CageQuantBETA
EventsFightersDivisionsGuide
Sign Up
CageQuantBETA
All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Women's Strawweight
“Cookie Monster”

Carla Esparza

20-816 UFC
Wrestler
Form
· 2L
Layoff Risk
3× Title
4× 5R
Output Builds Late
High Wear
5'1"ht·63"reach·Orthodoxstance·38age
Last fightLTecia Pennington·U-DEC·R3·1.6yr ago
Fighter Context
10–6UFC·
1KO
·
1Sub
·
8Dec
·
14.0min/fight
·
224UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
8–5(13 fights)
·
13%finish rate
·
-1.1str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-0.68
Deficit
28%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.404
Strong
88%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
74
Durable
32%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
59%
Strong
67%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Esparza
Ground & Pound
Head Hunter
W. Strawweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min2.19
Str. Accuracy39%
492UFC landed/1,247attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−0.8 vs avg2.87
Str. Defense54%
KD Rate / fight0.00
KD Absorbed / fightNone on record
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
74%
Body
14%
Leg
12%
By Position
Distance57%
/
Clinch13%
/
Ground30%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 116 rounds
Round 216 rounds
Round 313 rounds
Round 41 round
Round 51 round
Avg. Landed9111385
Avg. Absorbed151314613
Avg. Net-7-2-1+2-8
Grappling
Esparza
G&P Threat
·238s ctrlElite Control
W. Strawweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.28
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY9.03
TD Accuracy36%
49UFC landed/135attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.30
1UFC wins/4attempted
Defense
TD Defense47%
17UFC defended/36opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Rarely Tapped
Finishing
Finish Rate
20%
Decision Fighter
div avg 33%
How They Lose
6UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 10
Submission1 / 10
Decision8 / 10
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO2 / 6
Submission1 / 6
Decision3 / 6
Loss Pattern
Mixed
2 early · 1 late · 3 dec across 6 losses
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
KO/TKO W
KO/TKO L
SUB W
SUB L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
75%
6 of 8 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
1.3pts
W8 dec
—
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
5SD
·
1MD
·
45%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
sig. strikes stable across career. Second-half avg 31 vs 30 first half
0+14+28+41+55avg↵2014201520162017201820192020202120222024

16 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.11.42.8R1R2R3
R1n=16
R2n=16
R3n=13
Outputsig strikes / min
1.7
2.3
2.8
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.0
2.7
3.0
Diff
-1.3
-0.4
-0.2

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Last 8 Fights — Trend
▼Str. Diff-0.48 idxL3
-32%45%123%WWWWWWLL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Elite oppVeteran opp
Esparza — 16 UFC Fights
Result
Method
16 fights
L
Tecia PenningtonVeteran
U-DEC R3Oct '24
-41
·
39 SS (32%)·80 abs·4/7 td·220s ctrl
↵ 23mo layoff
L
Zhang Weili
TITLE
SUB R2 · 1:05Nov '22
-31
·
6 SS (19%)·37 abs·1/4 td·55s ctrl
W
Rose NamajunasVeteran
TITLE
S-DEC R5May '22
-7
·
30 SS (23%)·37 abs·2/11 td·1 td taken·22s ctrl
W
Yan Xiaonan
KO/TKO R2 · 2:58May '21
+22
·
27 SS (82%)·5 abs·3/3 td·438s ctrl
W
Marina Rodriguez
S-DEC R3Jul '20
-7
·
33 SS (55%)·40 abs·5/9 td·534s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
S-DEC R3May '20
+1
·
45 SS (44%)·44 abs·1/10 td·46s ctrl
W
Alexa Grasso
M-DEC R3Sep '19
-1
·
44 SS (55%)·45 abs·4/11 td·432s ctrl
W
Virna Jandiroba
U-DEC R3Apr '19
+8
·
25 SS (49%)·17 abs·4/10 td·3 td taken·325s ctrl
L
Tatiana Suarez
KO/TKO R3 · 4:33Sep '18
-76
·
6 SS (60%)·82 abs·0/2 td·9 td taken
L
Claudia Gadelha
S-DEC R3Jun '18
+17
·
43 SS (42%)·26 abs·2/4 td·4 td taken·216s ctrl
All Fighters
Women's Strawweight
“Cookie Monster”

Carla Esparza

20-816 UFC
Form
2L
5'1"ht·63"reach·Orthodoxstance·38age
Last fightLTecia Pennington·U-DEC·1.6yr ago
Fighter Context
10–6UFC·
1KO
·
1Sub
·
8Dec
·
14.0min/fight
·
224UFC min
vs. Winning Record8–5
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-0.68
28%ile

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.404
88%ile

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
74
32%ile

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
59%
67%ile

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Esparza
W. Strawweight avg
Ground & PoundHead Hunter
Sig. Strikes / Min2.19
Str. Accuracy39%
492UFC landed/1,247attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−0.8 vs avg2.87
Str. Defense54%
KD Rate / Fight0.00
KD Absorbed / FightNone on record
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
74%
Body
14%
Leg
12%
By Position
Dist57%
Clinch13%
Ground30%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=16
R2
n=16
R3
n=13
R4
n=1
R5
n=1
Landed9111385
Absorbed151314613
Net-7-2-1+2-8
Grappling
Esparza
W. Strawweight avg
G&P Threat
238s ctrlElite Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min3.28
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY9.03
TD Accuracy36%
49UFC landed/135attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.30
1UFC wins/4attempted
Defense
TD Defense47%
17UFC defended/36opp. attempts
Sub Defense1 loss / 4 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
20%
Decision Fighter
Win Methods
1KO/TKO
1Sub
8Dec
Loss Methods
2KO/TKO
1Sub
3Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (W)
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Sub (L)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
75%6 of 8 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
1.3pts
W8 dec
—more needed
L1 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
5UD
·
5SD
·
1MD
·
45%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.11.42.8R1R2R3
R1n=16
R2n=16
R3n=13
Outputsig strikes / min
1.7
2.3
2.8
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.0
2.7
3.0
Diff
-1.3
-0.4
-0.2

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg · switch to 5R for championship rounds

Esparza — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Tecia PenningtonVeteran
U-DEC·R3·Oct '24
39 SS (32%)·80 abs·4/7 td·220s ctrl
L
Zhang WeiliTITLE
SUB·R2·Nov '22
6 SS (19%)·37 abs·1/4 td·55s ctrl
W
Rose NamajunasVeteranTITLE
S-DEC·R5·May '22
30 SS (23%)·37 abs·2/11 td·1 td taken·22s ctrl
W
Yan Xiaonan
KO/TKO·R2·May '21
27 SS (82%)·5 abs·3/3 td·438s ctrl
W
Marina Rodriguez
S-DEC·R3·Jul '20
33 SS (55%)·40 abs·5/9 td·534s ctrl·1 sub
W
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
S-DEC·R3·May '20
45 SS (44%)·44 abs·1/10 td·46s ctrl
W
Alexa Grasso
M-DEC·R3·Sep '19
44 SS (55%)·45 abs·4/11 td·432s ctrl
W
Virna Jandiroba
U-DEC·R3·Apr '19
25 SS (49%)·17 abs·4/10 td·3 td taken·325s ctrl
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X