CageQuantBETA
EventsFightersDivisionsGuide
Sign Up
CageQuantBETA

Bryan Caraway absorbs 3.6 and lands 2.5 significant strikes per minute. Concedes more than outputs. Negative striking margin.

Bryan Caraway's striking output climbs from round 1 to round 3.

Bryan Caraway's takedown attempts are present but not a primary factor.

Bryan Caraway wins 50% of rounds across 26 scored. Round splits are close.

Bryan Caraway has 1 KO/TKO loss in 4 total UFC losses. Absorbs 0.10 knockdowns per fight. Durability score of 76 out of 99, average for the division.

Bryan Caraway finishes 67% of wins by KO/TKO or submission.

Bryan Caraway's last fight was over 91 months ago.

Bryan Caraway is 41 years old.

All Fighters
Fighter Profile›Bantamweight
“Kid Lightning”

Bryan Caraway

21-910 UFC
Balanced
Form
· 2L
Inactive
High Variance
Output Builds Late
High Wear
5'8"ht·68"reach·Orthodoxstance·41age
Last fightLPedro Munhoz·KO/TKO·R1·7yr ago
Fighter Context
6–4UFC·
0KO
·
4Sub
·
2Dec
·
11.9min/fight
·
120UFC min
vs. Winning-Record Opps
3–4(7 fights)
·
67%finish rate
·
-2.1str diff/min
CQ Key Stats
Striking Differential
-1.08
Deficit

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.257
Average

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
76
Durable

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
50%
Average

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking

Bryan Caraway — 2.53 significant strikes per minute, 34% striking accuracy, absorbs 3.61 strikes per minute.

Caraway
Counter Puncher
Head Hunter
Bantamweight avg
Sig. Strikes / Min2.53
Str. Accuracy34%
309UFC landed/895attempted
Sig. Absorbed / min
−0.1 vs avg3.61
Str. Defense54%
KD Rate / fight0.00
KD Absorbed / fight0.10
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
82%
Body
10%
Leg
8%
By Position
Distance86%
/
Clinch11%
/
Ground3%
Sig. Strikes by Round
Round 110 rounds
Round 29 rounds
Round 37 rounds
Avg. Landed111214
Avg. Absorbed181621
Avg. Net-7-4-7
Grappling

Bryan Caraway — 2.6 takedowns per 15 minutes, 25% takedown accuracy, 0.8 submission attempts per 15 minutes, 80% takedown defense.

Caraway
Control Wrestler
·223s ctrlElite Control
Bantamweight avg
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min2.57
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY11.17
TD Accuracy25%
19UFC landed/89attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80
4UFC wins/6attempted
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense80%
16UFC defended/21opp. attempts
Sub Defense
Sub Proof
Finishing

Bryan Caraway — 6 UFC wins (4 submission, 2 decision), 67% finish rate.

Finish Rate
67%
Strong Finisher
div avg 47%
How They Lose
4UFC losses
Win Breakdown
KO / TKO0 / 6
Submission4 / 6
Decision2 / 6
Loss Breakdown
KO / TKO1 / 4
Submission0 / 4
Decision3 / 4
Loss Pattern
Outscored
3 of 4 losses by decision
Submission finisher. 4 career subs spread across multiple rounds
Finish Round Distribution
Finish WinsFinish LossesR1R2R3
SUB W
KO/TKO L
Cards & Decisions
Recovery Rate
29%
2 of 7 rounds won following a lost round
Decision Margin
1.0pts
W2 dec
1.2pts
L3 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
2UD
·
3SD
·
0MD
·
60%split rate
Career Trajectory
Win
Loss
D/NC
Elite opp (15+ wins)
Veteran opp (8+ wins)
Layoff
Div. change
sig. strikes trending up. Averaging 13 more in second half of career
0+18+35+53+70avg↗↵2011201220132014201520162018

10 UFC fights · hover for details · colored line = 3-fight rolling avg

Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.11.63.2R1R2R3
R1n=10
R2n=9
R3n=7
Outputsig strikes / min
2.2
2.7
3.0
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.7
3.5
4.6
Diff
-1.5
-0.8
-1.6

Per-round averages across career · partial final rounds included at actual elapsed time · rounds below 5 min. career total suppressed · dashed lines = division avg

Last 8 Fights — Trend
KD Abs
▼TD Acc-44%L3
-15%57%128%LWWLWWLL

Last 8 UFC fights · Absorbed & Strike Diff = index vs career avg (1.0 = avg, 0 = breakeven) · Orange dots = KDs absorbed

Caraway — 10 UFC Fights

Bryan Caraway — UFC fight record: 6 wins, 4 losses.

Result
Method
10 fights
L
Pedro Munhoz
BW
KO/TKO R1 · 2:39Nov '18
-15
·20 SS (42%)·35 abs·0/5 td·17s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Cody Stamann
BW
S-DEC R3Mar '18
-36
·59 SS (35%)·95 abs·1/23 td·299s ctrl
↵ 22mo layoff
W
Aljamain Sterling
BW
S-DEC R3May '16
-23
·9 SS (29%)·32 abs·3/6 td·1 td taken·394s ctrl
W
Eddie Wineland
BW
U-DEC R3Jul '15
+9
·61 SS (32%)·52 abs·0/12 td·73s ctrl
L
Raphael Assuncao
BW
U-DEC R3Oct '14
-36
·39 SS (30%)·75 abs·2/8 td·2 td taken·59s ctrl
W
Erik Perez
BW
SUB R2 · 1:52Jun '14
-3
·7 SS (20%)·10 abs·2/4 td·1 td taken·159s ctrl·2 sub att
W
Johnny Bedford
BW
SUB R3 · 4:44Apr '13
-7
·43 SS (40%)·50 abs·3/7 td·380s ctrl·1 sub att
L
Takeya Mizugaki
BW
S-DEC R3Mar '13
-30
·37 SS (42%)·67 abs·2/12 td·346s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Mitch Gagnon
BW
SUB R3 · 1:39Jul '12
-16
·11 SS (24%)·27 abs·3/9 td·1 td taken·319s ctrl·1 sub att
W
Dustin Neace
FW
SUB R2 · 3:38Dec '11
+5
·23 SS (43%)·18 abs·3/3 td·184s ctrl·1 sub att
Caraway — Prior Tracked Fights (4)
WAlex ZunigaStrikeforceU-DECR3—
LMark HominickWECSUBR1—
LFredson PaixaoWECS-DECR3—
WAlvin CacdacStrikeforceSUBR1—
All Fighters
Bantamweight
“Kid Lightning”

Bryan Caraway

21-910 UFC
Form
2L
5'8"ht·68"reach·Orthodoxstance·41age
Last fightLPedro Munhoz·KO/TKO·7yr ago
Fighter Context
6–4UFC·
0KO
·
4Sub
·
2Dec
·
11.9min/fight
·
120UFC min
vs. Winning Record3–4
CQ Key Stats
Str. Differential
-1.08

Significant strikes landed per minute minus strikes absorbed per minute. Positive values indicate a net striking advantage.

Adj. TD Threat
0.257

CageQuant derived signal for measuring takedown offense adjusted for average division opponents.

Durability
76

CageQuant derived signal that measures how well a fighter holds up to damage. Based on stoppage history and knockdowns absorbed over their career.

Round Win Rate
50%

CageQuant derived signal. Completed rounds won, scored by CageQuant's proprietary formula rather than official judging.

Striking
Caraway
Bantamweight avg
Counter PuncherHead Hunter
Sig. Strikes / Min2.53
Str. Accuracy34%
309UFC landed/895attempted
Sig. Absorbed / Min
−0.1 vs avg3.61
Str. Defense54%
KD Rate / Fight0.00
KD Absorbed / Fight0.10
Strike Distribution
By Target
Head
82%
Body
10%
Leg
8%
By Position
Dist86%
Clinch11%
Ground3%
Sig. Strikes by Round(career avg per round)
R1
n=10
R2
n=9
R3
n=7
Landed111214
Absorbed181621
Net-7-4-7
Grappling
Caraway
Bantamweight avg
Control Wrestler
223s ctrlElite Control
Offense
TD Landed / 15 Min2.57
TD Attempts / 15 MinUFC ONLY11.17
TD Accuracy25%
19UFC landed/89attempted
Sub Attempts / 15 Min0.80
4UFC wins/6attempted
Defense
Elite TD Def
TD Defense80%
16UFC defended/21opp. attempts
Sub Defense0 loss / 3 attempts
Finishing
Finish Rate
67%
Strong Finisher
Win Methods
0KO/TKO
4Sub
2Dec
Loss Methods
1KO/TKO
0Sub
3Dec
Finish Round Distribution
R1
R2
R3
KO (L)
Sub (W)
Cards & Decisions
Recovery RateRounds won after a lost round.
29%2 of 7 rounds
Decision MarginAvg pts/round on judges' scorecards.
1.0pts
W2 dec
1.2pts
L3 dec
field avg 1.95 pts
Decision Types
2UD
·
3SD
·
0MD
·
60%split rate
Career Trajectory chart available on desktop.
Pace & Cardio
Output Builds Late
Output
Absorbed
Diff
-0.11.63.2R1R2R3
R1n=10
R2n=9
R3n=7
Outputsig strikes / min
2.2
2.7
3.0
Absorbedsig strikes / min
3.7
3.5
4.6
Diff
-1.5
-0.8
-1.6

Per-round career averages · partial rounds time-adjusted · dashed = division avg

Caraway — UFC Fight Log
|
L
Pedro MunhozBW
KO/TKO·R1·Nov '18
20 SS (42%)·35 abs·0/5 td·17s ctrl·1 kd taken
L
Cody StamannBW
S-DEC·R3·Mar '18
59 SS (35%)·95 abs·1/23 td·299s ctrl
W
Aljamain SterlingBW
S-DEC·R3·May '16
9 SS (29%)·32 abs·3/6 td·1 td taken·394s ctrl
W
Eddie WinelandBW
U-DEC·R3·Jul '15
61 SS (32%)·52 abs·0/12 td·73s ctrl
L
Raphael AssuncaoBW
U-DEC·R3·Oct '14
39 SS (30%)·75 abs·2/8 td·2 td taken·59s ctrl
W
Erik PerezBW
SUB·R2·Jun '14
7 SS (20%)·10 abs·2/4 td·1 td taken·159s ctrl·2 sub
W
Johnny BedfordBW
SUB·R3·Apr '13
43 SS (40%)·50 abs·3/7 td·380s ctrl·1 sub
L
Takeya MizugakiBW
S-DEC·R3·Mar '13
37 SS (42%)·67 abs·2/12 td·346s ctrl·1 sub
Caraway — Prior Tracked Fights (4)
WAlex ZunigaStrikeforceU-DECR3
LMark HominickWECSUBR1
LFredson PaixaoWECS-DECR3
WAlvin CacdacStrikeforceSUBR1
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X
GuideContactTermsPrivacy
CageQuant

Independent MMA analytics. Not affiliated with or endorsed by any promotion.
Statistics are informational only. Not betting advice.

© 2026 CageQuant. All rights reserved.

Follow on X