Fighter Profile›Lightweight

Paul Kelly

14-59 UFC

Balanced

Form

Inactive

High Wear

5'9"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·41age

Last fightLDonald Cerrone·SUB·R2·15yr ago

Fighter Context

5–4UFC·

1KO

1Sub

3Dec

11.2min/fight

101UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

2–1(3 fights)

0%finish rate

+0.1str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

+0.61

Neutral

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.260

Average

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Average

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

64%

Strong

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Kelly

Ground & Pound

Head Hunter

Lightweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min3.22

Str. Accuracy37%

325UFC landed/856attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

−1.6 vs avg2.61

Str. Defense59%

KD Rate / fight0.11

1UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.33

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

77%

Body

15%

Leg

By Position

Distance35%

Clinch14%

Ground51%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 19 rounds	Round 29 rounds	Round 34 rounds
Avg. Landed	16	12	18
Avg. Absorbed	17	9	8
Avg. Net	-1	+3	+10

Grappling

Kelly

Sub Hunter

·266s ctrlElite Control

Lightweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min1.34

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY2.23

TD Accuracy60%

9UFC landed/15attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.50

1UFC wins/10attempted

Defense

Leaky TD Def

TD Defense30%

8UFC defended/26opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Rarely Tapped

Finishing

Finish Rate

40%

Average

div avg 52%

How They Lose

4UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO1 / 5

Submission1 / 5

Decision3 / 5

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO1 / 4

Submission2 / 4

Decision1 / 4

Loss Pattern

3 of 4 losses by finish in R1–R2

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

KO/TKO L

SUB W

SUB L

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

—

No eligible sequences on record.

Decision Margin

3.0pts

W2 dec

—

L0 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

4UD

0SD

0MD

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

Div. change

sig. strikes trending down. Averaging 14 less in second half of career

9 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=9

R2n=9

R3n=4

Outputsig strikes / min

3.2

3.0

3.6

Absorbedsig strikes / min

3.4

2.3

1.6

Diff

-0.1

+0.8

+2.0

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

▼Str. Diff-0.28 idxL3

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Kelly — 9 UFC Fights

Result

Method

9 fights

Donald Cerrone

SUB R2 · 3:48Feb '11

-15

·22 SS (29%)·37 abs·3 td taken·2 sub att

TJ O'Brien

KO/TKO R2 · 3:16Nov '10

+12

·44 SS (42%)·32 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·174s ctrl·1 kd landed

Jacob Volkmann

U-DEC R3Aug '10

-8

·24 SS (39%)·32 abs·6 td taken·235s ctrl·2 sub att

Matt Veach

SUB R2 · 3:41Apr '10

+43

·47 SS (64%)·4 abs·1 td taken·325s ctrl·3 sub att

Dennis Siver

KO/TKO R2 · 2:53Nov '09

-26

·12 SS (14%)·38 abs·1/3 td·56s ctrl·2 kd taken

Rolando Delgado

U-DEC R3Jun '09

+18

·32 SS (43%)·14 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·475s ctrl·2 sub att

Troy Mandaloniz

U-DEC R3Feb '09

+33

·71 SS (37%)·38 abs·2/6 td·4 td taken·383s ctrl·1 kd taken

Marcus Davis

SUB R2 · 2:16Oct '08

-22

·3 SS (5%)·25 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·23s ctrl·1 sub att

Paul Taylor

U-DEC R3Jan '08

+27

·70 SS (50%)·43 abs·3/3 td·1 td taken·727s ctrl

All Fighters

Lightweight

Paul Kelly

14-59 UFC

Form

5'9"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·41age

Last fightLDonald Cerrone·SUB·15yr ago

Fighter Context

5–4UFC·

1KO

1Sub

3Dec

11.2min/fight

101UFC min

vs. Winning Record2–1

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

+0.61

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.260

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

64%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Kelly

Lightweight avg

Ground & PoundHead Hunter

Sig. Strikes / Min3.22

Str. Accuracy37%

325UFC landed/856attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

−1.6 vs avg2.61

Str. Defense59%

KD Rate / Fight0.11

1UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.33

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

77%

Body

15%

Leg

By Position

Dist35%

Clinch14%

Ground51%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=9	R2 n=9	R3 n=4
Landed	16	12	18
Absorbed	17	9	8
Net	-1	+3	+10

Grappling

Kelly

Lightweight avg

Sub Hunter

266s ctrlElite Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min1.34

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY2.23

TD Accuracy60%

9UFC landed/15attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.50

1UFC wins/10attempted

Defense

Leaky TD Def

TD Defense30%

8UFC defended/26opp. attempts

Sub Defense2 loss / 12 attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

40%

Average

Win Methods

1KO/TKO

1Sub

3Dec

Loss Methods

1KO/TKO

2Sub

1Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

KO (L)

Sub (W)

Sub (L)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

—No eligible sequences.

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

3.0pts

W2 dec

—

L0 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

4UD

0SD

0MD

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=9

R2n=9

R3n=4

Outputsig strikes / min

3.2

3.0

3.6

Absorbedsig strikes / min

3.4

2.3

1.6

Diff

-0.1

+0.8

+2.0

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Kelly — UFC Fight Log

Donald Cerrone

SUB·R2·Feb '11

22 SS (29%)·37 abs·3 td taken·2 sub

TJ O'Brien

KO/TKO·R2·Nov '10

44 SS (42%)·32 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·174s ctrl·1 kd

Jacob Volkmann

U-DEC·R3·Aug '10

24 SS (39%)·32 abs·6 td taken·235s ctrl·2 sub

Matt Veach

SUB·R2·Apr '10

47 SS (64%)·4 abs·1 td taken·325s ctrl·3 sub

Dennis Siver

KO/TKO·R2·Nov '09

12 SS (14%)·38 abs·1/3 td·56s ctrl·2 kd taken

Rolando Delgado

U-DEC·R3·Jun '09

32 SS (43%)·14 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·475s ctrl·2 sub

Troy Mandaloniz

U-DEC·R3·Feb '09

71 SS (37%)·38 abs·2/6 td·4 td taken·383s ctrl·1 kd taken

Marcus Davis

SUB·R2·Oct '08

3 SS (5%)·25 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·23s ctrl·1 sub

Round 19 rounds

Round 29 rounds

Round 34 rounds

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-1

+10

n=9

n=4

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-1

+10