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Fighter Profile›Welterweight
“The Terra”

Matt Serra

11-714 UFC
Grappler
Form
Inactive
2× Title
2× 5R
Output Drops Late
High Wear
5'6"ht·68"reach·Orthodoxstance·51age
Last fightLChris Lytle·U-DEC·R3·15yr ago
Fighter Context
7–7UFC·
2KO
·
1Sub
·
4Dec
·
12.0min/fight
·
168UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
1–5(6 fights)
·
100%finish rate
·
-0.9str diff/min
vs. Veteran Opps
0–3(3 fights)
·
-2.4str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-0.66
Deficit

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.137
Passive

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65
Average

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
50%
Average

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Serra
Body Attacker
Welterweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min1.98
Str. Accuracy39%
333UFC landed/837attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−1.1 vs avg2.64
Str. Defense46%
KD Rate / fight0.36
5UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.14
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
51%
Body
34%
Leg
15%
By Position
Distance60%
/
Clinch18%
/
Ground23%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 114 rounds
Round 211 rounds
Round 310 rounds
Avg. Landed1198
Avg. Absorbed111612
Avg. Net0-7-4
Grappling
Serra
Sub Hunter
·247s ctrlElite Control
Welterweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min2.05
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY9.80
TD Accuracy20%
23UFC landed/110attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.90
1UFC wins/10attempted
Defense
Leaky TD Def
TD Defense38%
12UFC defended/31opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Sub Proof
Finishing
Finish Rate
43%
Average
div avg 53%
How They Lose
7UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 7
Submission1 / 7
Decision4 / 7
KD → Finish
2/4Moderate
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 7
Submission0 / 7
Decision5 / 7
Loss Pattern
Outscored
5 of 7 losses by decision
Fast and versatile. 3 of 3 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
No eligible sequences on record.
Decision Margin
—
More decisions needed.
Decision Types
6UD
·
2SD
·
1MD
·
22%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
Div. change
sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 15 more in second half of career
0+36+71+107+143avg↗↗↵2001200220032004200520062007200820092010

14 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Drops Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.11.32.8R1R2R3
R1n=14
R2n=11
R3n=10
Outputsig strikes / min
2.5
1.8
1.6
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.4
3.1
2.4
Diff
+0.1
-1.3
-0.8

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
▲Absorbed+48%L3
-48%35%117%WLWWLLWL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Serra — 14 UFC Fights
Result
Method
14 fights
L
Chris LytleVeteran
U-DEC R3Sep '10
-29
·
124 SS (42%)·153 abs·0/1 td
W
Frank Trigg
KO/TKO R1 · 2:23Feb '10
+6
·
12 SS (33%)·6 abs·1 kd landed
L
Matt HughesElite
U-DEC R3May '09
-20
·
14 SS (34%)·34 abs·1/1 td·3 td taken·53s ctrl·1 kd landed
L
Georges St-PierreVeteran
TITLE
KO/TKO R2 · 4:45Apr '08
-39
·
3 SS (17%)·42 abs·4 td taken
W
Georges St-Pierre
TITLE
KO/TKO R1 · 3:25Apr '07
+14
·
20 SS (50%)·6 abs·2 kd landed
W
Chris Lytle
S-DEC R3Nov '06
-22
·
20 SS (51%)·42 abs·1/16 td·1 td taken·494s ctrl
↵ 17mo layoff
L
Karo Parisyan
U-DEC R3Jun '05
-30
·
26 SS (40%)·56 abs·1/2 td·8 td taken·55s ctrl·1 kd landed
W
Ivan Menjivar
U-DEC R3Jun '04
+6
·
14 SS (35%)·8 abs·6/7 td·796s ctrl
W
Jeff Curran
U-DEC R3Jan '04
+36
·
45 SS (56%)·9 abs·6/10 td·787s ctrl
L
Din Thomas
S-DEC R3Feb '03
-3
·
26 SS (32%)·29 abs·1/28 td·85s ctrl
All Fighters
Welterweight
“The Terra”

Matt Serra

11-714 UFC
Form
5'6"ht·68"reach·Orthodoxstance·51age
Last fightLChris Lytle·U-DEC·15yr ago
Fighter Context
7–7UFC·
2KO
·
1Sub
·
4Dec
·
12.0min/fight
·
168UFC min
vs. Winning Record1–5
vs. Veterans (8+ W)0–3
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-0.66

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.137

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
50%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Serra
Welterweight avg
Body Attacker
Sig. Strikes / Min1.98
Str. Accuracy39%
333UFC landed/837attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−1.1 vs avg2.64
Str. Defense46%
KD Rate / Fight0.36
5UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.14
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
51%
Body
34%
Leg
15%
By Position
Dist60%
Clinch18%
Ground23%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=14
R2
n=11
R3
n=10
Landed1198
Absorbed111612
Net0-7-4
Grappling
Serra
Welterweight avg
Sub Hunter
247s ctrlElite Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min2.05
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY9.80
TD Accuracy20%
23UFC landed/110attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.90
1UFC wins/10attempted
Defense
Leaky TD Def
TD Defense38%
12UFC defended/31opp. attempts
Sub Defense0 loss / 5 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
43%
Average
Win Methods
2KO/TKO
1Sub
4Dec
Loss Methods
2KO/TKO
0Sub
5Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—No eligible sequences.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
—More decisions needed.
Decision Types
6UD
·
2SD
·
1MD
·
22%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Drops Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.11.32.8R1R2R3
R1n=14
R2n=11
R3n=10
Outputsig strikes / min
2.5
1.8
1.6
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.4
3.1
2.4
Diff
+0.1
-1.3
-0.8

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Serra — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Chris LytleVeteran
U-DEC·R3·Sep '10
124 SS (42%)·153 abs·0/1 td
W
Frank Trigg
KO/TKO·R1·Feb '10
12 SS (33%)·6 abs·1 kd
L
Matt HughesElite
U-DEC·R3·May '09
14 SS (34%)·34 abs·1/1 td·3 td taken·53s ctrl·1 kd
L
Georges St-PierreVeteranTITLE
KO/TKO·R2·Apr '08
3 SS (17%)·42 abs·4 td taken
W
Georges St-PierreTITLE
KO/TKO·R1·Apr '07
20 SS (50%)·6 abs·2 kd
W
Chris Lytle
S-DEC·R3·Nov '06
20 SS (51%)·42 abs·1/16 td·1 td taken·494s ctrl
L
Karo Parisyan
U-DEC·R3·Jun '05
26 SS (40%)·56 abs·1/2 td·8 td taken·55s ctrl·1 kd
W
Ivan Menjivar
U-DEC·R3·Jun '04
14 SS (35%)·8 abs·6/7 td·796s ctrl
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X