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Matchup Analysis·Flyweight
↑UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman9 / 11
←Rodrigues vs FrancoHarris vs Hines→
Red Corner

Alden Coria

“Cobra”
12-3(1 NC)2 UFCLast5mo ago
5'8"+3"ht·67"+2"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age
VS
Flyweight125 lbs
3R
Blue Corner

Stewart Nicoll

“Kakamora”
8-33 UFCLast3mo ago
Balanced
5'5"ht·65"reach·Orthodoxstance·30age
◈
Uneven DataCoria has 2 UFC fights on record.
CQ
Edges—
Uneven Data
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingCoriaDominant
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo data
KO Adv.CoriaDominant
Sub Adv.CoriaSlight edge
DurabilityNo data
CQ Core Edges
CQ Striking Differential
Strikes landed vs absorbed
Coria
Coria
+2.29
Nicoll
-2.21
CQ Grappling Threat
TD threat vs this opponent
No data
Coria
Too few fights
Nicoll
Opponent data thin
CQ Decision Advantage
Round Win Rate
No data
Coria
Too few rounds
Nicoll
Too few rounds
CQ Durability
KO exposure history
—
Coria
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Nicoll
46
Average
CQ Pace Index
Combined SLpM
High
Coria4.69SLpM
+
SLpM3.63Nicoll
8.3
LowModHighExtreme
CQ Cardio Pattern
Late-fight output
No edge
CoriaToo few fights
NicollOutput Holds Steady
Finish History
Coria
KO/TKO ×1
Finish rate (wins)
50%
1/2
Stopped rate (losses)
—
—
Nicoll
No finishes
Finish rate (wins)
—
—
Stopped rate (losses)
67%
2/3
Fighter Context
Coria·UFC 2-0·1 KO · 1 Dec
Nicoll·UFC 0-3·1 KO loss · 1 Sub loss · 1 Dec loss
Pre-UFC10-3
Win method
4 KO/TKO4 Sub2 Dec
Loss method
1 Sub2 Dec
Avg opponent wins4.6
Wins finished8 of 10

Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.

Edge & Exposure
Coria

Insufficient UFC sample for a fighter read.

Nicoll
ExposureChin Question

KO/TKO vulnerability is above division average. A clean power shot carries more consequence here.

Division Percentile Ranks
CoriaFlyweightNicoll
96th
Striking Differential
5th
69th
Grappling Threat
21st
—
Round Win Rate
—
—
TD Defense
9th
49th
Durability
14th
44th
Finishing Rate
—

— Insufficient divisional sample to rank this fighter in the current weight class.

Recent Form
Coria
Stat
Nicoll
—
SLpMOutput
↑0.00
3.633.63 career
—
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.00
5.845.84 career
—
TD AttAttempts/15m
↑0.00
14.1414.14 career
—
Sub AttAttempts/15m
—
Stat Breakdown
Striking
Coria2 fightsNicoll3 fights
Div avg
Sig. Strikes / Min
4.69
3.63
Str. Accuracy
44%
39%
Sig. Absorbed / min
2.40
5.84
Str. Defense
69%
49%
CoriaStrike DistributionNicoll
By Target
71%
Head
71%
13%
Body
16%
16%
Leg
13%
By Position
82%
Distance
94%
5%
Clinch
0%
13%
Ground
6%
Sig Strikes
Coria
61avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
12.9 min
Goes Dist
50%
Nicoll
33avg landed / fight
Avg Fight Time
9.2 min
Goes Dist
33%
Historical Context
Coria — Fight History
Opponent
MethodRndDate
UFC Fights·2 fights
W
Luis GuruleFLY
U-DEC
R3
Feb '26
79 SS (45%)·50 abs·1/4 td·1 td taken·102s ctrl
W
Alessandro CostaFLY
KO/TKO
R30:47
Sep '25
42 SS (44%)·12 abs·2/2 td·1 td taken·198s ctrl
Pre-UFC Fights·13 fights
W
German Orpineda Ponce4-7
KO/TKOR2May 2025
NC
Paris Moran12-2
—Jan 2025
W
Chris Ocon8-3
KO/TKOR2Nov 2024
W
Jose Leon2-1
SUBR2Jun 2024
View full fight log →
Nicoll — Recent Fights
Opponent
MethodRndDate
L
Alessandro CostaFLY
KO/TKO
R24:56
Apr '26
47 SS (47%)·43 abs·0/5 td·2 td taken·6s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Lucas RochaFLY
U-DEC
R3
Oct '25
45 SS (33%)·115 abs·2/20 td·3 td taken·90s ctrl
L
Jesus AguilarFLY
SUB
R12:39
Aug '24
8 SS (47%)·3 abs·1/1 td·124s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Alessandro CostaSplit result
W
Coria
KO/TKO·R3·2025
L
Nicoll
KO/TKO·R2·2026
Matchup·FLY·3R
↑UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman
9/11←→
Switch to Full Stats for deeper analysis.
Red Corner

Alden Coria

“Cobra”
12-3(1 NC)2 UFC5mo ago
5'8"+3"ht67"+2"reachOrthodox28 yrs
VS·FLY·3R
Blue Corner

Stewart Nicoll

“Kakamora”
8-33 UFC3mo ago
5'5"ht65"reachOrthodox30 yrs
◈
Uneven Data Coria has 2 UFC fights on record.
CQ
Edges
Uneven Data
CageQuant signals — dimensions where one fighter holds a statistically meaningful advantage
StrikingCoriaDominant
DecisionNo data
GrapplingNo data
DurabilityNo data
KO Adv.CoriaDominant
Sub Adv.CoriaSlight edge
Fighter Context
Coria·UFC 2-0·1 KO · 1 Dec
Pre-UFC10-3
Win method
4 KO/TKO4 Sub2 Dec
Loss method
1 Sub2 Dec
Avg opponent wins4.6
Wins finished8 of 10
Nicoll·UFC 0-3·1 KO loss · 1 Sub loss · 1 Dec loss

Sufficient UFC sample.
Full breakdown in edge cards above.

CQ Core Edges
CQStriking Edge
Who's winning the striking exchange
Coria
Coria+2.29
Nicoll-2.21
CQGrappling
Takedown threat vs this opponent's defense
No data
CoriaToo few fights
NicollOpponent data thin
CQDecision
CQ round win rate
No data
CoriaToo few rounds
NicollToo few rounds
CQDurability
KO resistance — higher is better
No data
Coria
Unrated0 KO losses0.00 KD/fight
Nicoll
46Average
Stats
Coria
Nicoll
Striking
4.69SS Landed / min3.63
44%Str Acc39%
2.40SS Absorbed / min5.84
69%Str Def49%
0.00KD / fight0.00
Grappling
1.75TD / min1.63
71%TD Def28%
0.00Sub Att · /15m0.00
100%Sub Def0%
Finish History
Coria
KO/TKO ×1
Finish Rate (Wins)
50%
1/2
Stopped Rate (Losses)
—
—
Nicoll
No finishes
Finish Rate (Wins)
—
—
Stopped Rate (Losses)
67%
2/3
Coria50% distance
Finish 50%Decision 50%
Nicoll33% distance
Finish 67%Decision 33%
Coria 2 UFC fights·Nicoll 3 UFC fights
Avg Fight Length
Coria
12.9min
Nicoll
9.2min
Combined Distance Rate
40%of fights go the distance
Win & Loss Method
CoriaWinNicoll
50%
KO
—
0%
Sub
—
50%
Dec
—
2 wins1 KO1 Dec
—
CoriaLossNicoll
—
KO
33%
—
Sub
33%
—
Dec
33%
—
1 Dec1 Sub1 KO3 losses
CQ Finish Risk
Coria
to knock out
Nicoll
45High
Nicoll
to knock out
Coria
23Low
Coria
to submit
Nicoll
23Low
Nicoll
to submit
Coria
11Minimal
Recent Form
Coria
Stat
Nicoll
—
SLpMOutput
↑0.00
3.63
3.63 career
—
SApMAbsorbed
↑0.00
5.84
5.84 career
—
TD AttAtt/15m
↑0.00
14.14
14.14 career
Full Stats unlocks4 more sections
Per-Fight Stats
Opposition Quality
Percentile Ranks
Round Breakdown
Historical Context
Coria—Fight History
OpponentMethodRndDate
UFC Fights·2 fights
W
Luis GuruleFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Feb '26
79 SS (45%)·50 abs·1/4 td·1 td taken·102s ctrl
W
Alessandro CostaFLY Bout
KO/TKO · R3 · 0:47 · Sep '25
42 SS (44%)·12 abs·2/2 td·1 td taken·198s ctrl
Pre-UFC Fights·13 fights
W
German Orpineda Ponce4-7
KO/TKOR2May 2025
NC
Paris Moran12-2
—Jan 2025
W
Chris Ocon8-3
KO/TKOR2Nov 2024
W
Jose Leon2-1
SUBR2Jun 2024
View full fight log →
Nicoll—Recent Fights
OpponentMethodRndDate
L
Alessandro CostaFLY Bout
KO/TKO · R2 · 4:56 · Apr '26
47 SS (47%)·43 abs·0/5 td·2 td taken·6s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Lucas RochaFLY Bout
U-DEC · R3 · Oct '25
45 SS (33%)·115 abs·2/20 td·3 td taken·90s ctrl
L
Jesus AguilarFLY Bout
SUB · R1 · 2:39 · Aug '24
8 SS (47%)·3 abs·1/1 td·124s ctrl
View full fight log →
Common Opponents
Alessandro CostaSplit result
W
Coria
KO/TKO·R3·2025
L
Nicoll
KO/TKO·R2·2026
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Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X