Fighter Profile›Light Heavyweight

“Bipolar”

Rafael Tobias

14-21 UFC

Form

6'2"ht·74"reach·Orthodoxstance·23age

Last fightLDiyar Nurgozhay·U-DEC·R3·2mo ago

Fighter Context

0–1UFC·

0KO

0Sub

0Dec

15.0min/fight

19UFC min

CQ Key Stats

◈1 UFC Fight

Striking Differential

-3.04

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.231

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Unrated

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Pre-UFC Background

Pre-UFC Record

14-1

Last fight: Mar 2026

Streak Into UFC

1consecutive W

Physical

Height

6'2"

+0.3"div avg 6'2"

Reach

74"

−1.9"div avg 75.9"

Stance

Orthodox

Finisher

Win Methods

KO / TKO

536%

Sub

643%

Decision

321%

Loss Methods

KO / TKO

1100%

Sub

00%

Decision

00%

Striking

Tobias

Counter Puncher

Light Heavyweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min2.77

Str. Accuracy36%

39UFC landed/101attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

+1.8 vs avg5.81

Str. Defense35%

KD Rate / fight0.00

KD Absorbed / fightNone on record

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

71%

Body

23%

Leg

By Position

Distance73%

Clinch10%

Ground17%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 11 round	Round 21 round	Round 31 round
Avg. Landed	10	16	13
Avg. Absorbed	36	27	31
Avg. Net	-26	-11	-18

Grappling

Tobias·84s ctrlAverage Control

Light Heavyweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min2.40

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY8.00

TD Accuracy33%

2UFC landed/8attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.60

0UFC wins/1attempted

Defense

TD Defense100%

1UFC defended/1opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Not Sub Tested

Finishing

Finish Rate

div avg 64%

How They Lose

1UFC loss

Win Breakdown

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO0 / 1

Submission0 / 1

Decision1 / 1

Loss Pattern

Lost by decision

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

—

No eligible sequences on record.

Decision Margin

—

More decisions needed.

Decision Types

1UD

0SD

0MD

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

1 UFC fights · hover for details

Tobias — 1 UFC Fight

Result

Method

1 fight

Diyar Nurgozhay

U-DEC R3Mar '26

-55

·39 SS (39%)·94 abs·2/8 td·151s ctrl·1 sub att

Tobias — Prior Tracked Fights (1)

WJair De OliveiraDWCSSUBR1Sep 2025

All Fighters

Light Heavyweight

“Bipolar”

Rafael Tobias

14-21 UFC

Form

6'2"ht·74"reach·Orthodoxstance·23age

Last fightLDiyar Nurgozhay·U-DEC·2mo ago

Fighter Context

0–1UFC·

0KO

0Sub

0Dec

15.0min/fight

19UFC min

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

-3.04

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.231

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Unrated

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Pre-UFC Background

Pre-UFC Record

14-1

Last fight: Mar 2026

Streak Into UFC

1consecutive W

Physical

Height

6'2"

+0.3"div avg 6'2"

Reach

74"

−1.9"div avg 75.9"

Stance

Orthodox

Finisher

Win Methods

KO / TKO

536%

Sub

643%

Decision

321%

Loss Methods

KO / TKO

1100%

Sub

00%

Decision

00%

Striking

Tobias

Light Heavyweight avg

Counter Puncher

Sig. Strikes / Min2.77

Str. Accuracy36%

39UFC landed/101attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

+1.8 vs avg5.81

Str. Defense35%

KD Rate / Fight0.00

KD Absorbed / FightNone on record

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

71%

Body

23%

Leg

By Position

Dist73%

Clinch10%

Ground17%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=1	R2 n=1	R3 n=1
Landed	10	16	13
Absorbed	36	27	31
Net	-26	-11	-18

Grappling

Tobias

Light Heavyweight avg

84s ctrlAverage Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min2.40

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY8.00

TD Accuracy33%

2UFC landed/8attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.60

0UFC wins/1attempted

Defense

TD Defense100%

1UFC defended/1opp. attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

Decision Fighter

Win Methods

0KO/TKO

0Sub

0Dec

Loss Methods

0KO/TKO

0Sub

1Dec

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

—No eligible sequences.

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

—More decisions needed.

Decision Types

1UD

0SD

0MD

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=1

R2n=1

R3n=1

Outputsig strikes / min

2.0

3.2

2.6

Absorbedsig strikes / min

7.2

5.4

6.2

Diff

-5.2

-2.2

-3.6

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Tobias — UFC Fight Log

Diyar Nurgozhay

U-DEC·R3·Mar '26

39 SS (39%)·94 abs·2/8 td·151s ctrl·1 sub

Tobias — Prior Tracked Fights (1)

WJair De OliveiraDWCSSUBR1Sep 2025

Round 11 round

Round 21 round

Round 31 round

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-26

-11

-18

n=1

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-26

-11

-18