Fighter Profile›Welterweight

Myktybek Orolbai

16-2-16 UFC

Wrestler

Form

· 3W

Rising

Early Chaos

5'10"ht·74"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age

Last fightWChris Curtis·U-DEC·R3·2mo ago

Fighter Context

5–1UFC·

1KO

2Sub

2Dec

10.3min/fight

62UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

4–1(5 fights)

50%finish rate

-0.2str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

+0.08

Neutral

44%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

1.723

Elite

99%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Durable

77%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

85%

Dominant

98%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Orolbai

Ground & Pound

Head Hunter

Welterweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min2.78

Str. Accuracy50%

171UFC landed/342attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

−1.0 vs avg2.70

Str. Defense51%

KD Rate / fight0.33

2UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.17

CQ KO Power

Above Avg79%ile1.17

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

75%

Body

13%

Leg

12%

By Position

Distance67%

Clinch4%

Ground30%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 16 rounds	Round 24 rounds	Round 33 rounds
Avg. Landed	13	15	11
Avg. Absorbed	12	13	14
Avg. Net	+1	+2	-3

Grappling

Orolbai

G&P Threat

·330s ctrlElite Control

Welterweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min8.77

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY14.87

TD Accuracy59%

36UFC landed/61attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.50

2UFC wins/2attempted

Defense

TD Defense40%

4UFC defended/10opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Not Sub Tested

Finishing

Finish Rate

60%

Strong Finisher

div avg 53%

How They Lose

1UFC loss

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO1 / 5

Submission2 / 5

Decision2 / 5

KD → Finish

1/2Moderate

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO0 / 1

Submission0 / 1

Decision1 / 1

Loss Pattern

Lost by decision

Fast and versatile. 3 of 3 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

SUB W

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

20%

1 of 5 rounds won following a lost round

Decision Margin

2.5pts

W2 dec

—

L1 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

2UD

1SD

0MD

33%split rate

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

sig. strikes trending down. Averaging 32 less in second half of career

6 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=6

R2n=4

R3n=3

Outputsig strikes / min

2.9

3.0

2.2

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.7

2.6

2.8

Diff

+0.2

+0.4

-0.6

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 6 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

▼Absorbed-60%L3

Last 6 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp

Orolbai — 6 UFC Fights

Result

Method

6 fights

Chris Curtis

U-DEC R3Mar '26

·20 SS (71%)·12 abs·19/24 td·753s ctrl

Jack HermanssonVeteran

KO/TKO R1 · 2:46Nov '25

-4

·15 SS (45%)·19 abs·1 kd landed

Tofiq Musayev

SUB R1 · 4:35Jun '25

·2 SS (29%)·2 abs·3/5 td·220s ctrl·1 sub att

Mateusz Rebecki

S-DEC R3Oct '24

-10

·61 SS (45%)·71 abs·2/5 td·3 td taken·125s ctrl·1 kd taken

Elves Brener

U-DEC R3May '24

+17

·65 SS (55%)·48 abs·5/17 td·3 td taken·432s ctrl·1 kd landed

Uros Medic

SUB R2 · 4:12Nov '23

-6

·8 SS (40%)·14 abs·7/10 td·446s ctrl·1 sub att

All Fighters

Welterweight

Myktybek Orolbai

16-2-16 UFC

Form

5'10"ht·74"reach·Orthodoxstance·28age

Last fightWChris Curtis·U-DEC·2mo ago

Fighter Context

5–1UFC·

1KO

2Sub

2Dec

10.3min/fight

62UFC min

vs. Winning Record4–1

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

+0.08

44%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

1.723

99%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

77%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

85%

98%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Orolbai

Welterweight avg

Ground & PoundHead Hunter

Sig. Strikes / Min2.78

Str. Accuracy50%

171UFC landed/342attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

−1.0 vs avg2.70

Str. Defense51%

KD Rate / Fight0.33

2UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.17

CQ KO Power

Above Avg79%ile1.17

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

75%

Body

13%

Leg

12%

By Position

Dist67%

Clinch4%

Ground30%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=6	R2 n=4	R3 n=3
Landed	13	15	11
Absorbed	12	13	14
Net	+1	+2	-3

Grappling

Orolbai

Welterweight avg

G&P Threat

330s ctrlElite Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min8.77

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY14.87

TD Accuracy59%

36UFC landed/61attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.50

2UFC wins/2attempted

Defense

TD Defense40%

4UFC defended/10opp. attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

60%

Strong Finisher

Win Methods

1KO/TKO

2Sub

2Dec

Loss Methods

0KO/TKO

0Sub

1Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

Sub (W)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

20%1 of 5 rounds

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

2.5pts

W2 dec

—more needed

L1 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

2UD

1SD

0MD

33%split rate

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=6

R2n=4

R3n=3

Outputsig strikes / min

2.9

3.0

2.2

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.7

2.6

2.8

Diff

+0.2

+0.4

-0.6

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Orolbai — UFC Fight Log

Chris Curtis

U-DEC·R3·Mar '26

20 SS (71%)·12 abs·19/24 td·753s ctrl

Jack HermanssonVeteran

KO/TKO·R1·Nov '25

15 SS (45%)·19 abs·1 kd

Tofiq Musayev

SUB·R1·Jun '25

2 SS (29%)·2 abs·3/5 td·220s ctrl·1 sub

Mateusz Rebecki

S-DEC·R3·Oct '24

61 SS (45%)·71 abs·2/5 td·3 td taken·125s ctrl·1 kd taken

Elves Brener

U-DEC·R3·May '24

65 SS (55%)·48 abs·5/17 td·3 td taken·432s ctrl·1 kd

Uros Medic

SUB·R2·Nov '23

8 SS (40%)·14 abs·7/10 td·446s ctrl·1 sub

Round 16 rounds

Round 24 rounds

Round 33 rounds

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-3

n=6

n=4

n=3

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-3