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Gunnar Nelson absorbs 3.1 and lands 1.8 significant strikes per minute. Concedes more than outputs. Negative striking margin.

Gunnar Nelson's striking output and strike differential both decline in later rounds.

Gunnar Nelson's takedown activity is a consistent part of the output. Takedown threat ranks in the upper third of the division.

Gunnar Nelson wins 39% of rounds across 36 scored. Concedes more rounds than wins across fights on record.

Gunnar Nelson has 1 KO/TKO loss in 6 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.25 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 87 out of 99, average for the division.

Gunnar Nelson finishes 80% of wins by KO/TKO or submission.

Gunnar Nelson is 37 years old.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Welterweight
“Gunni”

Gunnar Nelson

19-6-116 UFC
Grappler
Form
Aging Threat
2× Title
2× 5R
High Variance
Early Chaos
Output Drops Late
Moderate Wear
5'11"ht·72"reach·Switchstance·37age
Last fightLKevin Holland·U-DEC·R3·1.3yr ago
Fighter Context
10–6UFC·
0KO
·
8Sub
·
2Dec
·
10.3min/fight
·
165UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
7–6(13 fights)
·
100%finish rate
·
-1.2str diff/min
vs. Veteran Opps
2–5(7 fights)
·
100%finish rate
·
-2.1str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-1.29
Deficit
10%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.346
Strong
86%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
87
Durable
76%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
39%
Passive
17%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Gunnar Nelson — 1.77 significant strikes per minute, 61% striking accuracy, absorbs 3.06 strikes per minute.

Nelson
Ground & Pound
Head Hunter
Welterweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min1.77
Str. Accuracy61%
292UFC landed/477attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−0.6 vs avg3.06
Str. Defense48%
KD Rate / fight0.06
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.25
CQ KO Power
Below Avg16%ile0.34
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
76%
Body
16%
Leg
8%
By Position
Distance51%
/
Clinch11%
/
Ground39%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 116 rounds
Round 211 rounds
Round 37 rounds
Round 41 round
Round 51 round
Avg. Landed9771016
Avg. Absorbed1113144148
Avg. Net-3-5-7-31-32
Grappling

Gunnar Nelson — 2.0 takedowns per 15 minutes, 52% takedown accuracy, 1.0 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 68% takedown defense.

Nelson
Sub Hunter
·219s ctrlElite Control
Welterweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min2.00
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.81
TD Accuracy52%
22UFC landed/42attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.00
8UFC wins/11attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense68%
13UFC defended/19opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Sub Proof
Finishing

Gunnar Nelson — 10 UFC wins (8 submission, 2 decision), 80% finish rate.

Finish Rate
80%
Elite Finisher
div avg 53%
How They Lose
6UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO0 / 10
Submission8 / 10
Decision2 / 10
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 6
Submission0 / 6
Decision5 / 6
Loss Pattern
Outscored
5 of 6 losses by decision
Submission hunter. 8 subs, all inside R1-R2
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
SUB W
KO/TKO L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
57%
4 of 7 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
2.8pts
W2 dec
2.0pts
L5 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
2SD
·
0MD
·
29%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
sig. strikes trending down. Averaging 6 less in second half of career
0+15+30+46+61avg↵↵↵20122013201420152016201720182019202220232025

16 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Drops Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.21.32.7R1R2R3
R1n=16
R2n=11
R3n=7
Outputsig strikes / min
1.9
1.7
1.3
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.5
2.9
2.8
Diff
-0.6
-1.2
-1.5

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▲Str. Diff+0.26 idxL3
-54%26%106%WLWLLWWL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Nelson — 16 UFC Fights

Gunnar Nelson — UFC fight record: 10 wins, 6 losses.

Result
Method
16 fights
L
Kevin HollandVeteran
WW
U-DEC R3Mar '25
-40
·15 SS (63%)·55 abs·3/10 td·569s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub att
↵ 24mo layoff
W
Bryan BarberenaVeteran
WW
SUB R1 · 4:51Mar '23
+3
·10 SS (91%)·7 abs·1/2 td·193s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Takashi Sato
WW
U-DEC R3Mar '22
+35
·44 SS (80%)·9 abs·3/3 td·489s ctrl·1 sub att
↵ 30mo layoff
L
Gilbert BurnsVeteran
WW
U-DEC R3Sep '19
-10
·20 SS (56%)·30 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·289s ctrl
L
Leon EdwardsVeteran
WW
S-DEC R3Mar '19
-22
·9 SS (50%)·31 abs·3/4 td·2 td taken·262s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Alex OliveiraVeteran
WW
SUB R2 · 4:17Dec '18
-25
·11 SS (100%)·36 abs·2/5 td·283s ctrl·1 sub att
↵ 17mo layoff
L
Santiago Ponzinibbio
TITLEWW
KO/TKO R1 · 1:22Jul '17
-2
·5 SS (71%)·7 abs·1 kd taken
W
Alan Jouban
WW
SUB R2 · 0:46Mar '17
-9
·8 SS (44%)·17 abs·1/2 td·183s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Albert Tumenov
WW
SUB R2 · 3:15May '16
+6
·29 SS (66%)·23 abs·2/2 td·258s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Demian MaiaElite
WW
U-DEC R3Dec '15
-45
·2 SS (50%)·47 abs·1/1 td·2 td taken·134s ctrl
All Fighters
Welterweight
“Gunni”

Gunnar Nelson

19-6-116 UFC
Form
5'11"ht·72"reach·Switchstance·37age
Last fightLKevin Holland·U-DEC·1.3yr ago
Fighter Context
10–6UFC·
0KO
·
8Sub
·
2Dec
·
10.3min/fight
·
165UFC min
vs. Winning Record7–6
vs. Veterans (8+ W)2–5
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-1.29
10%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.346
86%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
87
76%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
39%
17%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Nelson
Welterweight avg
Ground & PoundHead Hunter
Sig. Strikes / Min1.77
Str. Accuracy61%
292UFC landed/477attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−0.6 vs avg3.06
Str. Defense48%
KD Rate / Fight0.06
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.25
CQ KO Power
Below Avg16%ile0.34
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
76%
Body
16%
Leg
8%
By Position
Dist51%
Clinch11%
Ground39%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=16
R2
n=11
R3
n=7
R4
n=1
R5
n=1
Landed9771016
Absorbed1113144148
Net-3-5-7-31-32
Grappling
Nelson
Welterweight avg
Sub Hunter
219s ctrlElite Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min2.00
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY3.81
TD Accuracy52%
22UFC landed/42attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min1.00
8UFC wins/11attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense68%
13UFC defended/19opp. attempts
Sub Defense0 loss / 2 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
80%
Elite Finisher
Win Methods
0KO/TKO
8Sub
2Dec
Loss Methods
1KO/TKO
0Sub
5Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
57%4 of 7 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
2.8pts
W2 dec
2.0pts
L5 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
2SD
·
0MD
·
29%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Drops Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.21.32.7R1R2R3
R1n=16
R2n=11
R3n=7
Outputsig strikes / min
1.9
1.7
1.3
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.5
2.9
2.8
Diff
-0.6
-1.2
-1.5

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Nelson — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Kevin HollandVeteranWW
U-DEC·R3·Mar '25
15 SS (63%)·55 abs·3/10 td·569s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub
W
Bryan BarberenaVeteranWW
SUB·R1·Mar '23
10 SS (91%)·7 abs·1/2 td·193s ctrl·1 sub
W
Takashi SatoWW
U-DEC·R3·Mar '22
44 SS (80%)·9 abs·3/3 td·489s ctrl·1 sub
L
Gilbert BurnsVeteranWW
U-DEC·R3·Sep '19
20 SS (56%)·30 abs·0/2 td·1 td taken·289s ctrl
L
Leon EdwardsVeteranWW
S-DEC·R3·Mar '19
9 SS (50%)·31 abs·3/4 td·2 td taken·262s ctrl·1 kd taken
W
Alex OliveiraVeteranWW
SUB·R2·Dec '18
11 SS (100%)·36 abs·2/5 td·283s ctrl·1 sub
L
Santiago PonzinibbioTITLEWW
KO/TKO·R1·Jul '17
5 SS (71%)·7 abs·1 kd taken
W
Alan JoubanWW
SUB·R2·Mar '17
8 SS (44%)·17 abs·1/2 td·183s ctrl·1 sub
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X