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Fighter Profile›Middleweight

Warlley Alves

15-816 UFC
Balanced
Form
· 4L
Layoff Risk
High Variance
High Wear
5'11"ht·72"reach·Orthodoxstance·35age
Last fightLAbus Magomedov·U-DEC·R3·2.0yr ago
Fighter Context
8–8UFC·
3KO
·
3Sub
·
2Dec
·
10.0min/fight
·
159UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
5–6(11 fights)
·
80%finish rate
·
-1.4str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-0.91
Deficit
17%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.212
Average
61%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
57
Average
39%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
46%
Average
40%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Alves
Distance Striker
Middleweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min3.04
Str. Accuracy48%
485UFC landed/1,009attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
+0.4 vs avg3.95
Str. Defense50%
KD Rate / fight0.19
3UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.13
CQ KO Power
Below Avg38%ile0.62
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
55%
Body
23%
Leg
22%
By Position
Distance78%
/
Clinch15%
/
Ground7%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 116 rounds
Round 213 rounds
Round 38 rounds
Avg. Landed121217
Avg. Absorbed141526
Avg. Net-2-3-9
Grappling
Alves
Control Wrestler
·132s ctrlActive Control
Middleweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.22
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY2.45
TD Accuracy50%
13UFC landed/26attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80
3UFC wins/9attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense62%
17UFC defended/27opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Holds Ground
Finishing
Finish Rate
75%
Strong Finisher
div avg 61%
How They Lose
8UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO3 / 8
Submission3 / 8
Decision2 / 8
KD → Finish
2/3Strong
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO3 / 8
Submission1 / 8
Decision4 / 8
Loss Pattern
4 of 8 losses by finish in R1–R2
Versatile finisher. 3 KOs and 3 subs across multiple rounds
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
20%
1 of 5 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
1.3pts
W2 dec
2.2pts
L3 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
17%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
Div. change
sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 29 vs 32 first half
0+23+45+68+91avg↗↵↗201420152016201720182019202120232024

16 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.12.14.2R1R2R3
R1n=16
R2n=13
R3n=8
Outputsig strikes / min
2.8
2.8
4.0
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.2
3.6
6.0
Diff
-0.5
-0.8
-2.0

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▲Absorbed+56%L3
-57%29%114%LWLWLLLL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Alves — 16 UFC Fights
Result
Method
16 fights
L
Abus Magomedov
U-DEC R3May '24
-6
·
16 SS (42%)·22 abs·6 td taken·37s ctrl
L
Ikram Aliskerov
KO/TKO R1 · 2:07Oct '23
-14
·
12 SS (75%)·26 abs·1 kd taken
L
Nicolas Dalby
S-DEC R3Jan '23
-53
·
66 SS (46%)·119 abs·1/3 td·129s ctrl
↵ 19mo layoff
L
Jeremiah Wells
KO/TKO R2 · 0:30Jun '21
-6
·
15 SS (88%)·21 abs·0/1 td·22s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub att
W
Mounir Lazzez
KO/TKO R1 · 2:35Jan '21
+15
·
17 SS (81%)·2 abs·1/1 td·96s ctrl·1 kd landed
L
Randy Brown
SUB R2 · 1:22Nov '19
-13
·
3 SS (27%)·16 abs·3/3 td·1 td taken·257s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Sergio MoraesVeteran
KO/TKO R3 · 4:13May '19
+52
·
72 SS (46%)·20 abs·1 kd landed
L
James Krause
KO/TKO R2 · 2:28Aug '18
-31
·
28 SS (44%)·59 abs·1/1 td·62s ctrl
W
Sultan Aliev
KO/TKO R2 · 5:00May '18
+17
·
29 SS (58%)·12 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·204s ctrl
W
Salim Touahri
U-DEC R3Oct '17
+3
·
38 SS (40%)·35 abs·2/7 td·225s ctrl
All Fighters
Middleweight

Warlley Alves

15-816 UFC
Form
4L
5'11"ht·72"reach·Orthodoxstance·35age
Last fightLAbus Magomedov·U-DEC·2.0yr ago
Fighter Context
8–8UFC·
3KO
·
3Sub
·
2Dec
·
10.0min/fight
·
159UFC min
vs. Winning Record5–6
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-0.91
17%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.212
61%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
57
39%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
46%
40%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Alves
Middleweight avg
Distance Striker
Sig. Strikes / Min3.04
Str. Accuracy48%
485UFC landed/1,009attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
+0.4 vs avg3.95
Str. Defense50%
KD Rate / Fight0.19
3UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.13
CQ KO Power
Below Avg38%ile0.62
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
55%
Body
23%
Leg
22%
By Position
Dist78%
Clinch15%
Ground7%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=16
R2
n=13
R3
n=8
Landed121217
Absorbed141526
Net-2-3-9
Grappling
Alves
Middleweight avg
Control Wrestler
132s ctrlActive Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.22
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY2.45
TD Accuracy50%
13UFC landed/26attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80
3UFC wins/9attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense62%
17UFC defended/27opp. attempts
Sub Defense1 loss / 2 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
75%
Strong Finisher
Win Methods
3KO/TKO
3Sub
2Dec
Loss Methods
3KO/TKO
1Sub
4Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
20%1 of 5 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
1.3pts
W2 dec
2.2pts
L3 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
17%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.12.14.2R1R2R3
R1n=16
R2n=13
R3n=8
Outputsig strikes / min
2.8
2.8
4.0
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.2
3.6
6.0
Diff
-0.5
-0.8
-2.0

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Alves — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Abus Magomedov
U-DEC·R3·May '24
16 SS (42%)·22 abs·6 td taken·37s ctrl
L
Ikram Aliskerov
KO/TKO·R1·Oct '23
12 SS (75%)·26 abs·1 kd taken
L
Nicolas Dalby
S-DEC·R3·Jan '23
66 SS (46%)·119 abs·1/3 td·129s ctrl
L
Jeremiah Wells
KO/TKO·R2·Jun '21
15 SS (88%)·21 abs·0/1 td·22s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub
W
Mounir Lazzez
KO/TKO·R1·Jan '21
17 SS (81%)·2 abs·1/1 td·96s ctrl·1 kd
L
Randy Brown
SUB·R2·Nov '19
3 SS (27%)·16 abs·3/3 td·1 td taken·257s ctrl·2 sub
W
Sergio MoraesVeteran
KO/TKO·R3·May '19
72 SS (46%)·20 abs·1 kd
L
James Krause
KO/TKO·R2·Aug '18
28 SS (44%)·59 abs·1/1 td·62s ctrl
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X