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Fighter Profile›Lightweight

Justin Buchholz

15-105 UFC
Balanced
Form
· 3L
Inactive
High Variance
Moderate Wear
6'0"ht·73"reach·Orthodoxstance·42age
Last fightLMac Danzig·U-DEC·R3·16yr ago
Fighter Context
1–4UFC·
0KO
·
1Sub
·
0Dec
·
7.6min/fight
·
38UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
1–2(3 fights)
·
100%finish rate
·
-0.9str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-1.79
High Risk

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.000
None

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65
Average

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
22%
Passive

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Buchholz
Dirty Boxer
Lightweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min2.35
Str. Accuracy26%
89UFC landed/335attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
4.14
Str. Defense51%
KD Rate / fight0.20
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.40
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
71%
Body
16%
Leg
14%
By Position
Distance63%
/
Clinch26%
/
Ground11%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 15 rounds
Round 23 rounds
Round 31 round
Avg. Landed1287
Avg. Absorbed191323
Avg. Net-7-5-16
Grappling
Buchholz·54s ctrlAverage Control
Lightweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.00
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY0.40
TD Accuracy0%
0UFC landed/1attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80
1UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
Leaky TD Def
TD Defense33%
3UFC defended/9opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Holds Ground
Finishing
Finish Rate
100%
div avg 52%
How They Lose
4UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO0 / 1
Submission1 / 1
Decision0 / 1
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 4
Submission2 / 4
Decision1 / 4
Loss Pattern
3 of 4 losses by finish in R1–R2
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
SUB W
SUB L
KO/TKO L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
No eligible sequences on record.
Decision Margin
—
More decisions needed.
Decision Types
1UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
0+9+17+26+35avg200820092010

5 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-1.30.82.8R1R2R3
R1n=5
R2n=3
R3n=1
Outputsig strikes / min
2.8
2.0
1.4
Absorbedsig strikes / min
4.5
3.4
4.6
Diff
-1.7
-1.4
-3.2

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 5 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▲Absorbed+24%L3
-32%45%123%LWLLL

Last 5 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Buchholz — 5 UFC Fights
Result
Method
5 fights
L
Mac Danzig
U-DEC R3Feb '10
-32
·
30 SS (23%)·62 abs·3 td taken·143s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Jeremy Stephens
KO/TKO R1 · 3:23Sep '09
-19
·
9 SS (18%)·28 abs·2 kd taken
L
Terry Etim
SUB R2 · 2:38Jun '09
-4
·
23 SS (35%)·27 abs·0/1 td·117s ctrl·1 kd landed
W
Corey Hill
SUB R2 · 3:57Jul '08
-10
·
24 SS (30%)·34 abs·2 td taken·11s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Matt Wiman
SUB R1 · 2:56Jan '08
-3
·
3 SS (30%)·6 abs·1 td taken
All Fighters
Lightweight

Justin Buchholz

15-105 UFC
Form
3L
6'0"ht·73"reach·Orthodoxstance·42age
Last fightLMac Danzig·U-DEC·16yr ago
Fighter Context
1–4UFC·
0KO
·
1Sub
·
0Dec
·
7.6min/fight
·
38UFC min
vs. Winning Record1–2
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-1.79

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.000

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
22%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Buchholz
Lightweight avg
Dirty Boxer
Sig. Strikes / Min2.35
Str. Accuracy26%
89UFC landed/335attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
4.14
Str. Defense51%
KD Rate / Fight0.20
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.40
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
71%
Body
16%
Leg
14%
By Position
Dist63%
Clinch26%
Ground11%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=5
R2
n=3
R3
n=1
Landed1287
Absorbed191323
Net-7-5-16
Grappling
Buchholz
Lightweight avg
54s ctrlAverage Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.00
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY0.40
TD Accuracy0%
0UFC landed/1attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80
1UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
Leaky TD Def
TD Defense33%
3UFC defended/9opp. attempts
Sub Defense2 loss / 6 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
100%
Elite Finisher
Win Methods
0KO/TKO
1Sub
0Dec
Loss Methods
1KO/TKO
2Sub
1Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—No eligible sequences.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
—More decisions needed.
Decision Types
1UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-1.30.82.8R1R2R3
R1n=5
R2n=3
R3n=1
Outputsig strikes / min
2.8
2.0
1.4
Absorbedsig strikes / min
4.5
3.4
4.6
Diff
-1.7
-1.4
-3.2

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Buchholz — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Mac Danzig
U-DEC·R3·Feb '10
30 SS (23%)·62 abs·3 td taken·143s ctrl·1 sub
L
Jeremy Stephens
KO/TKO·R1·Sep '09
9 SS (18%)·28 abs·2 kd taken
L
Terry Etim
SUB·R2·Jun '09
23 SS (35%)·27 abs·0/1 td·117s ctrl·1 kd
W
Corey Hill
SUB·R2·Jul '08
24 SS (30%)·34 abs·2 td taken·11s ctrl·1 sub
L
Matt Wiman
SUB·R1·Jan '08
3 SS (30%)·6 abs·1 td taken
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X