Fighter Profile›Welterweight

“Caramel Thunder”

Miguel Baeza

10-47 UFC

Kickboxer

Form

· 4L

Layoff Risk

High Variance

Moderate Wear

6'2"ht·74"reach·Orthodoxstance·33age

Last fightLPunahele Soriano·U-DEC·R3·1.9yr ago

Fighter Context

3–4UFC·

2KO

1Sub

0Dec

9.7min/fight

83UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

2–2(4 fights)

100%finish rate

+0.2str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

-1.83

High Risk

5%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.026

Passive

16%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Average

14%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

44%

Passive

27%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Baeza

Distance Striker

Leg Kicker

Welterweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min4.09

Str. Accuracy49%

278UFC landed/582attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

+2.2 vs avg5.92

Str. Defense46%

KD Rate / fight0.43

3UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.29

CQ KO Power

Above Avg73%ile1.08

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

46%

Body

25%

Leg

30%

By Position

Distance86%

Clinch6%

Ground8%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 17 rounds	Round 26 rounds	Round 33 rounds
Avg. Landed	19	17	14
Avg. Absorbed	21	22	40
Avg. Net	-2	-6	-25

Grappling

Baeza·22s ctrlPassive Control

Welterweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min0.36

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.54

TD Accuracy22%

2UFC landed/7attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min2.00

1UFC wins/9attempted

Defense

TD Defense54%

4UFC defended/9opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Not Sub Tested

Finishing

Finish Rate

100%

Elite Finisher

div avg 53%

How They Lose

4UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO2 / 3

Submission1 / 3

Decision0 / 3

KD → Finish

2/2Lethal

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO2 / 4

Submission0 / 4

Decision2 / 4

Loss Pattern

Mixed

1 early · 1 late · 2 dec across 4 losses

Fast and versatile. 3 of 3 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

KO/TKO L

SUB W

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

—

More data needed.

Decision Margin

—

W0 dec

2.7pts

L2 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

2UD

0SD

0MD

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

Layoff

sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 42 vs 37 first half

7 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=7

R2n=6

R3n=3

Outputsig strikes / min

3.9

4.4

3.9

Absorbedsig strikes / min

4.3

6.0

10.8

Diff

-0.4

-1.5

-6.9

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 7 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

▼TD Acc-100%L3

Last 7 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp

Baeza — 7 UFC Fights

Result

Method

7 fights

Punahele Soriano

U-DEC R3Jun '24

-137

·7 SS (58%)·144 abs·0/2 td·5 td taken·47s ctrl·3 sub att

↵ 26mo layoff

Andre Fialho

KO/TKO R1 · 4:39Apr '22

-8

·24 SS (41%)·32 abs·1 kd taken

Khaos Williams

KO/TKO R3 · 1:02Nov '21

-18

·31 SS (55%)·49 abs·0/2 td·1 kd taken·5 sub att

Santiago PonzinibbioVeteran

U-DEC R3Jun '21

-17

·104 SS (42%)·121 abs

Takashi Sato

SUB R2 · 4:28Nov '20

+25

·40 SS (55%)·15 abs·1/2 td·69s ctrl·1 sub att

Matt BrownElite

KO/TKO R2 · 0:18May '20

·37 SS (51%)·33 abs·57s ctrl·2 kd landed

Hector Aldana

KO/TKO R2 · 2:32Oct '19

+27

·35 SS (57%)·8 abs·1/1 td·1 kd landed

Baeza — Prior Tracked Fights (1)

WVictor ReynaDWCSU-DECR3Jun 2019

All Fighters

Welterweight

“Caramel Thunder”

Miguel Baeza

10-47 UFC

Form

6'2"ht·74"reach·Orthodoxstance·33age

Last fightLPunahele Soriano·U-DEC·1.9yr ago

Fighter Context

3–4UFC·

2KO

1Sub

0Dec

9.7min/fight

83UFC min

vs. Winning Record2–2

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

-1.83

5%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.026

16%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

14%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

44%

27%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Baeza

Welterweight avg

Distance StrikerLeg Kicker

Sig. Strikes / Min4.09

Str. Accuracy49%

278UFC landed/582attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

+2.2 vs avg5.92

Str. Defense46%

KD Rate / Fight0.43

3UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.29

CQ KO Power

Above Avg73%ile1.08

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

46%

Body

25%

Leg

30%

By Position

Dist86%

Clinch6%

Ground8%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=7	R2 n=6	R3 n=3
Landed	19	17	14
Absorbed	21	22	40
Net	-2	-6	-25

Grappling

Baeza

Welterweight avg

22s ctrlPassive Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min0.36

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.54

TD Accuracy22%

2UFC landed/7attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min2.00

1UFC wins/9attempted

Defense

TD Defense54%

4UFC defended/9opp. attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

100%

Elite Finisher

Win Methods

2KO/TKO

1Sub

0Dec

Loss Methods

2KO/TKO

0Sub

2Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

KO (L)

Sub (W)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

—More data needed.

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

—

W0 dec

2.7pts

L2 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

2UD

0SD

0MD

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=7

R2n=6

R3n=3

Outputsig strikes / min

3.9

4.4

3.9

Absorbedsig strikes / min

4.3

6.0

10.8

Diff

-0.4

-1.5

-6.9

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Baeza — UFC Fight Log

Punahele Soriano

U-DEC·R3·Jun '24

7 SS (58%)·144 abs·0/2 td·5 td taken·47s ctrl·3 sub

Andre Fialho

KO/TKO·R1·Apr '22

24 SS (41%)·32 abs·1 kd taken

Khaos Williams

KO/TKO·R3·Nov '21

31 SS (55%)·49 abs·0/2 td·1 kd taken·5 sub

Santiago PonzinibbioVeteran

U-DEC·R3·Jun '21

104 SS (42%)·121 abs

Takashi Sato

SUB·R2·Nov '20

40 SS (55%)·15 abs·1/2 td·69s ctrl·1 sub

Matt BrownElite

KO/TKO·R2·May '20

37 SS (51%)·33 abs·57s ctrl·2 kd

Hector Aldana

KO/TKO·R2·Oct '19

35 SS (57%)·8 abs·1/1 td·1 kd

Baeza — Prior Tracked Fights (1)

WVictor ReynaDWCSU-DECR3Jun 2019

Round 17 rounds

Round 26 rounds

Round 33 rounds

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-2

-6

-25

n=7

n=6

n=3

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-2

-6

-25