Fighter Profile›Lightweight

“The Monster”

Kyle Nelson

17-7-112 UFC

Balanced

Form

Declining

High Wear

5'11"ht·71"reach·Switchstance·35age

Last fightLTerrance McKinney·KO/TKO·R1·this month

Fighter Context

5–6–1UFC·

2KO

0Sub

3Dec

10.4min/fight

115UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

5–4(9 fights)

40%finish rate

-0.7str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

-0.98

Deficit

17%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.088

Average

41%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Low

11%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

41%

Passive

22%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Nelson

Distance Striker

Body Attacker

Lightweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min3.60

Str. Accuracy45%

413UFC landed/902attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

+0.4 vs avg4.58

Str. Defense53%

KD Rate / fight0.08

1UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.08

CQ KO Power

Below Avg9%ile0.24

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

56%

Body

26%

Leg

18%

By Position

Distance84%

Clinch13%

Ground3%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 112 rounds	Round 28 rounds	Round 37 rounds
Avg. Landed	16	18	11
Avg. Absorbed	23	21	13
Avg. Net	-7	-3	-2

Grappling

Nelson

Control Wrestler

·118s ctrlActive Control

Lightweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min1.18

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY5.10

TD Accuracy23%

9UFC landed/39attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.50

0UFC wins/4attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense66%

12UFC defended/18opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Holds Ground

Finishing

Finish Rate

40%

Average

div avg 52%

How They Lose

6UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO2 / 5

Submission0 / 5

Decision3 / 5

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO4 / 6

Submission1 / 6

Decision1 / 6

Loss Pattern

3 of 6 losses by finish in R1–R2

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

KO/TKO L

SUB L

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

—

More data needed.

Decision Margin

2.0pts

W2 dec

—

L1 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

4UD

0SD

1MD

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

Layoff

Div. change

sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 10 more in second half of career

12 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=12

R2n=8

R3n=7

Outputsig strikes / min

3.8

4.0

2.7

Absorbedsig strikes / min

5.4

4.6

3.1

Diff

-1.6

-0.6

-0.4

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

▼Absorbed-33%L3

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Nelson — 12 UFC Fights

Result

Method

12 fights

Terrance McKinney

KO/TKO R1 · 0:24Mar '26

-12

·1 SS (33%)·13 abs

Matt Frevola

U-DEC R3Oct '25

+20

·63 SS (47%)·43 abs·2/5 td·2 td taken·191s ctrl·1 kd landed

Steve Garcia

KO/TKO R1 · 3:59Sep '24

-21

·1 SS (50%)·22 abs·133s ctrl

Bill Algeo

KO/TKO R1 · 4:00Mar '24

·32 SS (54%)·30 abs·48s ctrl

Fernando Padilla

U-DEC R3Sep '23

+10

·82 SS (45%)·72 abs·0/3 td

Blake Bilder

U-DEC R3Jun '23

+14

·59 SS (47%)·45 abs·0/1 td·141s ctrl

Dooho Choi

M-DEC R3Feb '23

-30

·20 SS (34%)·50 abs·5/10 td·334s ctrl

Jai Herbert

U-DEC R3Jul '22

·41 SS (66%)·36 abs·0/4 td·186s ctrl

↵ 22mo layoff

Billy Quarantillo

KO/TKO R3 · 0:07Sep '20

-23

·56 SS (49%)·79 abs·0/4 td·2 td taken·87s ctrl·1 kd taken

Marco Polo Reyes

KO/TKO R1 · 1:36Sep '19

·12 SS (75%)·6 abs·0/2 td·50s ctrl

All Fighters

Lightweight

“The Monster”

Kyle Nelson

17-7-112 UFC

Form

5'11"ht·71"reach·Switchstance·35age

Last fightLTerrance McKinney·KO/TKO·this month

Fighter Context

5–6–1UFC·

2KO

0Sub

3Dec

10.4min/fight

115UFC min

vs. Winning Record5–4

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

-0.98

17%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.088

41%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

11%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

41%

22%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Nelson

Lightweight avg

Distance StrikerBody Attacker

Sig. Strikes / Min3.60

Str. Accuracy45%

413UFC landed/902attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

+0.4 vs avg4.58

Str. Defense53%

KD Rate / Fight0.08

1UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.08

CQ KO Power

Below Avg9%ile0.24

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

56%

Body

26%

Leg

18%

By Position

Dist84%

Clinch13%

Ground3%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=12	R2 n=8	R3 n=7
Landed	16	18	11
Absorbed	23	21	13
Net	-7	-3	-2

Grappling

Nelson

Lightweight avg

Control Wrestler

118s ctrlActive Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min1.18

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY5.10

TD Accuracy23%

9UFC landed/39attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.50

0UFC wins/4attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense66%

12UFC defended/18opp. attempts

Sub Defense1 loss / 2 attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

40%

Average

Win Methods

2KO/TKO

0Sub

3Dec

Loss Methods

4KO/TKO

1Sub

1Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

KO (L)

Sub (L)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

—More data needed.

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

2.0pts

W2 dec

—more needed

L1 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

4UD

0SD

1MD

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=12

R2n=8

R3n=7

Outputsig strikes / min

3.8

4.0

2.7

Absorbedsig strikes / min

5.4

4.6

3.1

Diff

-1.6

-0.6

-0.4

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Nelson — UFC Fight Log

Terrance McKinney

KO/TKO·R1·Mar '26

1 SS (33%)·13 abs

Matt Frevola

U-DEC·R3·Oct '25

63 SS (47%)·43 abs·2/5 td·2 td taken·191s ctrl·1 kd

Steve Garcia

KO/TKO·R1·Sep '24

1 SS (50%)·22 abs·133s ctrl

Bill Algeo

KO/TKO·R1·Mar '24

32 SS (54%)·30 abs·48s ctrl

Fernando Padilla

U-DEC·R3·Sep '23

82 SS (45%)·72 abs·0/3 td

Blake Bilder

U-DEC·R3·Jun '23

59 SS (47%)·45 abs·0/1 td·141s ctrl

Dooho Choi

M-DEC·R3·Feb '23

20 SS (34%)·50 abs·5/10 td·334s ctrl

Jai Herbert

U-DEC·R3·Jul '22

41 SS (66%)·36 abs·0/4 td·186s ctrl

Round 112 rounds

Round 28 rounds

Round 37 rounds

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-7

-3

-2

n=12

n=8

n=7

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-7

-3

-2