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Fighter Profile›Lightweight
“The Young Assassin”

Melvin Guillard

32-18-2 (3 NC)22 UFC
Balanced
Form
Inactive
High Variance
Early Chaos
Output Drops Late
High Wear
5'9"ht·71"reach·Orthodoxstance·43age
Last fightLMichael Johnson·U-DEC·R3·12yr ago
Fighter Context
12–9UFC1 NC·
8KO
·
0Sub
·
4Dec
·
7.0min/fight
·
146UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
4–6(11 fights)
·
50%finish rate
·
+2.3str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
+1.11
Positive

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

⚠ Most fights ended before full time. Per-minute rates reflect limited fight time.

Adj. TD Threat
0.265
Average

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65
Average

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
68%
Strong

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Guillard
Lightweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min2.96
Str. Accuracy40%
448UFC landed/1,128attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−2.4 vs avg1.85
Str. Defense66%
KD Rate / fight0.59
13UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.09
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
67%
Body
20%
Leg
13%
By Position
Distance70%
/
Clinch13%
/
Ground17%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 122 rounds
Round 210 rounds
Round 36 rounds
Avg. Landed111312
Avg. Absorbed6810
Avg. Net+5+5+3
Grappling
Guillard
G&P Threat
·35s ctrlPassive Control
Lightweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.30
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY2.15
TD Accuracy63%
14UFC landed/21attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.20
0UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense61%
58UFC defended/89opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Sub Vulnerable
Finishing
Finish Rate
67%
Strong Finisher
div avg 52%
How They Lose
9UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO8 / 12
Submission0 / 12
Decision4 / 12
KD → Finish
7/9Strong
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 9
Submission6 / 9
Decision2 / 9
Loss Pattern
7 of 9 losses by finish in R1–R2
Explosive starter. 8 KOs, all inside R1-R2
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
2.0pts
W2 dec
—
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
3UD
·
3SD
·
0MD
·
50%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Div. change
sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 14 more in second half of career
0+21+42+63+84avg↗NC2005200620072008200920102011201220132014

22 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Drops Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
1.02.23.4R1R2R3
R1n=22
R2n=10
R3n=6
Outputsig strikes / min
3.2
3.3
2.4
Absorbedsig strikes / min
1.7
2.0
1.9
Diff
+1.5
+1.3
+0.5

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼Str. Diff-0.72 idxL3
-117%-11%94%LLWLLWNCL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Guillard — 22 UFC Fights
Result
Method
22 fights
L
Michael Johnson
U-DEC R3Mar '14
-26
·
22 SS (21%)·48 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken
NC
Ross Pearson
Could Not Co… R1 · 1:57Oct '13
+6
·
9 SS (31%)·3 abs·0/1 td
⚠ Illegal knee
W
Mac Danzig
KO/TKO R2 · 2:47Jul '13
+16
·
39 SS (44%)·23 abs·40s ctrl·1 kd landed
L
Jamie Varner
S-DEC R3Dec '12
+25
·
57 SS (51%)·32 abs·0/1 td·7 td taken·59s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Donald Cerrone
KO/TKO R1 · 1:16Aug '12
+6
·
10 SS (36%)·4 abs·1 kd landed·1 kd taken
W
Fabricio Camoes
U-DEC R3Jul '12
+19
·
37 SS (37%)·18 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·82s ctrl
L
Jim MillerVeteran
SUB R1 · 3:04Jan '12
+12
·
16 SS (62%)·4 abs·1 td taken
L
Joe Lauzon
SUB R1 · 0:47Oct '11
+1
·
3 SS (50%)·2 abs
W
Shane Roller
KO/TKO R1 · 2:12Jul '11
+16
·
17 SS (40%)·1 abs·6s ctrl·2 kd landed
W
Evan Dunham
KO/TKO R1 · 2:58Jan '11
+15
·
17 SS (52%)·2 abs·1 td taken·5s ctrl·2 kd landed
All Fighters
Lightweight
“The Young Assassin”

Melvin Guillard

32-18-2 (3 NC)22 UFC
Form
5'9"ht·71"reach·Orthodoxstance·43age
Last fightLMichael Johnson·U-DEC·12yr ago
Fighter Context
12–9UFC1 NC·
8KO
·
0Sub
·
4Dec
·
7.0min/fight
·
146UFC min
vs. Winning Record4–6
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
+1.11

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.265

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
68%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Guillard
Lightweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min2.96
Str. Accuracy40%
448UFC landed/1,128attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−2.4 vs avg1.85
Str. Defense66%
KD Rate / Fight0.59
13UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.09
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
67%
Body
20%
Leg
13%
By Position
Dist70%
Clinch13%
Ground17%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=22
R2
n=10
R3
n=6
Landed111312
Absorbed6810
Net+5+5+3
Grappling
Guillard
Lightweight avg
G&P Threat
35s ctrlPassive Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.30
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY2.15
TD Accuracy63%
14UFC landed/21attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.20
0UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense61%
58UFC defended/89opp. attempts
Sub Defense6 loss / 11 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
67%
Strong Finisher
Win Methods
8KO/TKO
0Sub
4Dec
Loss Methods
1KO/TKO
6Sub
2Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
2.0pts
W2 dec
—more needed
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
3UD
·
3SD
·
0MD
·
50%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Drops Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
1.02.23.4R1R2R3
R1n=22
R2n=10
R3n=6
Outputsig strikes / min
3.2
3.3
2.4
Absorbedsig strikes / min
1.7
2.0
1.9
Diff
+1.5
+1.3
+0.5

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Guillard — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Michael Johnson
U-DEC·R3·Mar '14
22 SS (21%)·48 abs·0/1 td·1 td taken
NC
Ross Pearson
Could Not Co…·R1·Oct '13
9 SS (31%)·3 abs·0/1 td
W
Mac Danzig
KO/TKO·R2·Jul '13
39 SS (44%)·23 abs·40s ctrl·1 kd
L
Jamie Varner
S-DEC·R3·Dec '12
57 SS (51%)·32 abs·0/1 td·7 td taken·59s ctrl·1 sub
L
Donald Cerrone
KO/TKO·R1·Aug '12
10 SS (36%)·4 abs·1 kd·1 kd taken
W
Fabricio Camoes
U-DEC·R3·Jul '12
37 SS (37%)·18 abs·1/1 td·1 td taken·82s ctrl
L
Jim MillerVeteran
SUB·R1·Jan '12
16 SS (62%)·4 abs·1 td taken
L
Joe Lauzon
SUB·R1·Oct '11
3 SS (50%)·2 abs
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X