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Fighter Profile›Middleweight

Daniel Kelly

13-410 UFC
Balanced
Form
· 3L
Inactive
Output Builds Late
High Wear
6'0"ht·70"reach·Southpawstance·48age
Last fightLTom Breese·KO/TKO·R1·7yr ago
Fighter Context
6–4UFC·
1KO
·
1Sub
·
4Dec
·
9.7min/fight
·
97UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
4–4(8 fights)
·
25%finish rate
·
-2.7str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-1.02
Deficit

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.220
Average

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65
Average

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
46%
Average

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Kelly
Head Hunter
Middleweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min3.62
Str. Accuracy38%
350UFC landed/902attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
+1.1 vs avg4.64
Str. Defense61%
KD Rate / fight0.00
KD Absorbed / fight0.30
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
87%
Body
6%
Leg
7%
By Position
Distance69%
/
Clinch15%
/
Ground16%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 110 rounds
Round 26 rounds
Round 36 rounds
Avg. Landed121623
Avg. Absorbed172523
Avg. Net-5-80
Grappling
Kelly
G&P Threat
·107s ctrlActive Control
Middleweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.86
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY5.43
TD Accuracy34%
12UFC landed/35attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.30
1UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense78%
15UFC defended/19opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Not Sub Tested
Finishing
Finish Rate
33%
Decision Fighter
div avg 61%
How They Lose
4UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 6
Submission1 / 6
Decision4 / 6
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO3 / 4
Submission0 / 4
Decision1 / 4
Loss Pattern
3 of 4 losses by finish in R1–R2
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
—
More data needed.
Decision Margin
1.2pts
W3 dec
—
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
4UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
20%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 32 vs 38 first half
0+21+43+64+85avg20142015201620172018

10 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.11.83.6R1R2R3
R1n=10
R2n=6
R3n=6
Outputsig strikes / min
2.9
3.2
5.2
Absorbedsig strikes / min
4.1
4.9
5.1
Diff
-1.3
-1.7
+0.1

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼Str. Diff-0.43 idxL3
-83%11%106%LWWWWLLL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Kelly — 10 UFC Fights
Result
Method
10 fights
L
Tom Breese
KO/TKO R1 · 3:33May '18
-17
·
6 SS (21%)·23 abs·1 kd taken
L
Elias Theodorou
U-DEC R3Nov '17
-76
·
42 SS (35%)·118 abs·2/7 td·59s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Derek Brunson
KO/TKO R1 · 1:16Jun '17
-7
·
1 SS (25%)·8 abs·1 kd taken
W
Rashad EvansVeteran
S-DEC R3Mar '17
+21
·
74 SS (38%)·53 abs·0/8 td·1 td taken·10s ctrl
W
Chris CamozziVeteran
U-DEC R3Nov '16
-17
·
39 SS (38%)·56 abs·4/4 td·404s ctrl
W
Antonio Carlos Junior
KO/TKO R3 · 1:36Mar '16
+4
·
37 SS (42%)·33 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·74s ctrl
W
Steve Montgomery
U-DEC R3Nov '15
-14
·
63 SS (52%)·77 abs·5/13 td·475s ctrl
L
Sam Alvey
KO/TKO R1 · 0:49May '15
-6
·
2 SS (25%)·8 abs·1 kd taken
W
Patrick Walsh
U-DEC R3Feb '15
+11
·
61 SS (32%)·50 abs·1 td taken
W
Luke Zachrich
SUB R1 · 4:27Nov '14
+2
·
25 SS (52%)·23 abs·1/2 td·50s ctrl·1 sub att
All Fighters
Middleweight

Daniel Kelly

13-410 UFC
Form
3L
6'0"ht·70"reach·Southpawstance·48age
Last fightLTom Breese·KO/TKO·7yr ago
Fighter Context
6–4UFC·
1KO
·
1Sub
·
4Dec
·
9.7min/fight
·
97UFC min
vs. Winning Record4–4
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-1.02

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.220

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
65

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
46%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Kelly
Middleweight avg
Head Hunter
Sig. Strikes / Min3.62
Str. Accuracy38%
350UFC landed/902attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
+1.1 vs avg4.64
Str. Defense61%
KD Rate / Fight0.00
KD Absorbed / Fight0.30
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
87%
Body
6%
Leg
7%
By Position
Dist69%
Clinch15%
Ground16%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=10
R2
n=6
R3
n=6
Landed121623
Absorbed172523
Net-5-80
Grappling
Kelly
Middleweight avg
G&P Threat
107s ctrlActive Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min1.86
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY5.43
TD Accuracy34%
12UFC landed/35attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.30
1UFC wins/2attempted
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense78%
15UFC defended/19opp. attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
33%
Decision Fighter
Win Methods
1KO/TKO
1Sub
4Dec
Loss Methods
3KO/TKO
0Sub
1Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
—More data needed.
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
1.2pts
W3 dec
—more needed
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
4UD
·
1SD
·
0MD
·
20%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.11.83.6R1R2R3
R1n=10
R2n=6
R3n=6
Outputsig strikes / min
2.9
3.2
5.2
Absorbedsig strikes / min
4.1
4.9
5.1
Diff
-1.3
-1.7
+0.1

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Kelly — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Tom Breese
KO/TKO·R1·May '18
6 SS (21%)·23 abs·1 kd taken
L
Elias Theodorou
U-DEC·R3·Nov '17
42 SS (35%)·118 abs·2/7 td·59s ctrl·1 sub
L
Derek Brunson
KO/TKO·R1·Jun '17
1 SS (25%)·8 abs·1 kd taken
W
Rashad EvansVeteran
S-DEC·R3·Mar '17
74 SS (38%)·53 abs·0/8 td·1 td taken·10s ctrl
W
Chris CamozziVeteran
U-DEC·R3·Nov '16
39 SS (38%)·56 abs·4/4 td·404s ctrl
W
Antonio Carlos Junior
KO/TKO·R3·Mar '16
37 SS (42%)·33 abs·0/1 td·2 td taken·74s ctrl
W
Steve Montgomery
U-DEC·R3·Nov '15
63 SS (52%)·77 abs·5/13 td·475s ctrl
L
Sam Alvey
KO/TKO·R1·May '15
2 SS (25%)·8 abs·1 kd taken
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X