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Fighter Profile›Light Heavyweight
“The Eraser”

Paulo Costa

16-412 UFC
Pressure Fighter
Form
· 2W
Aging Threat
3× Title
3× 5R
Moderate Wear
6'1"ht·72"reach·Orthodoxstance·35age
Last fightWAzamat Murzakanov·KO/TKO·R3·this month
Fighter Context
8–4UFC·
5KO
·
0Sub
·
3Dec
·
12.7min/fight
·
152UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
5–4(9 fights)
·
40%finish rate
·
+0.1str diff/min
vs. Veteran Opps
2–3(5 fights)
·
50%finish rate
·
-0.9str diff/min
vs. Elite Opps
0–2(2 fights)
·
-1.4str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
+0.19
Neutral
52%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.037
Average
32%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

⚠ TD accuracy based on a small number of career attempts. May shift with more data.

Durability
79
Durable
78%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
56%
Average
58%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Costa
Blitzer
Body Attacker
Light Heavyweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min6.15
Str. Accuracy59%
934UFC landed/1,576attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
+2.0 vs avg5.96
Str. Defense49%
KD Rate / fight0.50
6UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.17
CQ KO Power
Below Avg28%ile0.64
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
45%
Body
41%
Leg
14%
By Position
Distance88%
/
Clinch5%
/
Ground6%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 112 rounds
Round 211 rounds
Round 37 rounds
Round 42 rounds
Round 52 rounds
Avg. Landed2826253039
Avg. Absorbed2325274440
Avg. Net+5+1-2-14-1
Grappling
Costa
Non-Factor
·42s ctrlAverage Control
Light Heavyweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.30
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY0.69
TD Accuracy42%
3UFC landed/7attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.00
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense77%
21UFC defended/27opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Escaped Once
Finishing
Finish Rate
63%
Strong Finisher
div avg 64%
How They Lose
4UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO5 / 8
Submission0 / 8
Decision3 / 8
KD → Finish
4/6Strong
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 4
Submission0 / 4
Decision3 / 4
Loss Pattern
Outscored
3 of 4 losses by decision
Explosive starter. 4 of 5 KOs inside R1-R2
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
17%
1 of 6 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
2.1pts
W3 dec
1.8pts
L3 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
17%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
Div. change
sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 49 more in second half of career
0+47+94+141+187avg↗↵201720182019202020212022202420252026

12 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
1.23.04.9R1R2R3
R1n=12
R2n=11
R3n=7
Outputsig strikes / min
6.1
6.4
5.5
Absorbedsig strikes / min
4.9
6.1
6.0
Diff
+1.1
+0.3
-0.5

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▲Str. Diff+0.27 idxL3
1%67%134%WLLWLLWW

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Costa — 12 UFC Fights
Result
Method
12 fights
W
Azamat Murzakanov
KO/TKO R3 · 1:23Apr '26
+21
·
55 SS (69%)·34 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·80s ctrl·1 kd landed
W
Roman Kopylov
U-DEC R3Jul '25
+51
·
99 SS (62%)·48 abs·0/2 td·13s ctrl·1 kd landed
L
Sean StricklandElite
TITLE
S-DEC R5Jun '24
-24
·
158 SS (59%)·182 abs
L
Robert WhittakerElite
U-DEC R3Feb '24
-28
·
67 SS (44%)·95 abs
↵ 18mo layoff
W
Luke Rockhold
U-DEC R3Aug '22
+22
·
73 SS (71%)·51 abs·2/2 td·1 td taken·328s ctrl
L
Marvin Vettori
TITLE
U-DEC R5Oct '21
-27
·
163 SS (63%)·190 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·47s ctrl
L
Israel AdesanyaVeteran
TITLE
KO/TKO R2 · 3:59Sep '20
-43
·
12 SS (46%)·55 abs·1 kd taken
W
Yoel RomeroVeteran
U-DEC R3Aug '19
-7
·
118 SS (55%)·125 abs·1 td taken·6s ctrl·1 kd landed·1 kd taken
W
Uriah Hall
KO/TKO R2 · 2:38Jul '18
+17
·
75 SS (65%)·58 abs·8s ctrl·1 kd landed
W
Johny HendricksVeteran
KO/TKO R2 · 1:23Nov '17
+22
·
49 SS (54%)·27 abs·1 kd landed
All Fighters
Light Heavyweight
“The Eraser”

Paulo Costa

16-412 UFC
Form
2W
6'1"ht·72"reach·Orthodoxstance·35age
Last fightWAzamat Murzakanov·KO/TKO·this month
Fighter Context
8–4UFC·
5KO
·
0Sub
·
3Dec
·
12.7min/fight
·
152UFC min
vs. Winning Record5–4
vs. Veterans (8+ W)2–3
vs. Elite (15+ W)0–2
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
+0.19
52%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.037
32%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
79
78%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
56%
58%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Costa
Light Heavyweight avg
BlitzerBody Attacker
Sig. Strikes / Min6.15
Str. Accuracy59%
934UFC landed/1,576attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
+2.0 vs avg5.96
Str. Defense49%
KD Rate / Fight0.50
6UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.17
CQ KO Power
Below Avg28%ile0.64
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
45%
Body
41%
Leg
14%
By Position
Dist88%
Clinch5%
Ground6%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=12
R2
n=11
R3
n=7
R4
n=2
R5
n=2
Landed2826253039
Absorbed2325274440
Net+5+1-2-14-1
Grappling
Costa
Light Heavyweight avg
Non-Factor
42s ctrlAverage Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.30
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY0.69
TD Accuracy42%
3UFC landed/7attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.00
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense77%
21UFC defended/27opp. attempts
Sub Defense0 loss / 1 attempt
Finishing
Finish Rate
63%
Strong Finisher
Win Methods
5KO/TKO
0Sub
3Dec
Loss Methods
1KO/TKO
0Sub
3Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
17%1 of 6 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
2.1pts
W3 dec
1.8pts
L3 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
17%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
1.23.04.9R1R2R3
R1n=12
R2n=11
R3n=7
Outputsig strikes / min
6.1
6.4
5.5
Absorbedsig strikes / min
4.9
6.1
6.0
Diff
+1.1
+0.3
-0.5

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Costa — UFC Fight Log
|
W
Azamat Murzakanov
KO/TKO·R3·Apr '26
55 SS (69%)·34 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken·80s ctrl·1 kd
W
Roman Kopylov
U-DEC·R3·Jul '25
99 SS (62%)·48 abs·0/2 td·13s ctrl·1 kd
L
Sean StricklandEliteTITLE
S-DEC·R5·Jun '24
158 SS (59%)·182 abs
L
Robert WhittakerElite
U-DEC·R3·Feb '24
67 SS (44%)·95 abs
W
Luke Rockhold
U-DEC·R3·Aug '22
73 SS (71%)·51 abs·2/2 td·1 td taken·328s ctrl
L
Marvin VettoriTITLE
U-DEC·R5·Oct '21
163 SS (63%)·190 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·47s ctrl
L
Israel AdesanyaVeteranTITLE
KO/TKO·R2·Sep '20
12 SS (46%)·55 abs·1 kd taken
W
Yoel RomeroVeteran
U-DEC·R3·Aug '19
118 SS (55%)·125 abs·1 td taken·6s ctrl·1 kd·1 kd taken
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X