Fighter Profile›Welterweight

“Handz of Steel”

Geoff Neal

16-814 UFC

Pressure Fighter

Form

· 2L

Declining

Title Fight

High Variance

Early Chaos

Moderate Wear

5'11"ht·75"reach·Southpawstance·35age

Last fightLUros Medic·KO/TKO·R1·2mo ago

Fighter Context

8–6UFC·

5KO

1Sub

2Dec

9.8min/fight

139UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

6–6(12 fights)

67%finish rate

+0.4str diff/min

vs. Veteran Opps

3–2(5 fights)

67%finish rate

+1.2str diff/min

vs. Elite Opps

1–1(2 fights)

100%finish rate

+4.0str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

-0.48

Deficit

27%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.081

Average

29%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

⚠ TD accuracy based on a small number of career attempts. May shift with more data.

Durability

Average

42%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

47%

Average

35%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Neal

Blitzer

Head Hunter

Welterweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min5.02

Str. Accuracy50%

687UFC landed/1,354attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

+1.8 vs avg5.50

Str. Defense57%

KD Rate / fight0.57

8UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.21

CQ KO Power

Above Avg77%ile1.16

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

85%

Body

Leg

By Position

Distance82%

Clinch11%

Ground7%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 114 rounds	Round 29 rounds	Round 37 rounds	Round 41 round	Round 51 round
Avg. Landed	20	23	22	15	33
Avg. Absorbed	18	24	30	34	49
Avg. Net	+2	-1	-7	-19	-16

Grappling

Neal·80s ctrlAverage Control

Welterweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min0.54

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.20

TD Accuracy45%

5UFC landed/11attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.10

1UFC wins/1attempted

Defense

Elite TD Def

TD Defense87%

26UFC defended/29opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Tapped Once

Finishing

Finish Rate

75%

Strong Finisher

div avg 53%

How They Lose

6UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO5 / 8

Submission1 / 8

Decision2 / 8

KD → Finish

4/5Lethal

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO2 / 6

Submission1 / 6

Decision3 / 6

Loss Pattern

Mixed

2 early · 1 late · 3 dec across 6 losses

Fast and versatile. 5 of 6 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

KO/TKO L

SUB W

SUB L

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

13%

1 of 8 rounds won following a lost round

Decision Margin

1.7pts

W2 dec

3.3pts

L2 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

3UD

2SD

0MD

40%split rate

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 52 vs 46 first half

14 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=14

R2n=9

R3n=7

Outputsig strikes / min

4.9

5.2

5.0

Absorbedsig strikes / min

4.5

5.5

6.7

Diff

+0.4

-0.3

-1.6

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

▼Absorbed-74%L3

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp

Neal — 14 UFC Fights

Result

Method

14 fights

Uros Medic

KO/TKO R1 · 1:19Feb '26

-7

·3 SS (30%)·10 abs·1 kd taken

Carlos Prates

KO/TKO R1 · 4:59Aug '25

-7

·25 SS (51%)·32 abs·0/1 td·15s ctrl·1 kd taken

Rafael Dos AnjosElite

KO/TKO R1 · 1:30Oct '24

+14

·18 SS (60%)·4 abs·1/1 td·27s ctrl·1 kd landed

Ian Machado Garry

S-DEC R3Feb '24

-21

·46 SS (52%)·67 abs·225s ctrl

Shavkat Rakhmonov

SUB R3 · 4:17Mar '23

-44

·69 SS (48%)·113 abs·72s ctrl

Vicente LuqueVeteran

KO/TKO R3 · 2:01Aug '22

+24

·121 SS (57%)·97 abs·1/3 td·47s ctrl·2 kd landed

Santiago PonzinibbioVeteran

S-DEC R3Dec '21

-6

·85 SS (53%)·91 abs·1 td taken

Neil MagnyElite

U-DEC R3May '21

-20

·35 SS (48%)·55 abs·1/2 td·2 td taken·230s ctrl

Stephen ThompsonVeteran

TITLE

U-DEC R5Dec '20

-86

·85 SS (47%)·171 abs·226s ctrl

Mike Perry

KO/TKO R1 · 1:30Dec '19

+10

·15 SS (65%)·5 abs·1 kd landed

Neal — Prior Tracked Fights (1)

WChase WaldonDWCSKO/TKOR1Jul 2017

All Fighters

Welterweight

“Handz of Steel”

Geoff Neal

16-814 UFC

Form

5'11"ht·75"reach·Southpawstance·35age

Last fightLUros Medic·KO/TKO·2mo ago

Fighter Context

8–6UFC·

5KO

1Sub

2Dec

9.8min/fight

139UFC min

vs. Winning Record6–6

vs. Veterans (8+ W)3–2

vs. Elite (15+ W)1–1

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

-0.48

27%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.081

29%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

42%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

47%

35%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Neal

Welterweight avg

BlitzerHead Hunter

Sig. Strikes / Min5.02

Str. Accuracy50%

687UFC landed/1,354attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

+1.8 vs avg5.50

Str. Defense57%

KD Rate / Fight0.57

8UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.21

CQ KO Power

Above Avg77%ile1.16

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

85%

Body

Leg

By Position

Dist82%

Clinch11%

Ground7%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=14	R2 n=9	R3 n=7	R4 n=1	R5 n=1
Landed	20	23	22	15	33
Absorbed	18	24	30	34	49
Net	+2	-1	-7	-19	-16

Grappling

Neal

Welterweight avg

80s ctrlAverage Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min0.54

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY1.20

TD Accuracy45%

5UFC landed/11attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.10

1UFC wins/1attempted

Defense

Elite TD Def

TD Defense87%

26UFC defended/29opp. attempts

Sub Defense1 loss / 1 attempt

Finishing

Finish Rate

75%

Strong Finisher

Win Methods

5KO/TKO

1Sub

2Dec

Loss Methods

2KO/TKO

1Sub

3Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

KO (L)

Sub (W)

Sub (L)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

13%1 of 8 rounds

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

1.7pts

W2 dec

3.3pts

L2 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

3UD

2SD

0MD

40%split rate

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=14

R2n=9

R3n=7

Outputsig strikes / min

4.9

5.2

5.0

Absorbedsig strikes / min

4.5

5.5

6.7

Diff

+0.4

-0.3

-1.6

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Neal — UFC Fight Log

Uros Medic

KO/TKO·R1·Feb '26

3 SS (30%)·10 abs·1 kd taken

Carlos Prates

KO/TKO·R1·Aug '25

25 SS (51%)·32 abs·0/1 td·15s ctrl·1 kd taken

Rafael Dos AnjosElite

KO/TKO·R1·Oct '24

18 SS (60%)·4 abs·1/1 td·27s ctrl·1 kd

Ian Machado Garry

S-DEC·R3·Feb '24

46 SS (52%)·67 abs·225s ctrl

Shavkat Rakhmonov

SUB·R3·Mar '23

69 SS (48%)·113 abs·72s ctrl

Vicente LuqueVeteran

KO/TKO·R3·Aug '22

121 SS (57%)·97 abs·1/3 td·47s ctrl·2 kd

Santiago PonzinibbioVeteran

S-DEC·R3·Dec '21

85 SS (53%)·91 abs·1 td taken

Neil MagnyElite

U-DEC·R3·May '21

35 SS (48%)·55 abs·1/2 td·2 td taken·230s ctrl

Neal — Prior Tracked Fights (1)

WChase WaldonDWCSKO/TKOR1Jul 2017

Round 114 rounds

Round 29 rounds

Round 37 rounds

Round 41 round

Round 51 round

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-1

-7

-19

-16

n=14

n=9

n=7

n=1

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-1

-7

-19

-16