Fighter Profile›Lightweight

“The Sniper”

Magomed Mustafaev

14-45 UFC

Wrestler

Form

Inactive

High Variance

Early Chaos

5'8"ht·71"reach·Orthodoxstance·37age

Last fightLBrad Riddell·S-DEC·R3·6yr ago

Fighter Context

3–2UFC·

3KO

0Sub

0Dec

7.3min/fight

36UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

1–2(3 fights)

100%finish rate

+1.4str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

-0.09

Neutral

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.536

Strong

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Unrated

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

44%

Passive

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Mustafaev

Dirty Boxer

Lightweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min2.59

Str. Accuracy58%

94UFC landed/160attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

−1.5 vs avg2.68

Str. Defense41%

KD Rate / fight0.40

2UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.20

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

57%

Body

25%

Leg

18%

By Position

Distance51%

Clinch26%

Ground23%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 15 rounds	Round 23 rounds	Round 31 round
Avg. Landed	12	10	4
Avg. Absorbed	8	14	18
Avg. Net	+5	-4	-14

Grappling

Mustafaev

G&P Threat

·115s ctrlActive Control

Lightweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min3.31

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY6.62

TD Accuracy50%

8UFC landed/16attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.40

0UFC wins/1attempted

Defense

Leaky TD Def

TD Defense23%

3UFC defended/13opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Holds Ground

Finishing

Finish Rate

100%

div avg 52%

How They Lose

2UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO3 / 3

Submission0 / 3

Decision0 / 3

KD → Finish

2/2Lethal

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO0 / 2

Submission1 / 2

Decision1 / 2

Loss Pattern

1 of 2 losses by finish in R1–R2

Explosive starter. 3 KOs, all inside R1-R2

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

SUB L

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

—

More data needed.

Decision Margin

—

More decisions needed.

Decision Types

0UD

1SD

0MD

100%split rate

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

Layoff

5 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=5

R2n=3

R3n=1

Outputsig strikes / min

3.3

2.3

0.8

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.1

3.2

3.6

Diff

+1.3

-0.9

-2.8

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 5 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

Last 5 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Mustafaev — 5 UFC Fights

Result

Method

5 fights

Brad Riddell

S-DEC R3Feb '20

-10

·28 SS (61%)·38 abs·8/11 td·1 td taken·420s ctrl·1 kd taken

Rafael Fiziev

KO/TKO R1 · 1:26Apr '19

·10 SS (83%)·1 abs·1 kd landed

↵ 29mo layoff

Kevin Lee

SUB R2 · 4:31Nov '16

·20 SS (59%)·20 abs·0/2 td·7 td taken·61s ctrl·1 sub att

Joe Proctor

KO/TKO R1 · 1:54Dec '15

·18 SS (67%)·9 abs·6s ctrl·1 kd landed

Piotr Hallmann

KO/TKO R2 · 3:24Jun '15

-11

·18 SS (44%)·29 abs·0/3 td·2 td taken·87s ctrl

All Fighters

Lightweight

“The Sniper”

Magomed Mustafaev

14-45 UFC

Form

5'8"ht·71"reach·Orthodoxstance·37age

Last fightLBrad Riddell·S-DEC·6yr ago

Fighter Context

3–2UFC·

3KO

0Sub

0Dec

7.3min/fight

36UFC min

vs. Winning Record1–2

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

-0.09

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.536

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Unrated

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

44%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Mustafaev

Lightweight avg

Dirty Boxer

Sig. Strikes / Min2.59

Str. Accuracy58%

94UFC landed/160attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

−1.5 vs avg2.68

Str. Defense41%

KD Rate / Fight0.40

2UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.20

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

57%

Body

25%

Leg

18%

By Position

Dist51%

Clinch26%

Ground23%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=5	R2 n=3	R3 n=1
Landed	12	10	4
Absorbed	8	14	18
Net	+5	-4	-14

Grappling

Mustafaev

Lightweight avg

G&P Threat

115s ctrlActive Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min3.31

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY6.62

TD Accuracy50%

8UFC landed/16attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.40

0UFC wins/1attempted

Defense

Leaky TD Def

TD Defense23%

3UFC defended/13opp. attempts

Sub Defense1 loss / 2 attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

100%

Elite Finisher

Win Methods

3KO/TKO

0Sub

0Dec

Loss Methods

0KO/TKO

1Sub

1Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

Sub (L)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

—More data needed.

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

—More decisions needed.

Decision Types

0UD

1SD

0MD

100%split rate

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=5

R2n=3

R3n=1

Outputsig strikes / min

3.3

2.3

0.8

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.1

3.2

3.6

Diff

+1.3

-0.9

-2.8

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Mustafaev — UFC Fight Log

Brad Riddell

S-DEC·R3·Feb '20

28 SS (61%)·38 abs·8/11 td·1 td taken·420s ctrl·1 kd taken

Rafael Fiziev

KO/TKO·R1·Apr '19

10 SS (83%)·1 abs·1 kd

Kevin Lee

SUB·R2·Nov '16

20 SS (59%)·20 abs·0/2 td·7 td taken·61s ctrl·1 sub

Joe Proctor

KO/TKO·R1·Dec '15

18 SS (67%)·9 abs·6s ctrl·1 kd

Piotr Hallmann

KO/TKO·R2·Jun '15

18 SS (44%)·29 abs·0/3 td·2 td taken·87s ctrl

Round 15 rounds

Round 23 rounds

Round 31 round

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-4

-14

n=5

n=3

n=1

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-4

-14