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Paul Kelly lands 3.2 and absorbs 2.6 significant strikes per minute. Output and absorption are close.

Paul Kelly's takedown attempts are present but not a primary factor.

Paul Kelly wins 64% of rounds across 22 scored. Wins more rounds than concedes in the majority of fights.

Paul Kelly has 1 KO/TKO loss in 4 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.33 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 72 out of 99, average for the division.

Paul Kelly's last fight was over 185 months ago.

Paul Kelly is 41 years old.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Lightweight

Paul Kelly

14-59 UFC
Balanced
Form
Inactive
High Wear
5'9"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·41age
Last fightLDonald Cerrone·SUB·R2·15yr ago
Fighter Context
5–4UFC·
1KO
·
1Sub
·
3Dec
·
11.2min/fight
·
101UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
2–1(3 fights)
·
0%finish rate
·
+0.1str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
+0.61
Neutral

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.322
Average

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
72
Durable

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
64%
Strong

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Paul Kelly — 3.22 significant strikes per minute, 37% striking accuracy, absorbs 2.61 strikes per minute.

Kelly
Ground & Pound
Head Hunter
Lightweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min3.22
Str. Accuracy37%
325UFC landed/856attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−1.6 vs avg2.61
Str. Defense59%
KD Rate / fight0.11
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.33
CQ KO Power
0.31
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
77%
Body
15%
Leg
8%
By Position
Distance35%
/
Clinch14%
/
Ground51%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 19 rounds
Round 29 rounds
Round 34 rounds
Avg. Landed161218
Avg. Absorbed1798
Avg. Net-1+3+10
Grappling

Paul Kelly — 1.3 takedowns per 15 minutes, 60% takedown accuracy, 1.5 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 30% takedown defense.

Kelly
Sub Hunter
·266s ctrlElite Control
Lightweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.34
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY2.23
TD Accuracy60%
9UFC landed/15attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.50
1UFC wins/10attempted
Defense
Leaky TD Def
TD Defense30%
8UFC defended/26opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Rarely Tapped
Finishing

Paul Kelly — 5 UFC wins (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission, 3 decision), 40% finish rate.

Finish Rate
40%
Average
div avg 52%
How They Lose
4UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 5
Submission1 / 5
Decision3 / 5
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 4
Submission2 / 4
Decision1 / 4
Loss Pattern
3 of 4 losses by finish in R1–R2
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
No eligible sequences on record.
Decision Margin
3.0pts
W2 dec
—
L0 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
4UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Div. change
sig. strikes trending down. Averaging 14 less in second half of career
0+20+41+61+82avg↗2008200920102011

9 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.92.13.4R1R2R3
R1n=9
R2n=9
R3n=4
Outputsig strikes / min
3.2
3.0
3.6
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.4
2.3
1.6
Diff
-0.1
+0.8
+2.0

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼Str. Diff-0.28 idxL3
-33%31%95%LWWLWLWL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Kelly — 9 UFC Fights

Paul Kelly — UFC fight record: 5 wins, 4 losses.

Result
Method
9 fights
L
Donald Cerrone
LW
SUB R2 · 3:48Feb '11
-15
·22 SS (29%)·37 abs·3 td taken·2 sub att
W
TJ O'Brien
LW
KO/TKO R2 · 3:16Nov '10
+12
·44 SS (42%)·32 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·174s ctrl·1 kd landed
L
Jacob Volkmann
LW
U-DEC R3Aug '10
-8
·24 SS (39%)·32 abs·6 td taken·235s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Matt Veach
LW
SUB R2 · 3:41Apr '10
+43
·47 SS (64%)·4 abs·1 td taken·325s ctrl·3 sub att
L
Dennis Siver
LW
KO/TKO R2 · 2:53Nov '09
-26
·12 SS (14%)·38 abs·1/3 td·56s ctrl·2 kd taken
W
Rolando Delgado
LW
U-DEC R3Jun '09
+18
·32 SS (43%)·14 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·475s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Troy Mandaloniz
WW
U-DEC R3Feb '09
+33
·71 SS (37%)·38 abs·2/6 td·4 td taken·383s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Marcus Davis
WW
SUB R2 · 2:16Oct '08
-22
·3 SS (5%)·25 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·23s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Paul Taylor
WW
U-DEC R3Jan '08
+27
·70 SS (50%)·43 abs·3/3 td·1 td taken·727s ctrl
All Fighters
Lightweight

Paul Kelly

14-59 UFC
Form
5'9"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·41age
Last fightLDonald Cerrone·SUB·15yr ago
Fighter Context
5–4UFC·
1KO
·
1Sub
·
3Dec
·
11.2min/fight
·
101UFC min
vs. Winning Record2–1
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
+0.61

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.322

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
72

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
64%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Kelly
Lightweight avg
Ground & PoundHead Hunter
Sig. Strikes / Min3.22
Str. Accuracy37%
325UFC landed/856attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−1.6 vs avg2.61
Str. Defense59%
KD Rate / Fight0.11
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.33
CQ KO Power
0.31
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
77%
Body
15%
Leg
8%
By Position
Dist35%
Clinch14%
Ground51%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=9
R2
n=9
R3
n=4
Landed161218
Absorbed1798
Net-1+3+10
Grappling
Kelly
Lightweight avg
Sub Hunter
266s ctrlElite Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.34
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY2.23
TD Accuracy60%
9UFC landed/15attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.50
1UFC wins/10attempted
Defense
Leaky TD Def
TD Defense30%
8UFC defended/26opp. attempts
Sub Defense2 loss / 12 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
40%
Average
Win Methods
1KO/TKO
1Sub
3Dec
Loss Methods
1KO/TKO
2Sub
1Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—No eligible sequences.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
3.0pts
W2 dec
—
L0 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
4UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.92.13.4R1R2R3
R1n=9
R2n=9
R3n=4
Outputsig strikes / min
3.2
3.0
3.6
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.4
2.3
1.6
Diff
-0.1
+0.8
+2.0

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Kelly — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Donald CerroneLW
SUB·R2·Feb '11
22 SS (29%)·37 abs·3 td taken·2 sub
W
TJ O'BrienLW
KO/TKO·R2·Nov '10
44 SS (42%)·32 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·174s ctrl·1 kd
L
Jacob VolkmannLW
U-DEC·R3·Aug '10
24 SS (39%)·32 abs·6 td taken·235s ctrl·2 sub
W
Matt VeachLW
SUB·R2·Apr '10
47 SS (64%)·4 abs·1 td taken·325s ctrl·3 sub
L
Dennis SiverLW
KO/TKO·R2·Nov '09
12 SS (14%)·38 abs·1/3 td·56s ctrl·2 kd taken
W
Rolando DelgadoLW
U-DEC·R3·Jun '09
32 SS (43%)·14 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·475s ctrl·2 sub
W
Troy MandalonizWW
U-DEC·R3·Feb '09
71 SS (37%)·38 abs·2/6 td·4 td taken·383s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Marcus DavisWW
SUB·R2·Oct '08
3 SS (5%)·25 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·23s ctrl·1 sub
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X