Fighter Profile›Lightweight

“The Carpenter”

Clay Guida

38-2237 UFC

Wrestler

Form

· 3L

Declining

High Wear

5'7"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·44age

Last fightLChase Hooper·SUB·R1·1.4yr ago

Fighter Context

18–19UFC·

2KO

5Sub

11Dec

11.4min/fight

423UFC min

vs. Winning-Record Opps

10–16(26 fights)

30%finish rate

+0.4str diff/min

vs. Veteran Opps

3–6(9 fights)

33%finish rate

+1.8str diff/min

CQ Key Stats

Striking Differential

-0.37

Deficit

33%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.352

Strong

80%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

Ironclad

93%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

59%

Strong

63%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Guida

Ground & Pound

Lightweight avg

Sig. Strikes / Min2.63

Str. Accuracy33%

1,156UFC landed/3,486attempted

Sig. Absorbed / min

−1.2 vs avg3.00

Str. Defense61%

KD Rate / fight0.16

6UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / fight0.16

CQ KO Power

Below Avg39%ile0.52

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

62%

Body

16%

Leg

22%

By Position

Distance61%

Clinch13%

Ground25%

Sig. Strikes by Round

	Round 137 rounds	Round 230 rounds	Round 324 rounds	Round 41 round	Round 51 round
Avg. Landed	12	13	13	10	11
Avg. Absorbed	14	15	15	11	17
Avg. Net	-2	-1	-2	-1	-6

Grappling

Guida

Sub Hunter

·254s ctrlElite Control

Lightweight avg

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min3.10

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY8.22

TD Accuracy35%

78UFC landed/232attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.60

5UFC wins/16attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense66%

50UFC defended/72opp. attempts

Sub Defense

Holds Ground

Finishing

Finish Rate

39%

Decision Fighter

div avg 52%

How They Lose

19UFC losses

Win Breakdown

KO / TKO2 / 18

Submission5 / 18

Decision11 / 18

KD → Finish

1/5Low

Loss Breakdown

KO / TKO2 / 19

Submission8 / 19

Decision9 / 19

Loss Pattern

Mixed

7 early · 3 late · 9 dec across 19 losses

Fast and versatile. 6 of 7 finishes inside R1-R2, by both KO and submission

Finish Round Distribution

KO/TKO W

KO/TKO L

SUB W

SUB L

Cards & Decisions

Recovery Rate

50%

5 of 10 rounds won following a lost round

Decision Margin

2.0pts

W7 dec

1.6pts

L6 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

12UD

8SD

0MD

40%split rate

Career Trajectory

Win

Loss

D/NC

Elite opp (15+ wins)

Veteran opp (8+ wins)

Div. change

sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 7 more in second half of career

37 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=37

R2n=30

R3n=24

Outputsig strikes / min

2.6

2.9

Absorbedsig strikes / min

3.1

3.4

Diff

-0.5

-0.3

-0.5

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend

KD Abs

▼Str. Diff-0.29 idxL3

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp

Guida — 37 UFC Fights

Result

Method

37 fights

Chase Hooper

SUB R1 · 3:41Dec '24

-2

·5 SS (38%)·7 abs·0/1 td·3 td taken

Joaquim Silva

U-DEC R3Dec '23

-3

·43 SS (32%)·46 abs·2/11 td·2 td taken·263s ctrl

Rafa Garcia

U-DEC R3Apr '23

-78

·63 SS (25%)·141 abs·0/3 td

Scott Holtzman

S-DEC R3Dec '22

·66 SS (36%)·65 abs·4/15 td·335s ctrl

Claudio Puelles

SUB R1 · 3:01Apr '22

·3 SS (75%)·1 abs·0/1 td·70s ctrl

Leonardo Santos

SUB R2 · 1:21Dec '21

-23

·18 SS (36%)·41 abs·2/7 td·129s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub att

Mark Madsen

S-DEC R3Aug '21

-26

·72 SS (34%)·98 abs

Michael JohnsonVeteran

U-DEC R3Feb '21

-9

·49 SS (55%)·58 abs·3/7 td·413s ctrl·1 sub att

King Green

U-DEC R3Jun '20

-62

·23 SS (35%)·85 abs·3/12 td·2 td taken·272s ctrl

Jim MillerElite

SUB R1 · 0:58Aug '19

·2 SS (40%)·2 abs·11s ctrl

Guida — Prior Tracked Fights (3)

LGilbert MelendezStrikeforceS-DECR5—

WJoe MartinWECU-DECR3—

WJosh ThomsonStrikeforceU-DECR5—

All Fighters

Lightweight

“The Carpenter”

Clay Guida

38-2237 UFC

Form

5'7"ht·70"reach·Orthodoxstance·44age

Last fightLChase Hooper·SUB·1.4yr ago

Fighter Context

18–19UFC·

2KO

5Sub

11Dec

11.4min/fight

423UFC min

vs. Winning Record10–16

vs. Veterans (8+ W)3–6

CQ Key Stats

Str. Differential

-0.37

33%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat

0.352

80%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability

93%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate

59%

63%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Guida

Lightweight avg

Ground & Pound

Sig. Strikes / Min2.63

Str. Accuracy33%

1,156UFC landed/3,486attempted

Sig. Absorbed / Min

−1.2 vs avg3.00

Str. Defense61%

KD Rate / Fight0.16

6UFC knockdowns

KD Absorbed / Fight0.16

CQ KO Power

Below Avg39%ile0.52

Strike Distribution

By Target

Head

62%

Body

16%

Leg

22%

By Position

Dist61%

Clinch13%

Ground25%

Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)

	R1 n=37	R2 n=30	R3 n=24	R4 n=1	R5 n=1
Landed	12	13	13	10	11
Absorbed	14	15	15	11	17
Net	-2	-1	-2	-1	-6

Grappling

Guida

Lightweight avg

Sub Hunter

254s ctrlElite Control

Offense

TD Landed / 15 Min3.10

TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY8.22

TD Accuracy35%

78UFC landed/232attempted

Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.60

5UFC wins/16attempted

Defense

Solid TD Def

TD Defense66%

50UFC defended/72opp. attempts

Sub Defense8 loss / 30 attempts

Finishing

Finish Rate

39%

Decision Fighter

Win Methods

2KO/TKO

5Sub

11Dec

Loss Methods

2KO/TKO

8Sub

9Dec

Finish Round Distribution

KO (W)

KO (L)

Sub (W)

Sub (L)

Cards & Decisions

Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.

50%5 of 10 rounds

Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.

2.0pts

W7 dec

1.6pts

L6 dec

field avg 1.95 pts

Decision Types

12UD

8SD

0MD

40%split rate

Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.

Pace & Cardio

Output

Absorbed

Diff

R1n=37

R2n=30

R3n=24

Outputsig strikes / min

2.6

2.9

Absorbedsig strikes / min

3.1

3.4

Diff

-0.5

-0.3

-0.5

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Guida — UFC Fight Log

Chase Hooper

SUB·R1·Dec '24

5 SS (38%)·7 abs·0/1 td·3 td taken

Joaquim Silva

U-DEC·R3·Dec '23

43 SS (32%)·46 abs·2/11 td·2 td taken·263s ctrl

Rafa Garcia

U-DEC·R3·Apr '23

63 SS (25%)·141 abs·0/3 td

Scott Holtzman

S-DEC·R3·Dec '22

66 SS (36%)·65 abs·4/15 td·335s ctrl

Claudio Puelles

SUB·R1·Apr '22

3 SS (75%)·1 abs·0/1 td·70s ctrl

Leonardo Santos

SUB·R2·Dec '21

18 SS (36%)·41 abs·2/7 td·129s ctrl·1 kd taken·1 sub

Mark Madsen

S-DEC·R3·Aug '21

72 SS (34%)·98 abs

Michael JohnsonVeteran

U-DEC·R3·Feb '21

49 SS (55%)·58 abs·3/7 td·413s ctrl·1 sub

Guida — Prior Tracked Fights (3)

LGilbert MelendezStrikeforceS-DECR5

WJoe MartinWECU-DECR3

WJosh ThomsonStrikeforceU-DECR5

Round 137 rounds

Round 230 rounds

Round 324 rounds

Round 41 round

Round 51 round

Avg. Landed

Avg. Absorbed

Avg. Net

-2

-1

-2

-1

-6

n=37

n=30

n=24

n=1

Landed

Absorbed

Net

-2

-1

-2

-1

-6