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Fighter Profile›Welterweight
“Jucao”

Roan Carneiro

21-119 UFC
Wrestler
Form
Inactive
Output Builds Late
Moderate Wear
5'11"ht·76"reach·Orthodoxstance·47age
Last fightLRyan LaFlare·U-DEC·R3·9yr ago
Fighter Context
4–5UFC·
1KO
·
1Sub
·
2Dec
·
9.8min/fight
·
88UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–3(5 fights)
·
100%finish rate
·
-1.9str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-0.36
Deficit

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.427
Strong

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65
Average

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
60%
Strong

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Carneiro
Ground & Pound
Head Hunter
Welterweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min1.46
Str. Accuracy46%
133UFC landed/277attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−1.9 vs avg1.82
Str. Defense62%
KD Rate / fight0.00
KD Absorbed / fight0.11
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
73%
Body
13%
Leg
14%
By Position
Distance47%
/
Clinch18%
/
Ground35%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 19 rounds
Round 27 rounds
Round 34 rounds
Avg. Landed6510
Avg. Absorbed778
Avg. Net-1-2+2
Grappling
Carneiro
Sub Hunter
·253s ctrlElite Control
Welterweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.05
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY6.49
TD Accuracy42%
18UFC landed/38attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.40
1UFC wins/9attempted
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense83%
5UFC defended/6opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Sub Vulnerable
Finishing
Finish Rate
50%
Average
div avg 53%
How They Lose
5UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 4
Submission1 / 4
Decision2 / 4
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 5
Submission2 / 5
Decision2 / 5
Loss Pattern
3 of 5 losses by finish in R1–R2
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
—
More decisions needed.
Decision Types
2UD
·
2SD
·
0MD
·
50%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
Div. change
sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 14 vs 16 first half
0+9+19+28+38avg↵↗20072008201520162017

9 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.61.83.0R1R2R3
R1n=9
R2n=7
R3n=4
Outputsig strikes / min
1.4
1.3
1.9
Absorbedsig strikes / min
1.7
1.8
1.5
Diff
-0.3
-0.5
+0.5

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼TD Acc-74%L3
-64%20%105%LWLLWLWL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Carneiro — 9 UFC Fights
Result
Method
9 fights
L
Ryan LaFlare
U-DEC R3Feb '17
-10
·
19 SS (38%)·29 abs·0/4 td·1 td taken·112s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Kenny Robertson
S-DEC R3Sep '16
+5
·
33 SS (47%)·28 abs·2/6 td·157s ctrl
L
Derek Brunson
KO/TKO R1 · 2:38Feb '16
-23
·
23 abs·0/1 td
W
Mark MunozVeteran
SUB R1 · 1:40Feb '15
+1
·
1 SS (33%)·53s ctrl·1 sub att
↵ 77mo layoff
L
Ryo Chonan
S-DEC R3Sep '08
-5
·
18 SS (47%)·23 abs·2/6 td·319s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Kevin Burns
SUB R2 · 3:50Jun '08
+4
·
12 SS (40%)·8 abs·2/6 td·424s ctrl
W
Tony DeSouza
KO/TKO R2 · 3:33Dec '07
+15
·
24 SS (89%)·9 abs·3/3 td·288s ctrl·2 sub att
L
Jon Fitch
SUB R2 · 1:07Jun '07
-14
·
4 SS (40%)·18 abs·2/4 td·216s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Rich Clementi
U-DEC R3Apr '07
+13
·
22 SS (61%)·9 abs·7/8 td·711s ctrl·4 sub att
Carneiro — Prior Tracked Fights (1)
LAnderson SilvaOtherKO/TKOR1—
All Fighters
Welterweight
“Jucao”

Roan Carneiro

21-119 UFC
Form
5'11"ht·76"reach·Orthodoxstance·47age
Last fightLRyan LaFlare·U-DEC·9yr ago
Fighter Context
4–5UFC·
1KO
·
1Sub
·
2Dec
·
9.8min/fight
·
88UFC min
vs. Winning Record2–3
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-0.36

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.427

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
60%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Carneiro
Welterweight avg
Ground & PoundHead Hunter
Sig. Strikes / Min1.46
Str. Accuracy46%
133UFC landed/277attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−1.9 vs avg1.82
Str. Defense62%
KD Rate / Fight0.00
KD Absorbed / Fight0.11
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
73%
Body
13%
Leg
14%
By Position
Dist47%
Clinch18%
Ground35%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=9
R2
n=7
R3
n=4
Landed6510
Absorbed778
Net-1-2+2
Grappling
Carneiro
Welterweight avg
Sub Hunter
253s ctrlElite Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.05
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY6.49
TD Accuracy42%
18UFC landed/38attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.40
1UFC wins/9attempted
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense83%
5UFC defended/6opp. attempts
Sub Defense2 loss / 3 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
50%
Average
Win Methods
1KO/TKO
1Sub
2Dec
Loss Methods
1KO/TKO
2Sub
2Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
—More decisions needed.
Decision Types
2UD
·
2SD
·
0MD
·
50%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.61.83.0R1R2R3
R1n=9
R2n=7
R3n=4
Outputsig strikes / min
1.4
1.3
1.9
Absorbedsig strikes / min
1.7
1.8
1.5
Diff
-0.3
-0.5
+0.5

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Carneiro — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Ryan LaFlare
U-DEC·R3·Feb '17
19 SS (38%)·29 abs·0/4 td·1 td taken·112s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Kenny Robertson
S-DEC·R3·Sep '16
33 SS (47%)·28 abs·2/6 td·157s ctrl
L
Derek Brunson
KO/TKO·R1·Feb '16
23 abs·0/1 td
W
Mark MunozVeteran
SUB·R1·Feb '15
1 SS (33%)·53s ctrl·1 sub
L
Ryo Chonan
S-DEC·R3·Sep '08
18 SS (47%)·23 abs·2/6 td·319s ctrl·1 sub
L
Kevin Burns
SUB·R2·Jun '08
12 SS (40%)·8 abs·2/6 td·424s ctrl
W
Tony DeSouza
KO/TKO·R2·Dec '07
24 SS (89%)·9 abs·3/3 td·288s ctrl·2 sub
L
Jon Fitch
SUB·R2·Jun '07
4 SS (40%)·18 abs·2/4 td·216s ctrl·1 sub
Carneiro — Prior Tracked Fights (1)
LAnderson SilvaOtherKO/TKOR1
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X