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Fighter Profile›Lightweight
“Sugar”

Shane Nelson

16-74 UFC
Balanced
Form
· 2L
Inactive
Moderate Wear
5'9"ht·70"reach·Southpawstance·41age
Last fightLMatt Wiman·U-DEC·R3·16yr ago
Fighter Context
2–2UFC·
1KO
·
0Sub
·
1Dec
·
11.4min/fight
·
46UFC min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-1.46
Deficit

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.076
Passive

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
Unrated

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
30%
Passive

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Nelson
Body Attacker
Lightweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min1.38
Str. Accuracy31%
63UFC landed/203attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−1.4 vs avg2.84
Str. Defense61%
KD Rate / fight0.25
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fightNone on record
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
62%
Body
32%
Leg
6%
By Position
Distance57%
/
Clinch24%
/
Ground19%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 14 rounds
Round 23 rounds
Round 33 rounds
Avg. Landed873
Avg. Absorbed141411
Avg. Net-6-7-7
Grappling
Nelson
Sub Hunter
·141s ctrlActive Control
Lightweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.31
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY7.22
TD Accuracy18%
4UFC landed/22attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.60
0UFC wins/5attempted
Defense
TD Defense54%
6UFC defended/11opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Not Sub Tested
Finishing
Finish Rate
50%
div avg 52%
How They Lose
2UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 2
Submission0 / 2
Decision1 / 2
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO0 / 2
Submission0 / 2
Decision2 / 2
Loss Pattern
Outscored
2 of 2 losses by decision
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
—
More decisions needed.
Decision Types
2UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
33%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
0+8+16+24+32avg20082009

4 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.11.43.0R1R2R3
R1n=4
R2n=3
R3n=3
Outputsig strikes / min
2.0
1.4
0.7
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.6
2.8
2.1
Diff
-1.5
-1.4
-1.5

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 4 Fights — Trend
▲Absorbed+12%L3
-41%33%107%WWLL

Last 4 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Nelson — 4 UFC Fights
Result
Method
4 fights
L
Matt Wiman
U-DEC R3Dec '09
-35
·
20 SS (24%)·55 abs·1/7 td·2 td taken·77s ctrl·3 sub att
L
Aaron Riley
U-DEC R3Aug '09
-22
·
28 SS (38%)·50 abs·0/5 td·2 td taken
W
Aaron Riley
KO/TKO R1 · 0:44Mar '09
+1
·
5 SS (42%)·4 abs·6s ctrl·1 kd landed
W
George Roop
S-DEC R3Dec '08
-11
·
10 SS (31%)·21 abs·3/10 td·1 td taken·478s ctrl·2 sub att
All Fighters
Lightweight
“Sugar”

Shane Nelson

16-74 UFC
Form
2L
5'9"ht·70"reach·Southpawstance·41age
Last fightLMatt Wiman·U-DEC·16yr ago
Fighter Context
2–2UFC·
1KO
·
0Sub
·
1Dec
·
11.4min/fight
·
46UFC min
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-1.46

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.076

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
Unrated

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
30%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Nelson
Lightweight avg
Body Attacker
Sig. Strikes / Min1.38
Str. Accuracy31%
63UFC landed/203attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−1.4 vs avg2.84
Str. Defense61%
KD Rate / Fight0.25
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / FightNone on record
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
62%
Body
32%
Leg
6%
By Position
Dist57%
Clinch24%
Ground19%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=4
R2
n=3
R3
n=3
Landed873
Absorbed141411
Net-6-7-7
Grappling
Nelson
Lightweight avg
Sub Hunter
141s ctrlActive Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.31
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY7.22
TD Accuracy18%
4UFC landed/22attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.60
0UFC wins/5attempted
Defense
TD Defense54%
6UFC defended/11opp. attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
50%
Average
Win Methods
1KO/TKO
0Sub
1Dec
Loss Methods
0KO/TKO
0Sub
2Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
—More decisions needed.
Decision Types
2UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
33%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.11.43.0R1R2R3
R1n=4
R2n=3
R3n=3
Outputsig strikes / min
2.0
1.4
0.7
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.6
2.8
2.1
Diff
-1.5
-1.4
-1.5

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Nelson — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Matt Wiman
U-DEC·R3·Dec '09
20 SS (24%)·55 abs·1/7 td·2 td taken·77s ctrl·3 sub
L
Aaron Riley
U-DEC·R3·Aug '09
28 SS (38%)·50 abs·0/5 td·2 td taken
W
Aaron Riley
KO/TKO·R1·Mar '09
5 SS (42%)·4 abs·6s ctrl·1 kd
W
George Roop
S-DEC·R3·Dec '08
10 SS (31%)·21 abs·3/10 td·1 td taken·478s ctrl·2 sub
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X