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Fighter Profile›Welterweight
“Chaos”

Colby Covington

17-517 UFC
Wrestler
Form
· 2L
Declining
7× Title
8× 5R
Output Builds Late
High Wear
5'11"ht·72"reach·Orthodoxstance·38age
Last fightLJoaquin Buckley·KO/TKO·R3·1.4yr ago
Fighter Context
12–5UFC·
3KO
·
2Sub
·
7Dec
·
16.9min/fight
·
288UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
9–5(14 fights)
·
22%finish rate
·
+0.8str diff/min
vs. Veteran Opps
7–4(11 fights)
·
14%finish rate
·
+0.6str diff/min
vs. Elite Opps
2–0(2 fights)
·
0%finish rate
·
+1.1str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
+0.72
Neutral
62%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.509
Elite
93%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
74
Durable
52%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
75%
Dominant
86%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Covington
Distance Striker
Welterweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min3.81
Str. Accuracy38%
1,099UFC landed/2,856attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−0.6 vs avg3.09
Str. Defense54%
KD Rate / fight0.06
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / fight0.23
CQ KO Power
Below Avg1%ile0.09
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
69%
Body
16%
Leg
15%
By Position
Distance80%
/
Clinch10%
/
Ground11%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 117 rounds
Round 215 rounds
Round 315 rounds
Round 47 rounds
Round 57 rounds
Avg. Landed1420172817
Avg. Absorbed1216141915
Avg. Net+2+4+3+9+2
Grappling
Covington
Control Wrestler
·441s ctrlElite Control
Welterweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.64
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY8.54
TD Accuracy42%
70UFC landed/164attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.20
2UFC wins/3attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense68%
20UFC defended/29opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Rarely Tapped
Finishing
Finish Rate
42%
Average
div avg 53%
How They Lose
5UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO3 / 12
Submission2 / 12
Decision7 / 12
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 5
Submission1 / 5
Decision2 / 5
Loss Pattern
2 of 5 losses by finish in R3+
Versatile finisher. 3 KOs and 2 subs across multiple rounds
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3R4R5
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
18%
3 of 17 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
3.3pts
W7 dec
2.3pts
L2 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
9UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 68 more in second half of career
0+51+103+154+206avg↵20142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

17 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.92.03.2R1R2R3
R1n=17
R2n=15
R3n=15
Outputsig strikes / min
2.8
4.0
3.8
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.4
3.3
3.1
Diff
+0.4
+0.7
+0.7

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼TD Acc-39%L3
-10%60%130%WWLWLWLL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Covington — 17 UFC Fights
Result
Method
17 fights
L
Joaquin BuckleyVeteran
TITLE
KO/TKO R3 · 4:42Dec '24
-38
·
37 SS (30%)·75 abs·1/8 td·220s ctrl
L
Leon EdwardsVeteran
TITLE
U-DEC R5Dec '23
-13
·
44 SS (35%)·57 abs·2/10 td·2 td taken·304s ctrl
↵ 21mo layoff
W
Jorge MasvidalVeteran
U-DEC R5Mar '22
+27
·
94 SS (47%)·67 abs·6/15 td·974s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Kamaru UsmanVeteran
TITLE
U-DEC R5Nov '21
-16
·
107 SS (38%)·123 abs·0/11 td·1 td taken·114s ctrl·2 kd taken
W
Tyron WoodleyVeteran
TITLE
KO/TKO R5 · 1:19Sep '20
+44
·
78 SS (55%)·34 abs·3/8 td·1 td taken·721s ctrl
L
Kamaru UsmanVeteran
TITLE
KO/TKO R5 · 4:10Dec '19
-32
·
143 SS (36%)·175 abs·2 kd taken
W
Robbie LawlerVeteran
TITLE
U-DEC R5Aug '19
+101
·
179 SS (35%)·78 abs·10/18 td·522s ctrl
W
Rafael Dos AnjosElite
TITLE
U-DEC R5Jun '18
-6
·
99 SS (33%)·105 abs·7/18 td·3 td taken·756s ctrl
W
Demian MaiaElite
U-DEC R3Oct '17
+35
·
88 SS (28%)·53 abs·106s ctrl
W
Dong Hyun KimVeteran
U-DEC R3Jun '17
+28
·
47 SS (45%)·19 abs·8/15 td·2 td taken·609s ctrl
All Fighters
Welterweight
“Chaos”

Colby Covington

17-517 UFC
Form
2L
5'11"ht·72"reach·Orthodoxstance·38age
Last fightLJoaquin Buckley·KO/TKO·1.4yr ago
Fighter Context
12–5UFC·
3KO
·
2Sub
·
7Dec
·
16.9min/fight
·
288UFC min
vs. Winning Record9–5
vs. Veterans (8+ W)7–4
vs. Elite (15+ W)2–0
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
+0.72
62%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.509
93%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
74
52%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
75%
86%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Covington
Welterweight avg
Distance Striker
Sig. Strikes / Min3.81
Str. Accuracy38%
1,099UFC landed/2,856attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−0.6 vs avg3.09
Str. Defense54%
KD Rate / Fight0.06
1UFC knockdowns
KD Absorbed / Fight0.23
CQ KO Power
Below Avg1%ile0.09
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
69%
Body
16%
Leg
15%
By Position
Dist80%
Clinch10%
Ground11%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=17
R2
n=15
R3
n=15
R4
n=7
R5
n=7
Landed1420172817
Absorbed1216141915
Net+2+4+3+9+2
Grappling
Covington
Welterweight avg
Control Wrestler
441s ctrlElite Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.64
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY8.54
TD Accuracy42%
70UFC landed/164attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.20
2UFC wins/3attempted
Defense
Solid TD Def
TD Defense68%
20UFC defended/29opp. attempts
Sub Defense1 loss / 7 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
42%
Average
Win Methods
3KO/TKO
2Sub
7Dec
Loss Methods
2KO/TKO
1Sub
2Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
18%3 of 17 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
3.3pts
W7 dec
2.3pts
L2 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
9UD
·
0SD
·
0MD
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
0.92.03.2R1R2R3
R1n=17
R2n=15
R3n=15
Outputsig strikes / min
2.8
4.0
3.8
Absorbedsig strikes / min
2.4
3.3
3.1
Diff
+0.4
+0.7
+0.7

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Covington — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Joaquin BuckleyVeteranTITLE
KO/TKO·R3·Dec '24
37 SS (30%)·75 abs·1/8 td·220s ctrl
L
Leon EdwardsVeteranTITLE
U-DEC·R5·Dec '23
44 SS (35%)·57 abs·2/10 td·2 td taken·304s ctrl
W
Jorge MasvidalVeteran
U-DEC·R5·Mar '22
94 SS (47%)·67 abs·6/15 td·974s ctrl·1 sub
L
Kamaru UsmanVeteranTITLE
U-DEC·R5·Nov '21
107 SS (38%)·123 abs·0/11 td·1 td taken·114s ctrl·2 kd taken
W
Tyron WoodleyVeteranTITLE
KO/TKO·R5·Sep '20
78 SS (55%)·34 abs·3/8 td·1 td taken·721s ctrl
L
Kamaru UsmanVeteranTITLE
KO/TKO·R5·Dec '19
143 SS (36%)·175 abs·2 kd taken
W
Robbie LawlerVeteranTITLE
U-DEC·R5·Aug '19
179 SS (35%)·78 abs·10/18 td·522s ctrl
W
Rafael Dos AnjosEliteTITLE
U-DEC·R5·Jun '18
99 SS (33%)·105 abs·7/18 td·3 td taken·756s ctrl
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GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X