 5 KO · 2 Dec
Gautier
Loss Method
Kopylov—
KO / TKO
0%
—
Submission
40%
—
Decision
60%
No UFC losses5 UFC losses · 2 Sub · 3 Dec
Gautier4 stoppages · 4 KO
R1
3
R2
1
R30
KO Win
All stoppages
WKOOzzy DiazR2 · 1:10
WKOTre'ston VinesR1 · 1:41
WKORobert ValentinR1 · 1:10
WKOJose Daniel MedinaR1 · 3:32
Kopylov7 stoppages · 5 KO · 2 Sub
R10
R2
4
R3
3
KO Win
Sub Loss
All stoppages
WKOChris CurtisR3 · 4:59
LSubAnthony HernandezR2 · 3:23
WKOJosh FremdR2 · 4:44
WKOClaudio RibeiroR2 · 0:33
WKOPunahele SorianoR2 · 3:19
Historical Context
Gautier — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·5 fights
23 SS (28%)·6 abs·1 kd
34 SS (30%)·59 abs·2 kd
6 SS (50%)·0 abs·1/1 td·1 kd
19 SS (51%)·2 abs·1 kd
28 SS (56%)·17 abs·1 kd
Tracked Fights·1 fight
WYura Naito
DWCSKO/TKOR2Sep 2024
Kopylov — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
61 SS (49%)·62 abs·1/1 td·154s ctrl·3 kd
52 SS (50%)·90 abs·2/2 td·35s ctrl
48 SS (46%)·99 abs·1 kd taken
130 SS (42%)·142 abs·1/6 td·49s ctrl·1 kd
41 SS (58%)·58 abs·5/9 td·519s ctrl·1 kd
35 SS (61%)·34 abs·3 td taken