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Fighter Profile›Welterweight
“El Fenomeno”

Joel Alvarez

23-310 UFC
Pressure Fighter
Form
· 4W
Hot Streak
High Variance
Early Chaos
6'3"ht·77"reach·Orthodoxstance·33age
Last fightWVicente Luque·U-DEC·R3·7mo ago
Fighter Context
8–2UFC·
4KO
·
3Sub
·
1Dec
·
7.9min/fight
·
79UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
6–2(8 fights)
·
83%finish rate
·
+2.7str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
+1.71
Positive
92%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.020
Passive
14%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
78
Durable
66%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
63%
Strong
74%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Alvarez
Distance Striker
Welterweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min4.78
Str. Accuracy55%
376UFC landed/682attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−0.6 vs avg3.07
Str. Defense54%
KD Rate / fight0.10
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fightNone on record
CQ KO Power
Below Avg12%ile0.27
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
69%
Body
20%
Leg
11%
By Position
Distance74%
/
Clinch12%
/
Ground14%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 110 rounds
Round 26 rounds
Round 33 rounds
Avg. Landed211918
Avg. Absorbed141310
Avg. Net+7+7+8
Grappling
Alvarez·55s ctrlAverage Control
Welterweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.19
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY0.57
TD Accuracy33%
1UFC landed/3attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.10
3UFC wins/6attempted
Defense
TD Defense47%
8UFC defended/17opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Not Sub Tested
Finishing
Finish Rate
88%
Elite Finisher
div avg 53%
How They Lose
2UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO4 / 8
Submission3 / 8
Decision1 / 8
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 2
Submission0 / 2
Decision1 / 2
Loss Pattern
1 of 2 losses by finish in R1–R2
Fast and versatile. 6 of 7 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
—
More decisions needed.
Decision Types
2UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 26 more in second half of career
0+27+55+82+109avg↵2019202020212022202320242025

10 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
1.22.63.9R1R2R3
R1n=10
R2n=6
R3n=3
Outputsig strikes / min
5.0
4.9
3.9
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.3
3.2
2.1
Diff
+1.7
+1.7
+1.8

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
▲Str. Diff+0.88 idxL3
-46%36%118%WWWLWWWW

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Alvarez — 10 UFC Fights
Result
Method
10 fights
W
Vicente LuqueElite
U-DEC R3Oct '25
+59
·
89 SS (60%)·30 abs·1/1 td·390s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Drakkar KloseVeteran
KO/TKO R1 · 2:48Dec '24
+13
·
20 SS (83%)·7 abs·1 td taken
W
Elves Brener
KO/TKO R3 · 3:36Aug '24
+50
·
95 SS (67%)·45 abs·0/1 td·51s ctrl·1 kd landed·1 sub att
W
Marc Diakiese
SUB R2 · 4:26Jul '23
+22
·
42 SS (56%)·20 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·86s ctrl·1 sub att
↵ 17mo layoff
L
Arman Tsarukyan
KO/TKO R2 · 1:57Feb '22
-29
·
7 SS (70%)·36 abs·2 td taken
W
Thiago Moises
KO/TKO R1 · 3:01Nov '21
+33
·
44 SS (60%)·11 abs
W
Alexander Yakovlev
SUB R1 · 3:00Oct '20
+3
·
4 SS (67%)·1 abs·1 td taken·2 sub att
W
Joe Duffy
SUB R1 · 2:25Jul '20
+4
·
18 SS (49%)·14 abs·1 td taken·1 sub att
W
Danilo Belluardo
KO/TKO R2 · 2:22Jun '19
+6
·
19 SS (46%)·13 abs·2 td taken·17s ctrl
L
Damir Ismagulov
U-DEC R3Feb '19
-26
·
38 SS (30%)·64 abs
All Fighters
Welterweight
“El Fenomeno”

Joel Alvarez

23-310 UFC
Form
4W
6'3"ht·77"reach·Orthodoxstance·33age
Last fightWVicente Luque·U-DEC·7mo ago
Fighter Context
8–2UFC·
4KO
·
3Sub
·
1Dec
·
7.9min/fight
·
79UFC min
vs. Winning Record6–2
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
+1.71
92%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.020
14%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
78
66%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
63%
74%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Alvarez
Welterweight avg
Distance Striker
Sig. Strikes / Min4.78
Str. Accuracy55%
376UFC landed/682attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−0.6 vs avg3.07
Str. Defense54%
KD Rate / Fight0.10
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / FightNone on record
CQ KO Power
Below Avg12%ile0.27
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
69%
Body
20%
Leg
11%
By Position
Dist74%
Clinch12%
Ground14%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=10
R2
n=6
R3
n=3
Landed211918
Absorbed141310
Net+7+7+8
Grappling
Alvarez
Welterweight avg
55s ctrlAverage Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min0.19
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY0.57
TD Accuracy33%
1UFC landed/3attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.10
3UFC wins/6attempted
Defense
TD Defense47%
8UFC defended/17opp. attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
88%
Elite Finisher
Win Methods
4KO/TKO
3Sub
1Dec
Loss Methods
1KO/TKO
0Sub
1Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
—More decisions needed.
Decision Types
2UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output
Absorbed
Diff
1.22.63.9R1R2R3
R1n=10
R2n=6
R3n=3
Outputsig strikes / min
5.0
4.9
3.9
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.3
3.2
2.1
Diff
+1.7
+1.7
+1.8

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Alvarez — UFC Fight Log
|
W
Vicente LuqueElite
U-DEC·R3·Oct '25
89 SS (60%)·30 abs·1/1 td·390s ctrl·1 sub
W
Drakkar KloseVeteran
KO/TKO·R1·Dec '24
20 SS (83%)·7 abs·1 td taken
W
Elves Brener
KO/TKO·R3·Aug '24
95 SS (67%)·45 abs·0/1 td·51s ctrl·1 kd·1 sub
W
Marc Diakiese
SUB·R2·Jul '23
42 SS (56%)·20 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·86s ctrl·1 sub
L
Arman Tsarukyan
KO/TKO·R2·Feb '22
7 SS (70%)·36 abs·2 td taken
W
Thiago Moises
KO/TKO·R1·Nov '21
44 SS (60%)·11 abs
W
Alexander Yakovlev
SUB·R1·Oct '20
4 SS (67%)·1 abs·1 td taken·2 sub
W
Joe Duffy
SUB·R1·Jul '20
18 SS (49%)·14 abs·1 td taken·1 sub
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X