Fighter Profile›Welterweight

“Gunni”

Gunnar Nelson

19-6-116 UFC

Grappler

Form

Aging Threat

2× Title

2× 5R

High Variance

Early Chaos

Output Drops Late

Moderate Wear

5'11"ht·72"reach·Switchstance·37age

Last fightLKevin Holland·U-DEC·R3·1.1yr ago

Fighter Context

10–6UFC·

0KO

8Sub

2Dec

10.3min/fight

165UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

7–6(13 fights)

100%finish rate

-1.2str diff/min

vs. Veteran Opps

2–5(7 fights)

100%finish rate

-2.1str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

-1.29

Deficit

10%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.346

Strong

87%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Durable

75%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

39%

Passive

17%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Nelson

Ground & Pound

Head Hunter

Welterweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min1.77

Str. Accuracy61%

292UFC landed/477attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

−0.6 vs avg3.06

Str. Defense48%

KD Rate / fight0.06

1UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.25

CQ KO Power

Below Avg15%ile0.34

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

76%

Body

16%

Leg

By Position

Distance51%

Clinch11%

Ground39%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 116 rounds	Round 211 rounds	Round 37 rounds	Round 41 round	Round 51 round
Avg. Landed	9	7	7	10	16
Avg. Absorbed	11	13	14	41	48
Avg. Net	-3	-5	-7	-31	-32

Grappling

Nelson

Sub Hunter

·219s ctrlElite Control

Welterweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min2.00

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.81

TD Accuracy52%

22UFC landed/42attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.00

8UFC wins/11attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense68%

13UFC defended/19opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Sub Proof

Finishing

Finish Rate

80%

Elite Finisher

div avg 53%

How They Lose

6UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO0 / 10

Submission8 / 10

Decision2 / 10

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO1 / 6

Submission0 / 6

Decision5 / 6

Loss Pattern

Outscored

5 of 6 losses by decision

Submission hunter. 8 subs, all inside R1-R2

Finish Round Distribution

SUB W

KO/TKO L

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

57%

4 of 7 rounds won following a lost round

Decision Margin

2.8pts

W2 dec

2.0pts

L5 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

5UD

2SD

0MD

29%split rate

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

Layoff

sig. strikes trending down. Averaging 6 less in second half of career

16 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output Drops Late

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=16

R2n=11

R3n=7

Outputsig strikes / min

1.9

1.7

1.3

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.5

2.9

2.8

Diff

-0.6

-1.2

-1.5

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

▲Str. Diff+0.26 idxL3

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp

Nelson — 16 UFC Fights

Result

Method

16 fights

Kevin HollandVeteran

U-DEC R3Mar '25

-40

·15 SS (63%)·55 abs·3/10 td·569s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub att

↵ 24mo layoff

Bryan BarberenaVeteran

SUB R1 · 4:51Mar '23

·10 SS (91%)·7 abs·1/2 td·193s ctrl·1 sub att

Takashi Sato

U-DEC R3Mar '22

+35

·44 SS (80%)·9 abs·3/3 td·489s ctrl·1 sub att

↵ 30mo layoff

Gilbert BurnsVeteran

U-DEC R3Sep '19

-10

·20 SS (56%)·30 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·289s ctrl

Leon EdwardsVeteran

S-DEC R3Mar '19

-22

·9 SS (50%)·31 abs·3/4 td·2 td taken·262s ctrl·1 kd taken

Alex OliveiraVeteran

SUB R2 · 4:17Dec '18

-25

·11 SS (100%)·36 abs·2/5 td·283s ctrl·1 sub att

↵ 17mo layoff

Santiago Ponzinibbio

TITLE

KO/TKO R1 · 1:22Jul '17

-2

·5 SS (71%)·7 abs·1 kd taken

Alan Jouban

SUB R2 · 0:46Mar '17

-9

·8 SS (44%)·17 abs·1/2 td·183s ctrl·1 sub att

Albert Tumenov

SUB R2 · 3:15May '16

·29 SS (66%)·23 abs·2/2 td·258s ctrl·1 sub att

Demian MaiaElite

U-DEC R3Dec '15

-45

·2 SS (50%)·47 abs·1/1 td·2 td taken·134s ctrl

All Fighters

Welterweight

“Gunni”

Gunnar Nelson

19-6-116 UFC

Form

5'11"ht·72"reach·Switchstance·37age

Last fightLKevin Holland·U-DEC·1.1yr ago

Fighter Context

10–6UFC·

0KO

8Sub

2Dec

10.3min/fight

165UFC min

vs. Winning Record7–6

vs. Veterans (8+ W)2–5

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

-1.29

10%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.346

87%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

75%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

39%

17%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Nelson

Welterweight avg

Ground & PoundHead Hunter

Sig. Strikes / Min1.77

Str. Accuracy61%

292UFC landed/477attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

−0.6 vs avg3.06

Str. Defense48%

KD Rate / Fight0.06

1UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.25

CQ KO Power

Below Avg15%ile0.34

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

76%

Body

16%

Leg

By Position

Dist51%

Clinch11%

Ground39%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=16	R2 n=11	R3 n=7	R4 n=1	R5 n=1
Landed	9	7	7	10	16
Absorbed	11	13	14	41	48
Net	-3	-5	-7	-31	-32

Grappling

Nelson

Welterweight avg

Sub Hunter

219s ctrlElite Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min2.00

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.81

TD Accuracy52%

22UFC landed/42attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.00

8UFC wins/11attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense68%

13UFC defended/19opp. attempts

Sub Defense0 loss / 2 attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

80%

Elite Finisher

Win Methods

0KO/TKO

8Sub

2Dec

Loss Methods

1KO/TKO

0Sub

5Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (L)

Sub (W)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

57%4 of 7 rounds

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

2.8pts

W2 dec

2.0pts

L5 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

5UD

2SD

0MD

29%split rate

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output Drops Late

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=16

R2n=11

R3n=7

Outputsig strikes / min

1.9

1.7

1.3

Absorbedsig strikes / min

2.5

2.9

2.8

Diff

-0.6

-1.2

-1.5

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Nelson — UFC Fight Log

Kevin HollandVeteran

U-DEC·R3·Mar '25

15 SS (63%)·55 abs·3/10 td·569s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub

Bryan BarberenaVeteran

SUB·R1·Mar '23

10 SS (91%)·7 abs·1/2 td·193s ctrl·1 sub

Takashi Sato

U-DEC·R3·Mar '22

44 SS (80%)·9 abs·3/3 td·489s ctrl·1 sub

Gilbert BurnsVeteran

U-DEC·R3·Sep '19

20 SS (56%)·30 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·289s ctrl

Leon EdwardsVeteran

S-DEC·R3·Mar '19

9 SS (50%)·31 abs·3/4 td·2 td taken·262s ctrl·1 kd taken

Alex OliveiraVeteran

SUB·R2·Dec '18

11 SS (100%)·36 abs·2/5 td·283s ctrl·1 sub

Santiago PonzinibbioTITLE

KO/TKO·R1·Jul '17

5 SS (71%)·7 abs·1 kd taken

Alan Jouban

SUB·R2·Mar '17

8 SS (44%)·17 abs·1/2 td·183s ctrl·1 sub

Round 116 rounds

Round 211 rounds

Round 37 rounds

Round 41 round

Round 51 round

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-3

-5

-7

-31

-32

n=16

n=11

n=7

n=1

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-3

-5

-7

-31

-32